MatchPulse
Non League Premier - Northern

Non League Premier - Northern — Home Advantage

England · 2026/27

England — Non League Premier - Northern 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Competition
Home & Away TablesForm TableHome AdvantageAway AdvantageDrawsPredictions
Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To Score
Over/Under
Over 0.5 ~ 5.5 TablesUnder 0.5 ~ 5.5 Tables
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1st Half Table2nd Half TableWinning / Losing at HT

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Alfreton Town+30%+38%+23%2.11/0.57
2Hyde United+28%+19%+36%1.57/0.44
3Bury+23%+42%+3%2.00/1.17
4Rylands+22%+32%+12%2.29/1.25
5United of Manchester+21%+40%+1%1.11/0.29
6Curzon Ashton+13%-7%+33%2.38/1.50
7Stockton Town+13%+4%+21%1.38/0.50
8Bamber Bridge+12%+22%+3%1.00/0.38
9Leek Town+10%+3%+18%1.14/0.67
10Avro+9%+30%-12%2.29/1.44
11Ashton United+8%-1%+17%0.89/0.86
12Workington+4%+5%+3%1.57/1.78
13Ilkeston Town+1%-21%+24%1.00/0.57
14AFC Emley+1%+1%+1%1.25/1.11
15Lancaster City-1%-14%+11%1.25/1.22
16Cleethorpes Town-2%0%-4%2.38/2.00
17Quorn-4%+10%-19%1.29/1.13
18Guiseley AFC-5%+16%-26%2.14/2.13
19Redcar Athletic-11%-3%-20%2.25/2.13
20Gainsborough Trinity-13%-25%-2%1.44/2.29
21Warrington Town-15%-9%-21%1.00/2.11
22Whitby Town-24%-47%-2%0.78/1.71

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Non League Premier - Northern (England), the average home win rate is 45% compared to 34% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Alfreton Town shows the strongest home advantage, winning 67% of home games versus just 14% away (a difference of +52%). At the other end, Warrington Town actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 14% versus 67% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Bury+42%2.881.17
2United of Manchester+40%1.670.71
3Alfreton Town+38%1.890.86
4Rylands+32%2.431.25
5Avro+30%3.291.78
6Bamber Bridge+22%1.380.88
7Hyde United+19%1.140.78
8Guiseley AFC+16%2.571.88
9Quorn+10%2.001.63
10Workington+5%1.861.67
11Stockton Town+4%1.501.38
12Leek Town+3%2.001.89
13AFC Emley+1%1.131.11
14Cleethorpes Town0%2.132.14
15Ashton United-1%1.111.14
16Redcar Athletic-3%2.132.25
17Curzon Ashton-7%1.752.00
18Warrington Town-9%1.571.89
19Lancaster City-14%1.001.33
20Ilkeston Town-21%0.560.86
21Gainsborough Trinity-25%1.562.57
22Whitby Town-47%0.782.14

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Bury has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Non League Premier - Northern (England), netting 2.88 goals/match at home versus 1.17 away — a Scoring Advantage of +42%. In contrast, Whitby Town scores more away (2.14/match) than at home (0.78/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -47% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Hyde United+36%1.142.44
2Curzon Ashton+33%0.751.50
3Ilkeston Town+24%1.672.71
4Alfreton Town+23%0.891.43
5Stockton Town+21%1.382.13
6Leek Town+18%1.862.67
7Ashton United+17%1.111.57
8Rylands+12%1.291.63
9Lancaster City+11%1.501.89
10Bury+3%1.251.33
11Workington+3%1.571.67
12Bamber Bridge+3%2.252.38
13United of Manchester+1%1.671.71
14AFC Emley+1%1.631.67
15Gainsborough Trinity-2%1.331.29
16Whitby Town-2%2.672.57
17Cleethorpes Town-4%0.630.57
18Avro-12%2.141.67
19Quorn-19%2.571.75
20Redcar Athletic-20%1.130.75
21Warrington Town-21%1.861.22
22Guiseley AFC-26%1.290.75

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Defence Analysis

Hyde United has the best home defensive record in the Non League Premier - Northern (England), conceding just 1.14 goals/match at home compared to 2.44 away — a Defence Advantage of +36%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Guiseley AFC concedes more at home (1.29/match) than away (0.75/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Rylands+48%1.430.50
2Avro+48%1.570.56
3Cleethorpes Town+34%0.880.43
4Curzon Ashton+33%1.250.63
5Alfreton Town+29%0.780.43
6Bury+29%1.500.83
7Redcar Athletic+23%1.000.63
8Guiseley AFC+19%1.290.88
9Ashton United+13%0.560.43
10United of Manchester+13%0.560.43
11Hyde United+13%0.570.44
12Workington+13%0.430.33
13Quorn+7%0.860.75
14Bamber Bridge0%0.250.25
15Stockton Town0%0.630.63
16Leek Town-8%0.861.00
17Warrington Town-11%0.710.89
18AFC Emley-14%0.500.67
19Whitby Town-32%0.220.43
20Lancaster City-51%0.250.78
21Gainsborough Trinity-53%0.441.43
22Ilkeston Town-100%0.000.57

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Rylands has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Non League Premier - Northern (England), netting 1.43 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +48%. At the other end, Ilkeston Town shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.57 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Rylands+51%0.290.88
2Ilkeston Town+35%0.561.14
3Curzon Ashton+33%0.380.75
4Alfreton Town+32%0.220.43
5Gainsborough Trinity+32%0.220.43
6Hyde United+29%0.430.78
7Stockton Town+23%0.631.00
8AFC Emley+22%0.500.78
9Bury+14%0.500.67
10Leek Town+14%1.001.33
11Whitby Town+4%1.441.57
12Quorn+2%0.710.75
13Lancaster City+2%0.750.78
14United of Manchester+1%0.560.57
15Workington-1%0.570.56
16Ashton United-4%0.780.71
17Bamber Bridge-7%1.000.88
18Redcar Athletic-14%0.500.38
19Guiseley AFC-18%0.710.50
20Warrington Town-21%0.860.56
21Avro-38%1.000.44
22Cleethorpes Town-45%0.380.14

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Rylands has the best home defensive record in the Non League Premier - Northern (England), conceding just 0.29 goals/match at home compared to 0.88 away — a Defence Advantage of +51%. Cleethorpes Town struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.38/match at home versus 0.14 away (-45%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Bury+61%1.380.33
2United of Manchester+59%1.110.29
3Alfreton Town+44%1.110.43
4Ilkeston Town+32%0.560.29
5Bamber Bridge+29%1.130.63
6Hyde United+26%0.570.33
7AFC Emley+17%0.630.44
8Avro+17%1.711.22
9Lancaster City+15%0.750.56
10Rylands+14%1.000.75
11Quorn+13%1.140.88
12Guiseley AFC+13%1.291.00
13Leek Town+13%1.140.89
14Stockton Town+8%0.880.75
15Workington+3%1.431.33
16Gainsborough Trinity-1%1.111.14
17Warrington Town-8%0.861.00
18Ashton United-12%0.560.71
19Cleethorpes Town-16%1.251.71
20Redcar Athletic-18%1.131.63
21Curzon Ashton-47%0.501.38
22Whitby Town-51%0.561.71

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Bury has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Non League Premier - Northern (England), netting 1.38 goals/match at home versus 0.33 away — a Scoring Advantage of +61%. At the other end, Whitby Town shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.56/match at home against 1.71 away (-51%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Ashton United+44%0.330.86
2Hyde United+40%0.711.67
3Curzon Ashton+33%0.380.75
4Cleethorpes Town+26%0.250.43
5Leek Town+22%0.861.33
6Alfreton Town+20%0.671.00
7Stockton Town+20%0.751.13
8Lancaster City+19%0.751.11
9Ilkeston Town+17%1.111.57
10Bamber Bridge+9%1.251.50
11Workington+5%1.001.11
12Avro+3%1.141.22
13United of Manchester+1%1.111.14
14Bury-6%0.750.67
15Whitby Town-10%1.221.00
16AFC Emley-12%1.130.89
17Gainsborough Trinity-13%1.110.86
18Rylands-14%1.000.75
19Warrington Town-20%1.000.67
20Redcar Athletic-25%0.630.38
21Quorn-30%1.861.00
22Guiseley AFC-39%0.570.25

Non League Premier - Northern (England) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Ashton United has the best home defensive record in the Non League Premier - Northern (England), conceding just 0.33 goals/match at home compared to 0.86 away — a Defence Advantage of +44%. Guiseley AFC struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.57/match at home versus 0.25 away (-39%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — England