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Premier League — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

England — Premier League 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 9 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Bournemouth917.71.979.51.061413-3.7
2Brighton916.31.8111.51.28247+7.7
3Manchester City916.11.7910.41.162010+3.9
4Chelsea915.11.6813.41.491915+3.9
5Arsenal914.71.638.20.92145-0.7
6Manchester United914.41.6015.81.761015-4.4
7Nottingham Forest913.91.559.31.03612-7.9
8Fulham913.51.5011.71.30911-4.5
9Brentford913.31.4813.61.51169+2.7
10Ipswich913.11.4618.22.021418+0.9
11Liverpool912.81.4211.91.33119-1.7
12Crystal Palace912.01.3316.51.83921-3
13Everton911.61.2913.21.4799-2.6
14Sunderland911.61.2913.81.54717-4.6
15Newcastle911.41.2715.31.701215+0.6
16Tottenham911.11.2410.71.191010-1.1
17Hull City910.51.1713.51.501110+0.5
18Aston Villa910.31.1417.01.891013-0.3
19Leeds99.91.1012.51.3998-0.9
20Coventry99.11.0112.31.36916-0.1
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
BournemouthHigh xGF1.97
BrightonHigh xGF1.81
Manchester CityHigh xGF1.79
CoventryLow xGF1.01
LeedsLow xGF1.10
Aston VillaLow xGF1.14

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.44
League avg xGA/g: 1.44
Best overperformer: Brighton (+7.7)
Biggest underperformer: Nottingham Forest (-7.9)

Premier League (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Premier League (England) averages 1.44 xG per game this season. Bournemouth creates the most chances with 1.97 xGF per game, while Coventry creates the fewest with 1.01 xGF per game. Brighton is over-performing their xG (24 goals vs 16.3 xGF) — regression likely. Nottingham Forest is under-performing (6 goals vs 13.9 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England