MatchPulse
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification — Home Advantage

World · 2027

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Namibia+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
2Gabon+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
3Equatorial Guinea+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
4Togo+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
5Nigeria+75%+100%+50%3.00/0.00
6Niger+67%+100%+33%3.00/0.00
7Zambia+67%+33%+100%3.00/0.00
8Congo DR+50%0%+100%3.00/3.00
9Guinea+50%0%+100%3.00/0.00
10Sudan+50%0%+100%3.00/0.00
11Kenya+50%+100%0%1.00/0.00
12Congo+50%+100%0%1.00/0.00
13Uganda+50%0%+100%3.00/1.00
14Comoros+50%0%+100%3.00/0.00
15Eswatini+50%+100%0%0.00/0.00
16Mauritania+42%+50%+33%3.00/0.00
17Malawi+42%+33%+50%3.00/0.00
18Ghana+33%+100%-33%0.00/0.00
19Libya+33%+100%-33%1.00/0.00
20Algeria+27%+20%+33%3.00/1.00
21Sierra Leone+25%+100%-50%0.00/0.00
22Cameroon+25%+50%0%3.00/1.00
23Madagascar+17%0%+33%1.00/0.00
24Benin+17%+33%0%3.00/1.00
25Guinea-Bissau+10%+20%0%3.00/3.00
26Rwanda+10%+20%0%3.00/3.00
27Cape Verde Islands+10%0%+20%0.00/0.00
28Lesotho+7%+33%-20%1.50/0.50
29Morocco0%0%0%3.00/3.00
30Gambia0%-33%+33%3.00/3.00
31Mauritius0%0%0%1.00/1.00
32Ivory Coast0%0%0%3.00/3.00
33Seychelles0%-100%+100%1.00/0.00
34Chad0%0%0%0.00/0.00
35Angola0%+100%-100%3.00/1.00
36Burundi-7%+20%-33%2.00/1.50
37Sao Tome and Principe-25%0%-50%0.00/0.00
38Mali-25%+50%-100%3.00/3.00
39Ethiopia-25%-50%0%1.50/1.50
40Zimbabwe-25%-50%0%0.00/3.00
41Liberia-25%-100%+50%0.00/0.00
42Central African Republic-25%-100%+50%0.00/0.00
43Eritrea-31%-20%-43%1.50/2.00
44Egypt-50%-100%0%1.00/3.00
45Burkina Faso-50%0%-100%1.00/3.00
46Somalia-50%-100%0%0.50/0.50
47Tanzania-67%-100%-33%0.00/1.00
48South Africa-71%-43%-100%3.00/3.00
49South Sudan-75%-100%-50%0.00/1.50
50Djibouti-100%-100%-100%0.00/3.00

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), the average home win rate is 33% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Lesotho shows the strongest home advantage, winning 50% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +50%). At the other end, South Sudan actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 0% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Nigeria+100%2.000.00
2Namibia+100%1.000.00
3Sierra Leone+100%2.000.00
4Gabon+100%2.000.00
5Ghana+100%2.000.00
6Niger+100%2.000.00
7Kenya+100%1.000.00
8Congo+100%1.000.00
9Equatorial Guinea+100%1.000.00
10Libya+100%2.000.00
11Angola+100%3.000.00
12Togo+100%1.000.00
13Eswatini+100%1.000.00
14Mauritania+50%3.001.00
15Mali+50%3.001.00
16Cameroon+50%3.001.00
17Malawi+33%2.001.00
18Zambia+33%2.001.00
19Benin+33%2.001.00
20Lesotho+33%1.000.50
21Guinea-Bissau+20%3.002.00
22Rwanda+20%3.002.00
23Burundi+20%3.002.00
24Algeria+20%3.002.00
25Morocco0%2.002.00
26Madagascar0%1.001.00
27Sao Tome and Principe0%0.000.00
28Mauritius0%0.000.00
29Ivory Coast0%2.002.00
30Burkina Faso0%1.001.00
31Congo DR0%2.002.00
32Guinea0%1.001.00
33Sudan0%1.001.00
34Uganda0%1.001.00
35Chad0%0.000.00
36Comoros0%1.001.00
37Cape Verde Islands0%1.001.00
38Eritrea-20%1.001.50
39Gambia-33%2.004.00
40South Africa-43%2.005.00
41Ethiopia-50%0.501.50
42Zimbabwe-50%1.003.00
43Egypt-100%0.005.00
44Tanzania-100%0.001.00
45South Sudan-100%0.002.50
46Seychelles-100%0.001.00
47Liberia-100%0.001.00
48Central African Republic-100%0.001.00
49Djibouti-100%0.001.00
50Somalia-100%0.000.50

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Lesotho has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. In contrast, Somalia scores more away (0.50/match) than at home (0.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -100% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Namibia+100%0.001.00
2Gabon+100%0.002.00
3Zambia+100%0.003.00
4Congo DR+100%0.001.00
5Guinea+100%0.002.00
6Sudan+100%0.004.00
7Seychelles+100%0.002.00
8Uganda+100%0.001.00
9Equatorial Guinea+100%0.002.00
10Comoros+100%0.003.00
11Togo+100%0.002.00
12Nigeria+50%1.003.00
13Malawi+50%1.003.00
14Liberia+50%1.003.00
15Central African Republic+50%1.003.00
16Madagascar+33%1.002.00
17Mauritania+33%1.002.00
18Gambia+33%1.002.00
19Niger+33%1.002.00
20Algeria+33%1.002.00
21Cape Verde Islands+20%2.003.00
22Morocco0%0.000.00
23Egypt0%0.000.00
24Mauritius0%0.000.00
25Ivory Coast0%0.000.00
26Ethiopia0%0.500.50
27Kenya0%1.001.00
28Guinea-Bissau0%0.000.00
29Rwanda0%1.001.00
30Benin0%1.001.00
31Congo0%1.001.00
32Zimbabwe0%2.002.00
33Chad0%4.004.00
34Cameroon0%1.001.00
35Eswatini0%2.002.00
36Somalia0%1.001.00
37Lesotho-20%1.501.00
38Tanzania-33%2.001.00
39Ghana-33%4.002.00
40Libya-33%2.001.00
41Burundi-33%1.000.50
42Eritrea-43%2.501.00
43Sao Tome and Principe-50%3.001.00
44South Sudan-50%3.001.00
45Sierra Leone-50%3.001.00
46Mali-100%1.000.00
47Burkina Faso-100%1.000.00
48Angola-100%1.000.00
49South Africa-100%1.000.00
50Djibouti-100%4.000.00

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Defence Analysis

Ethiopia has the best home defensive record in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), conceding just 0.50 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +0%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, South Sudan concedes more at home (3.00/match) than away (1.00/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Burundi+33%2.001.00
2Lesotho0%0.000.00
3Somalia0%0.000.00
4Ethiopia-33%0.501.00
5South Sudan-100%0.000.50
6Eritrea-100%0.000.50

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Burundi has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), netting 2.00 goals/match at home versus 1.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Eritrea shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.50 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Somalia+100%0.000.50
2South Sudan0%0.500.50
3Lesotho0%1.001.00
4Burundi0%0.500.50
5Eritrea-100%1.000.00
6Ethiopia-100%0.500.00

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Somalia has the best home defensive record in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Ethiopia struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.50/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Lesotho+33%1.000.50
2Eritrea0%1.001.00
3Burundi0%1.001.00
4South Sudan-100%0.002.00
5Ethiopia-100%0.000.50
6Somalia-100%0.000.50

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Lesotho has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Somalia shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.50 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Ethiopia+100%0.000.50
2Eritrea-20%1.501.00
3Somalia-33%1.000.50
4South Sudan-67%2.500.50
5Lesotho-100%0.500.00
6Burundi-100%0.500.00

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Ethiopia has the best home defensive record in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Burundi struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.50/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — World