MatchPulse
Non League Div One - Northern Midlands

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands — Home Advantage

England · 2025/26

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Basford United+21%+20%+23%1.81/1.40
2Mickleover Sports+20%+29%+12%1.57/1.00
3Coleshill Town+12%+15%+9%1.76/1.30
4AFC Rushden & Diamonds+11%-5%+26%1.44/1.10
5Racing Club Warwick+10%+16%+4%1.57/1.55
6Loughborough University+6%-15%+28%1.63/0.90
7Anstey Nomads+6%-5%+18%2.45/1.90
8Wellingborough Town+6%+19%-7%1.40/1.40
9Long Eaton United+5%+1%+8%1.62/1.14
10St Neots Town+4%+6%+1%1.10/0.95
11Bourne Town+3%-2%+8%1.05/1.05
12Belper Town+3%-2%+7%1.62/1.63
13Shepshed Dynamo+2%0%+5%1.65/1.35
14Boldmere St. Michaels+1%+6%-3%1.05/1.52
15Coventry Sphinx+1%+6%-4%1.05/1.00
16Rugby Town0%+2%-1%0.86/0.80
17Rugby Borough0%+7%-7%1.05/1.33
18Sutton Coldfield Town-1%-14%+13%1.29/1.43
19Lichfield City-1%+8%-10%1.48/1.38
20Carlton Town-4%+5%-13%1.95/2.29
21Bedworth United-5%+6%-17%1.10/1.29
22Corby Town-16%-17%-16%1.00/1.65

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), the average home win rate is 40% compared to 37% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Anstey Nomads shows the strongest home advantage, winning 80% of home games versus just 52% away (a difference of +28%). At the other end, Boldmere St. Michaels actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 29% versus 48% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Mickleover Sports+29%1.901.05
2Basford United+20%1.711.15
3Wellingborough Town+19%1.701.15
4Racing Club Warwick+16%1.711.25
5Coleshill Town+15%1.431.05
6Lichfield City+8%1.291.10
7Rugby Borough+7%1.251.10
8Bedworth United+6%1.191.05
9St Neots Town+6%1.291.14
10Boldmere St. Michaels+6%1.331.19
11Coventry Sphinx+6%1.291.15
12Carlton Town+5%2.051.86
13Rugby Town+2%1.051.00
14Long Eaton United+1%1.621.57
15Shepshed Dynamo0%1.251.25
16Belper Town-2%1.521.58
17Bourne Town-2%1.291.35
18AFC Rushden & Diamonds-5%1.221.35
19Anstey Nomads-5%1.802.00
20Sutton Coldfield Town-14%1.431.90
21Loughborough University-15%1.261.71
22Corby Town-17%1.001.40

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Mickleover Sports has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), netting 1.90 goals/match at home versus 1.05 away — a Scoring Advantage of +29%. In contrast, Corby Town scores more away (1.40/match) than at home (1.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -17% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Loughborough University+28%1.051.86
2AFC Rushden & Diamonds+26%1.061.80
3Basford United+23%1.001.60
4Anstey Nomads+18%0.701.00
5Sutton Coldfield Town+13%1.481.90
6Mickleover Sports+12%1.431.80
7Coleshill Town+9%1.101.30
8Bourne Town+8%1.521.80
9Long Eaton United+8%1.381.62
10Belper Town+7%1.101.26
11Shepshed Dynamo+5%1.001.10
12Racing Club Warwick+4%1.291.40
13St Neots Town+1%1.621.67
14Rugby Town-1%1.901.85
15Boldmere St. Michaels-3%1.711.62
16Coventry Sphinx-4%1.671.55
17Rugby Borough-7%1.251.10
18Wellingborough Town-7%1.100.95
19Lichfield City-10%1.521.24
20Carlton Town-13%1.301.00
21Corby Town-16%1.671.20
22Bedworth United-17%1.481.05

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Defence Analysis

Loughborough University has the best home defensive record in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), conceding just 1.05 goals/match at home compared to 1.86 away — a Defence Advantage of +28%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Bedworth United concedes more at home (1.48/match) than away (1.05/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Bedworth United+40%0.700.30
2Coleshill Town+31%0.480.25
3Wellingborough Town+27%0.790.45
4Basford United+19%0.700.47
5Mickleover Sports+15%0.810.60
6Lichfield City+8%0.650.55
7Boldmere St. Michaels+6%0.430.38
8Loughborough University+5%0.740.67
9Shepshed Dynamo+4%0.650.60
10Bourne Town+1%0.710.70
11AFC Rushden & Diamonds-6%0.470.53
12Rugby Borough-6%0.580.65
13Belper Town-6%0.750.84
14Carlton Town-6%0.840.95
15Long Eaton United-6%0.620.70
16Racing Club Warwick-6%0.570.65
17Coventry Sphinx-13%0.450.58
18Anstey Nomads-13%0.801.05
19St Neots Town-16%0.400.55
20Corby Town-17%0.330.47
21Sutton Coldfield Town-19%0.520.76
22Rugby Town-22%0.380.60

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Bedworth United has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), netting 0.70 goals/match at home versus 0.30 away — a Scoring Advantage of +40%. At the other end, Rugby Town shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.38/match at home against 0.60 away (-22%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Shepshed Dynamo+33%0.250.50
2Basford United+33%0.400.79
3AFC Rushden & Diamonds+32%0.350.68
4Racing Club Warwick+30%0.380.70
5Long Eaton United+21%0.620.95
6Sutton Coldfield Town+14%0.710.95
7Loughborough University+11%0.680.86
8Mickleover Sports+8%0.810.95
9Lichfield City+4%0.600.65
10Anstey Nomads+3%0.400.43
11Rugby Borough+3%0.420.45
12Belper Town+3%0.450.47
13St Neots Town0%0.700.70
14Wellingborough Town-3%0.420.40
15Coleshill Town-3%0.480.45
16Bourne Town-9%0.480.40
17Carlton Town-15%0.470.35
18Coventry Sphinx-16%0.800.58
19Corby Town-26%0.890.53
20Rugby Town-27%1.140.65
21Boldmere St. Michaels-29%1.050.57
22Bedworth United-36%0.750.35

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Shepshed Dynamo has the best home defensive record in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), conceding just 0.25 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. Bedworth United struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.75/match at home versus 0.35 away (-36%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Mickleover Sports+42%1.100.45
2Racing Club Warwick+31%1.140.60
3Basford United+27%1.100.63
4Coventry Sphinx+26%0.900.53
5Rugby Town+25%0.670.40
6Rugby Borough+19%0.740.50
7St Neots Town+17%0.850.60
8Wellingborough Town+15%0.950.70
9Carlton Town+12%1.210.95
10Long Eaton United+11%1.000.80
11Coleshill Town+9%0.950.80
12Lichfield City+8%0.650.55
13Boldmere St. Michaels+6%0.900.81
14Anstey Nomads+2%1.000.95
15Belper Town+1%0.750.74
16Shepshed Dynamo-4%0.600.65
17Bourne Town-6%0.570.65
18Sutton Coldfield Town-12%0.901.14
19Bedworth United-20%0.500.75
20Corby Town-20%0.671.00
21AFC Rushden & Diamonds-21%0.590.89
22Loughborough University-33%0.531.05

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Mickleover Sports has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), netting 1.10 goals/match at home versus 0.45 away — a Scoring Advantage of +42%. At the other end, Loughborough University shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.53/match at home against 1.05 away (-33%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Loughborough University+46%0.371.00
2Anstey Nomads+31%0.300.57
3AFC Rushden & Diamonds+30%0.651.21
4Rugby Town+22%0.761.20
5Boldmere St. Michaels+22%0.671.05
6Coleshill Town+16%0.620.85
7Mickleover Sports+16%0.620.85
8Bourne Town+14%1.051.40
9Sutton Coldfield Town+11%0.760.95
10Belper Town+10%0.650.79
11St Neots Town+6%0.850.95
12Coventry Sphinx+3%0.951.00
13Basford United+3%0.650.68
14Corby Town-3%0.780.74
15Long Eaton United-8%0.760.65
16Carlton Town-9%0.840.70
17Bedworth United-10%0.800.65
18Wellingborough Town-11%0.680.55
19Shepshed Dynamo-11%0.750.60
20Racing Club Warwick-13%0.900.70
21Rugby Borough-13%0.840.65
22Lichfield City-20%0.900.60

Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Loughborough University has the best home defensive record in the Non League Div One - Northern Midlands (England), conceding just 0.37 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +46%. Lichfield City struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.90/match at home versus 0.60 away (-20%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — England