MatchPulse
Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations — Home Advantage

World · 2025/26

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Comoros+50%0%+100%1.00/0.50
2Congo DR+43%-14%+100%3.00/1.33
3Egypt+38%+100%-23%2.60/0.50
4Burkina Faso+32%+50%+14%3.00/1.00
5Tunisia+32%+38%+25%3.00/0.67
6Ivory Coast+28%-20%+76%2.33/1.50
7Gabon+25%+100%-50%0.00/0.00
8Tanzania+17%+20%+14%1.00/0.33
9Angola+13%-33%+60%1.00/0.00
10Uganda+10%0%+20%0.50/0.00
11Benin+7%0%+14%1.50/0.00
12Mozambique+4%0%+8%0.00/1.00
13Zimbabwe0%+33%-33%0.00/0.50
14South Africa0%0%0%1.50/1.50
15Algeria-4%-41%+33%2.25/3.00
16Mali-10%+14%-33%0.67/1.00
17Botswana-10%0%-20%0.00/0.00
18Nigeria-12%+15%-38%2.50/2.33
19Equatorial Guinea-17%-33%0%0.00/0.00
20Cameroon-27%-54%0%1.50/2.33
21Senegal-50%0%-100%2.50/3.00
22Sudan-50%-100%0%0.00/1.00
23Morocco-56%-11%-100%2.33/2.33
24Zambia-60%-100%-20%0.50/1.00

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Africa Cup of Nations (World), the average home win rate is 57% compared to 44% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Egypt shows the strongest home advantage, winning 80% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +80%). At the other end, Senegal actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 75% versus 100% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Egypt+100%1.800.00
2Gabon+100%2.000.00
3Burkina Faso+50%2.000.67
4Tunisia+38%3.001.33
5Zimbabwe+33%2.001.00
6Tanzania+20%1.000.67
7Nigeria+15%2.251.67
8Mali+14%0.670.50
9Senegal0%2.002.00
10Mozambique0%1.001.00
11Benin0%0.500.50
12Uganda0%1.001.00
13Botswana0%0.000.00
14Comoros0%0.000.00
15South Africa0%1.501.50
16Morocco-11%1.331.67
17Congo DR-14%1.001.33
18Ivory Coast-20%1.672.50
19Equatorial Guinea-33%0.501.00
20Angola-33%0.501.00
21Algeria-41%1.253.00
22Cameroon-54%0.501.67
23Zambia-100%0.001.00
24Sudan-100%0.000.67

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Egypt has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Africa Cup of Nations (World), netting 1.80 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. In contrast, Cameroon scores more away (1.67/match) than at home (0.50/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -54% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Congo DR+100%0.000.67
2Comoros+100%0.001.00
3Ivory Coast+76%0.332.50
4Angola+60%0.502.00
5Algeria+33%0.501.00
6Tunisia+25%1.001.67
7Uganda+20%2.003.00
8Tanzania+14%1.001.33
9Burkina Faso+14%1.001.33
10Benin+14%1.502.00
11Mozambique+8%2.002.33
12Sudan0%2.002.00
13Equatorial Guinea0%2.002.00
14Cameroon0%1.001.00
15South Africa0%1.501.50
16Zambia-20%1.501.00
17Botswana-20%3.002.00
18Egypt-23%0.800.50
19Mali-33%1.000.50
20Zimbabwe-33%3.001.50
21Nigeria-38%0.750.33
22Gabon-50%3.001.00
23Senegal-100%0.500.00
24Morocco-100%0.330.00

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Defence Analysis

Ivory Coast has the best home defensive record in the Africa Cup of Nations (World), conceding just 0.33 goals/match at home compared to 2.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +76%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Morocco concedes more at home (0.33/match) than away (0.00/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Egypt+100%0.600.00
2Benin+100%0.500.00
3Nigeria+50%1.000.33
4Mali0%0.000.00
5South Africa0%0.500.50
6Senegal-14%0.751.00
7Cameroon-14%0.500.67
8Ivory Coast-20%0.671.00
9Morocco-50%0.331.00

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Egypt has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Africa Cup of Nations (World), netting 0.60 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Morocco shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.33/match at home against 1.00 away (-50%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Ivory Coast+100%0.002.00
2Mali+20%0.330.50
3Nigeria0%0.000.00
4Morocco0%0.000.00
5Benin0%0.500.50
6South Africa0%1.001.00
7Cameroon-20%0.500.33
8Senegal-100%0.250.00
9Egypt-100%0.400.00

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Ivory Coast has the best home defensive record in the Africa Cup of Nations (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 2.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Egypt struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.40/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Egypt+100%1.200.00
2Morocco+20%1.000.67
3Mali+14%0.670.50
4Senegal+11%1.251.00
5South Africa0%1.001.00
6Nigeria-3%1.251.33
7Ivory Coast-20%1.001.50
8Benin-100%0.000.50
9Cameroon-100%0.001.00

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Egypt has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Africa Cup of Nations (World), netting 1.20 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Cameroon shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 1.00 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Ivory Coast+20%0.330.50
2Benin+20%1.001.50
3Cameroon+14%0.500.67
4Egypt+11%0.400.50
5South Africa0%0.500.50
6Nigeria-38%0.750.33
7Senegal-100%0.250.00
8Morocco-100%0.330.00
9Mali-100%0.670.00

Africa Cup of Nations (World) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Ivory Coast has the best home defensive record in the Africa Cup of Nations (World), conceding just 0.33 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +20%. Mali struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.67/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — World