MatchPulse
Premier League

Premier League — Home Advantage

England · 2026/27

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Brighton+42%+19%+66%2.50/1.80
2Brentford+29%+14%+43%2.00/1.00
3Leeds+29%+43%+14%1.50/1.00
4Arsenal+24%+38%+9%3.00/2.40
5Coventry+23%+47%-1%1.20/0.75
6Crystal Palace+18%+43%-6%0.75/0.80
7Bournemouth+18%-11%+48%1.60/1.00
8Chelsea+16%+27%+4%2.00/1.50
9Hull City+14%+17%+11%1.40/1.00
10Manchester United+13%+30%-4%1.00/0.60
11Everton+11%+22%0%1.75/1.20
12Tottenham+11%+30%-9%1.40/1.25
13Ipswich+9%-18%+35%1.75/0.80
14Aston Villa+6%+9%+3%1.00/1.75
15Newcastle+3%-11%+18%1.00/1.50
16Fulham+3%+43%-37%1.00/1.00
17Sunderland-11%-66%+44%1.00/0.20
18Manchester City-16%-1%-30%2.40/2.25
19Nottingham Forest-29%-100%+41%0.25/1.00
20Liverpool-30%-37%-23%1.00/2.50

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Premier League (England) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Premier League (England), the average home win rate is 40% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Brentford shows the strongest home advantage, winning 60% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +60%). At the other end, Liverpool actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 20% versus 75% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Coventry+47%1.400.50
2Fulham+43%1.500.60
3Crystal Palace+43%1.500.60
4Leeds+43%1.500.60
5Arsenal+38%2.251.00
6Manchester United+30%1.500.80
7Tottenham+30%1.400.75
8Chelsea+27%2.601.50
9Everton+22%1.250.80
10Brighton+19%3.252.20
11Hull City+17%1.401.00
12Brentford+14%2.001.50
13Aston Villa+9%1.201.00
14Manchester City-1%2.202.25
15Newcastle-11%1.201.50
16Bournemouth-11%1.401.75
17Ipswich-18%1.251.80
18Liverpool-37%0.801.75
19Sunderland-66%0.251.20
20Nottingham Forest-100%0.001.20

Premier League (England) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Coventry has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Premier League (England), netting 1.40 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +47%. In contrast, Nottingham Forest scores more away (1.20/match) than at home (0.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -100% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Brighton+66%0.251.20
2Bournemouth+48%0.802.25
3Sunderland+44%1.002.60
4Brentford+43%0.601.50
5Nottingham Forest+41%0.751.80
6Ipswich+35%1.252.60
7Newcastle+18%1.402.00
8Leeds+14%0.751.00
9Hull City+11%1.001.25
10Arsenal+9%0.500.60
11Chelsea+4%1.601.75
12Aston Villa+3%1.401.50
13Everton0%1.001.00
14Coventry-1%1.801.75
15Manchester United-4%1.751.60
16Crystal Palace-6%2.502.20
17Tottenham-9%1.201.00
18Liverpool-23%1.200.75
19Manchester City-30%1.400.75
20Fulham-37%1.750.80

Premier League (England) — Home Defence Analysis

Brighton has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (England), conceding just 0.25 goals/match at home compared to 1.20 away — a Defence Advantage of +66%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Fulham concedes more at home (1.75/match) than away (0.80/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Newcastle+100%0.800.00
2Fulham+100%1.000.00
3Everton+100%0.500.00
4Tottenham+100%0.400.00
5Coventry+100%0.600.00
6Arsenal+67%1.000.20
7Manchester City+66%1.200.25
8Crystal Palace+58%0.750.20
9Leeds+58%0.750.20
10Brighton+58%2.250.60
11Chelsea+23%1.200.75
12Manchester United+11%0.250.20
13Hull City+9%0.600.50
14Aston Villa+9%0.600.50
15Brentford+3%0.800.75
16Liverpool-11%0.400.50
17Bournemouth-22%0.801.25
18Ipswich-33%0.501.00
19Nottingham Forest-100%0.000.60
20Sunderland-100%0.000.60

Premier League (England) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Newcastle has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premier League (England), netting 0.80 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Sunderland shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.60 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Everton+100%0.000.40
2Brentford+100%0.000.75
3Nottingham Forest+100%0.000.80
4Sunderland+100%0.001.40
5Hull City+67%0.201.00
6Aston Villa+67%0.201.00
7Coventry+67%0.201.00
8Brighton+60%0.251.00
9Bournemouth+58%0.200.75
10Tottenham+43%0.200.50
11Newcastle+25%0.601.00
12Arsenal+23%0.250.40
13Crystal Palace+17%1.001.40
14Liverpool+11%0.400.50
15Ipswich0%1.001.00
16Chelsea-9%0.600.50
17Manchester United-30%0.750.40
18Leeds-43%0.500.20
19Fulham-58%0.750.20
20Manchester City-60%1.000.25

Premier League (England) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Everton has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (England), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.40 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Manchester City struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.25 away (-60%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Manchester United+35%1.250.60
2Crystal Palace+30%0.750.40
3Leeds+30%0.750.40
4Chelsea+30%1.400.75
5Brentford+23%1.200.75
6Hull City+23%0.800.50
7Coventry+23%0.800.50
8Arsenal+22%1.250.80
9Tottenham+14%1.000.75
10Bournemouth+9%0.600.50
11Aston Villa+9%0.600.50
12Everton-3%0.750.80
13Ipswich-3%0.750.80
14Fulham-9%0.500.60
15Brighton-23%1.001.60
16Manchester City-33%1.002.00
17Sunderland-41%0.250.60
18Liverpool-52%0.401.25
19Newcastle-58%0.401.50
20Nottingham Forest-100%0.000.60

Premier League (England) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Manchester United has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premier League (England), netting 1.25 goals/match at home versus 0.60 away — a Scoring Advantage of +35%. At the other end, Nottingham Forest shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.60 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Brighton+100%0.000.20
2Ipswich+73%0.251.60
3Leeds+52%0.250.80
4Bournemouth+43%0.601.50
5Nottingham Forest+14%0.751.00
6Brentford+11%0.600.75
7Chelsea+11%1.001.25
8Newcastle+11%0.801.00
9Manchester City+11%0.400.50
10Manchester United+9%1.001.20
11Sunderland+9%1.001.20
12Arsenal-11%0.250.20
13Fulham-25%1.000.60
14Everton-25%1.000.60
15Crystal Palace-30%1.500.80
16Tottenham-33%1.000.50
17Coventry-36%1.600.75
18Aston Villa-41%1.200.50
19Liverpool-52%0.800.25
20Hull City-52%0.800.25

Premier League (England) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Brighton has the best home defensive record in the Premier League (England), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.20 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Hull City struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.80/match at home versus 0.25 away (-52%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — England