MatchPulse
National League - North

National League - North — Home Advantage

England · 2026/27

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Buxton+38%+41%+34%2.38/1.00
2Morecambe+37%+24%+50%2.29/1.00
3Southport+31%+43%+20%1.14/0.29
4Harborough Town+28%+38%+18%2.00/0.43
5South Shields+27%+18%+35%2.33/1.88
6Scarborough Athletic+24%+9%+38%1.17/1.00
7Chester+22%+3%+41%1.88/1.33
8Radcliffe+19%+42%-4%1.25/0.86
9Hebburn Town+17%+12%+22%1.75/1.00
10Chorley+17%+39%-4%1.86/1.00
11Worksop Town+17%+14%+21%1.50/1.14
12Spalding United+16%+26%+7%2.00/1.00
13Spennymoor Town+16%+14%+19%1.14/0.29
14Brackley Town+14%-4%+33%1.57/1.00
15Bedford Town+11%+18%+5%1.86/1.29
16Hednesford Town+11%+39%-17%1.86/1.38
17Merthyr Town+10%+18%+2%1.29/0.88
18Darlington 1883+5%-20%+30%0.71/0.75
19Marine+4%-29%+37%1.43/0.86
20Macclesfield-2%+16%-20%2.29/1.83
21King's Lynn Town-3%-14%+8%1.57/1.63
22Hereford-10%-6%-14%1.63/2.17
23AFC Telford United-13%-6%-21%1.14/1.38
24Oxford City-23%0%-45%1.57/2.29

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

National League - North (England) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the National League - North (England), the average home win rate is 48% compared to 31% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Harborough Town shows the strongest home advantage, winning 57% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +57%). At the other end, Oxford City actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 43% versus 71% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Southport+43%1.430.57
2Radcliffe+42%1.750.71
3Buxton+41%2.751.14
4Chorley+39%2.291.00
5Hednesford Town+39%2.291.00
6Harborough Town+38%1.290.57
7Spalding United+26%1.711.00
8Morecambe+24%1.861.14
9South Shields+18%2.171.50
10Bedford Town+18%1.431.00
11Merthyr Town+18%1.431.00
12Macclesfield+16%1.861.33
13Spennymoor Town+14%1.140.86
14Worksop Town+14%1.501.14
15Hebburn Town+12%1.501.17
16Scarborough Athletic+9%1.501.25
17Chester+3%1.251.17
18Oxford City0%1.861.86
19Brackley Town-4%1.141.25
20AFC Telford United-6%1.001.13
21Hereford-6%1.631.83
22King's Lynn Town-14%1.431.88
23Darlington 1883-20%1.001.50
24Marine-29%0.861.57

National League - North (England) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Southport has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the National League - North (England), netting 1.43 goals/match at home versus 0.57 away — a Scoring Advantage of +43%. In contrast, Marine scores more away (1.57/match) than at home (0.86/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -29% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Morecambe+50%0.431.29
2Chester+41%0.631.50
3Scarborough Athletic+38%0.831.88
4Marine+37%0.861.86
5South Shields+35%0.831.75
6Buxton+34%1.132.29
7Brackley Town+33%1.142.25
8Darlington 1883+30%1.292.38
9Hebburn Town+22%1.382.17
10Worksop Town+21%1.131.71
11Southport+20%1.432.14
12Spennymoor Town+19%1.572.29
13Harborough Town+18%1.001.43
14King's Lynn Town+8%1.291.50
15Spalding United+7%1.001.14
16Bedford Town+5%1.291.43
17Merthyr Town+2%1.431.50
18Chorley-4%1.711.57
19Radcliffe-4%1.881.71
20Hereford-14%0.880.67
21Hednesford Town-17%1.571.13
22Macclesfield-20%1.000.67
23AFC Telford United-21%1.711.13
24Oxford City-45%1.140.43

National League - North (England) — Home Defence Analysis

Morecambe has the best home defensive record in the National League - North (England), conceding just 0.43 goals/match at home compared to 1.29 away — a Defence Advantage of +50%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Oxford City concedes more at home (1.14/match) than away (0.43/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Southport+100%1.000.00
2Spalding United+100%1.000.00
3Morecambe+67%0.710.14
4Scarborough Athletic+51%1.170.38
5Hereford+38%0.750.33
6Hednesford Town+29%1.140.63
7Spennymoor Town+20%0.430.29
8Bedford Town+20%0.860.57
9Marine+20%0.430.29
10Harborough Town+20%0.430.29
11Radcliffe+19%0.630.43
12Brackley Town+18%0.710.50
13Buxton+17%1.000.71
14Worksop Town+14%0.750.57
15Hebburn Town+11%0.630.50
16Macclesfield+7%0.570.50
17Merthyr Town+7%0.570.50
18Chorley-9%0.710.86
19King's Lynn Town-10%0.710.88
20South Shields-20%0.831.25
21Oxford City-33%0.571.14
22Darlington 1883-34%0.430.88
23Chester-38%0.380.83
24AFC Telford United-45%0.140.38

National League - North (England) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Southport has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League - North (England), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, AFC Telford United shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.14/match at home against 0.38 away (-45%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1South Shields+50%0.331.00
2Morecambe+50%0.140.43
3Chester+45%0.250.67
4Southport+45%0.431.14
5Darlington 1883+45%0.431.13
6Scarborough Athletic+38%0.330.75
7King's Lynn Town+27%0.430.75
8Worksop Town+26%0.250.43
9Spennymoor Town+25%0.861.43
10Hednesford Town+21%0.570.88
11Buxton+16%0.630.86
12AFC Telford United+14%0.570.75
13Brackley Town+14%0.570.75
14Marine+11%0.570.71
15Hebburn Town+7%0.881.00
16Bedford Town0%0.710.71
17Radcliffe-1%0.880.86
18Chorley-14%0.570.43
19Harborough Town-14%0.570.43
20Merthyr Town-21%0.570.38
21Spalding United-33%0.290.14
22Oxford City-43%0.710.29
23Hereford-58%0.630.17
24Macclesfield-62%0.710.17

National League - North (England) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, South Shields has the best home defensive record in the National League - North (England), conceding just 0.33 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +50%. Macclesfield struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.71/match at home versus 0.17 away (-62%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Chorley+83%1.570.14
2South Shields+68%1.330.25
3Buxton+61%1.750.43
4Radcliffe+59%1.130.29
5Hednesford Town+51%1.140.38
6Harborough Town+50%0.860.29
7Chester+45%0.880.33
8Oxford City+29%1.290.71
9Merthyr Town+26%0.860.50
10Macclesfield+21%1.290.83
11Bedford Town+14%0.570.43
12Worksop Town+14%0.750.57
13Hebburn Town+14%0.880.67
14Spennymoor Town+11%0.710.57
15Morecambe+7%1.141.00
16AFC Telford United+7%0.860.75
17Darlington 1883-4%0.570.63
18Southport-14%0.430.57
19Spalding United-17%0.711.00
20King's Lynn Town-17%0.711.00
21Hereford-26%0.881.50
22Brackley Town-27%0.430.75
23Scarborough Athletic-45%0.330.88
24Marine-50%0.431.29

National League - North (England) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Chorley has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League - North (England), netting 1.57 goals/match at home versus 0.14 away — a Scoring Advantage of +83%. At the other end, Marine shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.43/match at home against 1.29 away (-50%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Marine+60%0.291.14
2Morecambe+50%0.290.86
3Buxton+48%0.501.43
4Brackley Town+45%0.571.50
5Harborough Town+40%0.431.00
6Hebburn Town+40%0.501.17
7Scarborough Athletic+38%0.501.13
8Chester+38%0.380.83
9Hereford+33%0.250.50
10Macclesfield+27%0.290.50
11South Shields+20%0.500.75
12Worksop Town+19%0.881.29
13Darlington 1883+19%0.861.25
14Spalding United+17%0.711.00
15Merthyr Town+14%0.861.13
16Bedford Town+11%0.570.71
17Spennymoor Town+9%0.710.86
18Southport0%1.001.00
19Chorley0%1.141.14
20King's Lynn Town-7%0.860.75
21Radcliffe-8%1.000.86
22Oxford City-50%0.430.14
23AFC Telford United-51%1.140.38
24Hednesford Town-60%1.000.25

National League - North (England) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Marine has the best home defensive record in the National League - North (England), conceding just 0.29 goals/match at home compared to 1.14 away — a Defence Advantage of +60%. Hednesford Town struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.25 away (-60%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — England