MatchPulse
World Cup - Qualification Africa

World Cup - Qualification AfricaHome Advantage

World · 2023/24

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Uganda+42%+29%+56%2.40/1.20
2Eswatini+41%+67%+16%0.60/0.00
3Togo+40%+60%+20%1.20/0.40
4Benin+39%+33%+45%2.40/1.00
5Cape Verde Islands+38%-25%+100%2.60/2.00
6Ethiopia+35%+56%+14%1.40/0.40
7Cameroon+28%+46%+9%2.17/1.20
8Niger+26%+38%+14%1.50/2.00
9Senegal+26%+18%+33%2.60/2.20
10Burundi+23%+38%+8%1.20/0.80
11Guinea-Bissau+23%+25%+20%1.20/0.80
12Mozambique+22%+14%+29%1.80/1.80
13Gabon+22%-4%+47%2.60/2.00
14Namibia+20%+9%+30%1.20/1.50
15Nigeria+19%+18%+20%2.00/1.60
16Equatorial Guinea+16%-14%+45%1.75/1.33
17Rwanda+16%+20%+11%1.00/1.20
18Libya+15%+50%-20%1.80/1.40
19Chad+14%+20%+8%0.20/0.00
20Liberia+14%+11%+17%1.50/1.20
21Sao Tome and Principe+14%+20%+8%0.60/0.00
22Malawi+12%+35%-11%1.00/1.20
23Mauritania+12%0%+23%0.80/0.60
24Ivory Coast+10%+20%0%3.00/2.20
25Egypt+10%+20%0%3.00/2.20
26Zimbabwe+10%+20%0%0.60/0.40
27South Africa+10%+30%-11%2.50/1.60
28Tunisia+9%+18%0%3.00/2.60
29Sierra Leone+8%+17%0%1.80/1.20
30Botswana+6%0%+13%1.20/0.80
31Comoros+4%+17%-8%1.80/1.20
32Angola+4%+33%-25%1.40/1.00
33Sudan+4%-25%+33%1.40/1.20
34Ghana+2%+4%0%3.00/2.00
35Kenya+2%-11%+14%1.00/1.40
36Seychelles+1%0%+2%0.00/0.00
37Djibouti+1%-20%+21%0.20/0.00
38Madagascar0%-18%+17%2.00/1.80
39Mauritius-1%-43%+41%1.00/0.20
40Zambia-3%0%-6%0.75/1.00
41Morocco-5%-9%0%3.00/3.00
42Congo DR-6%-3%-9%2.40/2.17
43Gambia-7%-4%-11%1.40/1.20
44Mali-13%+41%-67%2.00/1.60
45Guinea-14%-27%0%1.20/1.80
46Lesotho-16%-43%+11%0.80/1.25
47Algeria-17%+17%-50%2.40/2.60
48Burkina Faso-19%-13%-25%1.80/2.40
49Somalia-22%-33%-10%0.00/0.20
50Congo-23%-33%-14%0.50/0.00
51Central African Republic-28%-64%+8%0.80/0.80
52South Sudan-30%-33%-26%0.40/0.60
53Tanzania-64%-100%-28%0.00/1.75

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), the average home win rate is 43% compared to 34% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Benin shows the strongest home advantage, winning 80% of home games versus just 20% away (a difference of +60%). At the other end, Tanzania actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 0% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Eswatini+67%1.000.20
2Togo+60%0.800.20
3Ethiopia+56%1.400.40
4Libya+50%1.800.60
5Cameroon+46%2.170.80
6Mali+41%2.401.00
7Niger+38%1.500.67
8Burundi+38%1.800.80
9Malawi+35%1.250.60
10Angola+33%1.200.60
11Benin+33%1.600.80
12South Africa+30%2.251.20
13Uganda+29%1.801.00
14Guinea-Bissau+25%1.000.60
15Ivory Coast+20%3.002.00
16Egypt+20%2.401.60
17Sao Tome and Principe+20%0.600.40
18Rwanda+20%0.600.40
19Zimbabwe+20%0.600.40
20Chad+20%0.600.40
21Senegal+18%2.601.80
22Tunisia+18%2.601.80
23Nigeria+18%2.001.40
24Sierra Leone+17%1.401.00
25Comoros+17%1.401.00
26Algeria+17%2.802.00
27Mozambique+14%1.601.20
28Liberia+11%1.251.00
29Namibia+9%1.201.00
30Ghana+4%2.402.20
31Mauritania0%0.400.40
32Zambia0%1.001.00
33Seychelles0%0.200.20
34Botswana0%1.201.20
35Congo DR-3%1.401.50
36Gambia-4%2.602.80
37Gabon-4%2.002.17
38Morocco-9%2.503.00
39Kenya-11%1.602.00
40Burkina Faso-13%2.002.60
41Equatorial Guinea-14%1.001.33
42Madagascar-18%1.402.00
43Djibouti-20%0.400.60
44Sudan-25%0.601.00
45Cape Verde Islands-25%1.202.00
46Guinea-27%0.801.40
47South Sudan-33%0.200.40
48Congo-33%0.501.00
49Somalia-33%0.200.40
50Mauritius-43%0.401.00
51Lesotho-43%0.401.00
52Central African Republic-64%0.401.80
53Tanzania-100%0.000.75

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Eswatini has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +67%. In contrast, Tanzania scores more away (0.75/match) than at home (0.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -100% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Cape Verde Islands+100%0.001.60
2Uganda+56%0.401.40
3Gabon+47%0.601.67
4Benin+45%0.601.60
5Equatorial Guinea+45%0.501.33
6Mauritius+41%1.002.40
7Senegal+33%0.200.40
8Sudan+33%0.400.80
9Namibia+30%0.801.50
10Mozambique+29%1.202.20
11Mauritania+23%1.001.60
12Djibouti+21%2.604.00
13Nigeria+20%0.671.00
14Guinea-Bissau+20%0.801.20
15Togo+20%0.801.20
16Madagascar+17%1.001.40
17Liberia+17%1.001.40
18Eswatini+16%1.602.20
19Ethiopia+14%1.201.60
20Kenya+14%1.201.60
21Niger+14%1.251.67
22Botswana+13%1.401.80
23Lesotho+11%1.201.50
24Rwanda+11%0.801.00
25Cameroon+9%0.500.60
26Chad+8%2.202.60
27Central African Republic+8%2.202.60
28Sao Tome and Principe+8%2.402.80
29Burundi+8%1.201.40
30Seychelles+2%5.205.40
31Tunisia0%0.000.00
32Morocco0%0.250.25
33Egypt0%0.200.20
34Sierra Leone0%1.001.00
35Ivory Coast0%0.000.00
36Ghana0%0.600.60
37Guinea0%0.800.80
38Zimbabwe0%1.201.20
39Zambia-6%1.501.33
40Comoros-8%1.401.20
41Congo DR-9%0.600.50
42Somalia-10%2.201.80
43Gambia-11%2.001.60
44Malawi-11%1.251.00
45South Africa-11%0.750.60
46Congo-14%3.502.67
47Libya-20%1.200.80
48Burkina Faso-25%1.000.60
49Angola-25%1.000.60
50South Sudan-26%2.401.40
51Tanzania-28%1.330.75
52Algeria-50%1.200.40
53Mali-67%1.000.20

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Defence Analysis

Cape Verde Islands has the best home defensive record in the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.60 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Mali concedes more at home (1.00/match) than away (0.20/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Mauritania+100%0.200.00
2Niger+100%0.750.00
3Zambia+100%0.500.00
4Equatorial Guinea+100%0.750.00
5Libya+100%1.400.00
6Angola+100%0.400.00
7Eswatini+100%0.400.00
8Burundi+67%1.000.20
9Ethiopia+60%0.800.20
10South Africa+58%1.500.40
11Cameroon+54%1.330.40
12Benin+50%1.200.40
13Senegal+45%1.600.60
14Malawi+43%0.500.20
15Mali+43%1.000.40
16Liberia+43%1.000.40
17Mozambique+40%1.400.60
18Algeria+33%1.200.60
19Sao Tome and Principe+33%0.400.20
20Zimbabwe+33%0.400.20
21Togo+33%0.400.20
22Djibouti+33%0.400.20
23Egypt+23%1.601.00
24Sierra Leone+20%0.600.40
25Guinea+20%0.600.40
26Comoros+20%0.600.40
27Ivory Coast+14%1.601.20
28Ghana+14%0.800.60
29Congo DR+9%1.000.83
30South Sudan0%0.000.00
31Mauritius0%0.400.40
32Kenya0%0.800.80
33Guinea-Bissau0%0.400.40
34Rwanda0%0.400.40
35Uganda0%0.800.80
36Somalia0%0.000.00
37Namibia-11%0.400.50
38Tunisia-14%0.600.80
39Burkina Faso-20%0.801.20
40Gambia-27%0.801.40
41Morocco-33%0.751.50
42Madagascar-33%0.400.80
43Nigeria-41%0.330.80
44Central African Republic-43%0.401.00
45Gabon-49%0.401.17
46Sudan-50%0.200.60
47Cape Verde Islands-71%0.201.20
48Tanzania-100%0.000.25
49Seychelles-100%0.000.20
50Congo-100%0.000.67
51Lesotho-100%0.000.50
52Botswana-100%0.000.80
53Chad-100%0.000.20

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Mauritania has the biggest home scoring advantage in the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), netting 0.20 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Chad shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.20 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Senegal+100%0.000.40
2Egypt+100%0.000.20
3Niger+100%0.000.67
4Uganda+100%0.000.80
5Cape Verde Islands+100%0.001.00
6Mauritius+71%0.201.20
7Benin+67%0.201.00
8Nigeria+66%0.170.80
9Sudan+60%0.200.80
10Togo+60%0.200.80
11Eswatini+60%0.401.60
12Namibia+58%0.200.75
13Burkina Faso+50%0.200.60
14Equatorial Guinea+45%0.250.67
15Sao Tome and Principe+33%0.801.60
16Ethiopia+33%0.400.80
17Botswana+33%0.400.80
18Lesotho+30%0.400.75
19Madagascar+20%0.400.60
20Mozambique+20%0.400.60
21Guinea-Bissau+20%0.400.60
22Rwanda+20%0.400.60
23Sierra Leone+14%0.600.80
24Gabon+11%0.400.50
25Cameroon+9%0.170.20
26Chad+9%1.001.20
27Liberia+9%0.500.60
28Seychelles+4%2.602.80
29Tunisia0%0.000.00
30Morocco0%0.000.00
31Mali0%0.000.00
32Ivory Coast0%0.000.00
33Ghana0%0.400.40
34Zambia0%1.001.00
35Somalia0%1.201.20
36Djibouti-6%1.801.60
37Congo DR-9%0.200.17
38South Sudan-11%1.000.80
39South Africa-11%0.500.40
40Gambia-14%0.800.60
41Guinea-20%0.600.40
42Comoros-20%0.600.40
43Libya-20%0.600.40
44Burundi-20%0.600.40
45Central African Republic-25%1.000.60
46Mauritania-33%0.800.40
47Congo-33%2.001.00
48Algeria-50%0.600.20
49Kenya-60%0.800.20
50Zimbabwe-67%1.000.20
51Tanzania-100%0.330.00
52Malawi-100%0.500.00
53Angola-100%0.600.00

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Senegal has the best home defensive record in the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.40 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Angola struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.60/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Rwanda+100%0.200.00
2Seychelles+100%0.200.00
3Togo+100%0.400.00
4Uganda+67%1.000.20
5Ethiopia+50%0.600.20
6Guinea-Bissau+50%0.600.20
7Botswana+50%1.200.40
8Chad+50%0.600.20
9Eswatini+50%0.600.20
10Nigeria+47%1.670.60
11Mali+40%1.400.60
12Cameroon+35%0.830.40
13Tunisia+33%2.001.00
14Malawi+30%0.750.40
15Ivory Coast+27%1.400.80
16Namibia+23%0.800.50
17Gabon+23%1.601.00
18Congo+20%0.500.33
19Egypt+14%0.800.60
20Sierra Leone+14%0.800.60
21Comoros+14%0.800.60
22Burundi+14%0.800.60
23Angola+14%0.800.60
24Gambia+13%1.801.40
25Cape Verde Islands+11%1.000.80
26Morocco+8%1.751.50
27Algeria+7%1.601.40
28Niger+6%0.750.67
29Sao Tome and Principe0%0.200.20
30Ghana0%1.601.60
31Sudan0%0.400.40
32Benin0%0.400.40
33Zimbabwe0%0.200.20
34South Africa-3%0.750.80
35Burkina Faso-8%1.201.40
36Senegal-9%1.001.20
37Madagascar-9%1.001.20
38Lesotho-11%0.400.50
39Kenya-20%0.801.20
40Libya-20%0.400.60
41Congo DR-25%0.400.67
42Mauritania-33%0.200.40
43South Sudan-33%0.200.40
44Zambia-33%0.501.00
45Somalia-33%0.200.40
46Liberia-41%0.250.60
47Mozambique-50%0.200.60
48Guinea-67%0.201.00
49Equatorial Guinea-68%0.251.33
50Tanzania-100%0.000.50
51Mauritius-100%0.000.60
52Central African Republic-100%0.000.80
53Djibouti-100%0.000.40

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Rwanda has the biggest home scoring advantage in the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), netting 0.20 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Djibouti shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.40 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Cape Verde Islands+100%0.000.60
2Mauritania+71%0.201.20
3Gabon+71%0.201.17
4Zimbabwe+67%0.201.00
5Kenya+56%0.401.40
6Djibouti+50%0.802.40
7Equatorial Guinea+45%0.250.67
8Guinea+33%0.200.40
9Mozambique+33%0.801.60
10Central African Republic+25%1.202.00
11Burundi+25%0.601.00
12Liberia+23%0.500.80
13Mauritius+20%0.801.20
14Guinea-Bissau+20%0.400.60
15Benin+20%0.400.60
16Uganda+20%0.400.60
17Angola+20%0.400.60
18Madagascar+14%0.600.80
19Malawi+14%0.751.00
20Namibia+11%0.600.75
21Cameroon+9%0.330.40
22Chad+8%1.201.40
23Congo+5%1.501.67
24Tunisia0%0.000.00
25Morocco0%0.250.25
26Ivory Coast0%0.000.00
27Ghana0%0.200.20
28Ethiopia0%0.800.80
29Rwanda0%0.400.40
30Seychelles0%2.602.60
31Botswana0%1.001.00
32Comoros0%0.800.80
33Lesotho-3%0.800.75
34Gambia-9%1.201.00
35Congo DR-9%0.400.33
36South Africa-11%0.250.20
37Niger-11%1.251.00
38Tanzania-14%1.000.75
39Sao Tome and Principe-14%1.601.20
40Libya-20%0.600.40
41Togo-20%0.600.40
42Zambia-20%0.500.33
43Somalia-25%1.000.60
44Sierra Leone-33%0.400.20
45Eswatini-33%1.200.60
46South Sudan-40%1.400.60
47Nigeria-43%0.500.20
48Algeria-50%0.600.20
49Mali-67%1.000.20
50Senegal-100%0.200.00
51Egypt-100%0.200.00
52Burkina Faso-100%0.800.00
53Sudan-100%0.200.00

World Cup - Qualification Africa (World) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Cape Verde Islands has the best home defensive record in the World Cup - Qualification Africa (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.60 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Sudan struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.20/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage TablesWorld