MatchPulse
National League

National League — Home Advantage

England · 2026/27

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1AFC Hornchurch+43%+23%+62%2.14/0.67
2Eastleigh+30%+47%+12%1.88/0.50
3Tamworth+25%+14%+37%1.63/0.57
4Scunthorpe+24%+35%+14%1.17/0.33
5Harrogate Town+24%+35%+13%2.38/1.63
6Gateshead+23%+30%+16%0.67/0.00
7Aldershot Town+21%+26%+16%1.63/1.00
8FC Halifax Town+18%+24%+13%1.89/1.00
9Altrincham+17%+25%+8%2.00/1.50
10Barrow+15%-1%+31%1.86/1.50
11Kidderminster Harriers+10%-6%+25%1.50/1.13
12AFC Fylde+8%0%+17%1.75/1.88
13Hartlepool+8%-22%+38%1.29/0.67
14Boston United+3%-17%+23%1.11/1.14
15Yeovil Town+2%+14%-10%1.75/1.75
16Forest Green-1%+12%-15%1.22/1.60
17Sutton Utd-2%0%-5%1.63/1.38
18Worthing-3%-6%+1%1.56/2.00
19Carlisle-5%+13%-22%1.50/1.75
20Solihull Moors-8%-38%+22%0.67/1.00
21Boreham Wood-8%+14%-29%2.75/2.75
22Southend-9%-9%-9%1.86/1.78
23Woking-10%-4%-17%1.00/1.63
24Wealdstone-17%+4%-38%0.88/1.38

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

National League (England) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the National League (England), the average home win rate is 47% compared to 36% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. AFC Hornchurch shows the strongest home advantage, winning 71% of home games versus just 22% away (a difference of +49%). At the other end, Woking actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 25% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Eastleigh+47%1.750.63
2Harrogate Town+35%2.881.38
3Scunthorpe+35%1.830.89
4Gateshead+30%0.830.44
5Aldershot Town+26%1.500.88
6Altrincham+25%1.881.13
7FC Halifax Town+24%2.111.29
8AFC Hornchurch+23%1.430.89
9Yeovil Town+14%2.501.88
10Boreham Wood+14%3.132.38
11Tamworth+14%1.881.43
12Carlisle+13%2.251.75
13Forest Green+12%1.781.40
14Wealdstone+4%1.501.38
15Sutton Utd0%1.251.25
16AFC Fylde0%1.881.88
17Barrow-1%1.711.75
18Woking-4%1.501.63
19Kidderminster Harriers-6%1.001.13
20Worthing-6%1.892.14
21Southend-9%2.142.56
22Boston United-17%1.111.57
23Hartlepool-22%0.861.33
24Solihull Moors-38%0.781.71

National League (England) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Eastleigh has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the National League (England), netting 1.75 goals/match at home versus 0.63 away — a Scoring Advantage of +47%. In contrast, Solihull Moors scores more away (1.71/match) than at home (0.78/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -38% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1AFC Hornchurch+62%0.572.44
2Hartlepool+38%1.002.22
3Tamworth+37%1.383.00
4Barrow+31%0.861.63
5Kidderminster Harriers+25%0.751.25
6Boston United+23%1.442.29
7Solihull Moors+22%2.003.14
8AFC Fylde+17%1.251.75
9Gateshead+16%1.832.56
10Aldershot Town+16%1.001.38
11Scunthorpe+14%1.672.22
12Harrogate Town+13%1.251.63
13FC Halifax Town+13%1.111.43
14Eastleigh+12%1.381.75
15Altrincham+8%1.381.63
16Worthing+1%1.561.57
17Sutton Utd-5%1.381.25
18Southend-9%1.861.56
19Yeovil Town-10%1.381.13
20Forest Green-15%1.891.40
21Woking-17%1.751.25
22Carlisle-22%1.751.13
23Boreham Wood-29%1.380.75
24Wealdstone-38%2.501.13

National League (England) — Home Defence Analysis

AFC Hornchurch has the best home defensive record in the National League (England), conceding just 0.57 goals/match at home compared to 2.44 away — a Defence Advantage of +62%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Wealdstone concedes more at home (2.50/match) than away (1.13/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Aldershot Town+78%1.000.13
2AFC Hornchurch+53%0.710.22
3Yeovil Town+50%1.130.38
4Eastleigh+50%0.750.25
5Kidderminster Harriers+50%0.750.25
6Harrogate Town+43%1.250.50
7Boreham Wood+33%1.250.63
8Carlisle+29%1.130.63
9Sutton Utd+27%0.880.50
10Altrincham+23%1.000.63
11Scunthorpe+20%0.500.33
12Woking+20%0.750.50
13Worthing+17%1.000.71
14FC Halifax Town+13%0.560.43
15Forest Green+5%0.670.60
16Tamworth+4%0.630.57
17Wealdstone0%0.630.63
18Boston United-12%0.781.00
19Gateshead-14%0.170.22
20Solihull Moors-21%0.560.86
21Barrow-27%0.290.50
22AFC Fylde-33%0.501.00
23Southend-43%0.711.78
24Hartlepool-59%0.140.56

National League (England) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Aldershot Town has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League (England), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.13 away — a Scoring Advantage of +78%. At the other end, Hartlepool shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.14/match at home against 0.56 away (-59%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Kidderminster Harriers+80%0.131.13
2Barrow+56%0.140.50
3AFC Hornchurch+56%0.291.00
4Hartlepool+51%0.290.89
5Harrogate Town+50%0.381.13
6Boston United+44%0.441.14
7FC Halifax Town+36%0.330.71
8Tamworth+35%0.751.57
9Aldershot Town+33%0.380.75
10Eastleigh+27%0.500.88
11Altrincham+20%0.500.75
12Solihull Moors+19%0.781.14
13Scunthorpe+19%0.831.22
14Carlisle+14%0.380.50
15Southend+13%0.430.56
16Sutton Utd+11%0.500.63
17AFC Fylde0%0.750.75
18Forest Green-25%0.670.40
19Gateshead-26%1.330.78
20Boreham Wood-33%0.500.25
21Wealdstone-33%1.000.50
22Worthing-35%0.890.43
23Woking-50%1.130.38
24Yeovil Town-100%0.500.00

National League (England) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Kidderminster Harriers has the best home defensive record in the National League (England), conceding just 0.13 goals/match at home compared to 1.13 away — a Defence Advantage of +80%. Yeovil Town struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.50/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Gateshead+50%0.670.22
2Eastleigh+45%1.000.38
3Scunthorpe+41%1.330.56
4Harrogate Town+30%1.630.88
5Southend+29%1.430.78
6FC Halifax Town+29%1.560.86
7Altrincham+27%0.880.50
8AFC Fylde+22%1.380.88
9Tamworth+19%1.250.86
10Forest Green+16%1.110.80
11Wealdstone+8%0.880.75
12Barrow+7%1.431.25
13AFC Hornchurch+3%0.710.67
14Boreham Wood+3%1.881.75
15Carlisle0%1.131.13
16Hartlepool-4%0.710.78
17Yeovil Town-4%1.381.50
18Aldershot Town-20%0.500.75
19Woking-20%0.751.13
20Worthing-23%0.891.43
21Boston United-26%0.330.57
22Sutton Utd-33%0.380.75
23Kidderminster Harriers-56%0.250.88
24Solihull Moors-59%0.220.86

National League (England) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Gateshead has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League (England), netting 0.67 goals/match at home versus 0.22 away — a Scoring Advantage of +50%. At the other end, Solihull Moors shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.22/match at home against 0.86 away (-59%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1AFC Hornchurch+67%0.291.44
2Gateshead+56%0.501.78
3Tamworth+39%0.631.43
4AFC Fylde+33%0.501.00
5Hartlepool+30%0.711.33
6Worthing+26%0.671.14
7Solihull Moors+24%1.222.00
8Barrow+22%0.711.13
9Woking+17%0.630.88
10Yeovil Town+13%0.881.13
11Scunthorpe+9%0.831.00
12Boston United+7%1.001.14
13Aldershot Town0%0.630.63
14Eastleigh0%0.880.88
15Altrincham0%0.880.88
16FC Halifax Town-4%0.780.71
17Forest Green-10%1.221.00
18Sutton Utd-17%0.880.63
19Southend-18%1.431.00
20Boreham Wood-27%0.880.50
21Harrogate Town-27%0.880.50
22Carlisle-37%1.380.63
23Wealdstone-41%1.500.63
24Kidderminster Harriers-67%0.630.13

National League (England) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, AFC Hornchurch has the best home defensive record in the National League (England), conceding just 0.29 goals/match at home compared to 1.44 away — a Defence Advantage of +67%. Kidderminster Harriers struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.63/match at home versus 0.13 away (-67%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — England