MatchPulse
African Nations Championship - Qualification

African Nations Championship - QualificationHome Advantage

World · 2024/25

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Tanzania+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
2Namibia+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
3Ivory Coast+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
4Burkina Faso+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
5Djibouti+100%+100%+100%3.00/0.00
6Senegal+75%+50%+100%3.00/1.00
7Kenya+67%+100%+33%1.00/0.00
8Benin+67%+100%+33%1.00/0.00
9Rwanda+51%+43%+60%3.00/0.00
10Mauritania+50%+100%0%3.00/1.00
11Mali+50%0%+100%1.00/0.00
12South Sudan+31%+43%+20%3.00/0.50
13Congo DR+25%+50%0%3.00/1.00
14Chad+25%0%+50%1.00/0.00
15Togo+25%+50%0%2.00/1.00
16Guinea+17%+33%0%3.00/3.00
17Guinea-Bissau+17%0%+33%0.00/0.00
18Liberia+17%0%+33%1.00/1.50
19Sudan+10%+20%0%3.00/1.50
20Nigeria0%+100%-100%3.00/1.00
21Ghana0%-100%+100%1.00/0.00
22Niger0%-100%+100%1.00/1.00
23Congo0%+100%-100%3.00/1.00
24Uganda0%0%0%3.00/3.00
25Equatorial Guinea0%-100%+100%1.00/0.00
26Burundi0%0%0%0.00/0.00
27Sierra Leone-17%0%-33%0.00/1.00
28Lesotho-17%0%-33%1.50/1.50
29Zimbabwe-25%0%-50%0.00/0.00
30Ethiopia-50%-100%0%0.00/0.00
31Central African Republic-50%-100%0%0.00/3.00
32Cameroon-50%0%-100%0.00/3.00
33Eswatini-80%-60%-100%1.50/3.00
34Madagascar-100%-100%-100%0.00/3.00
35Angola-100%-100%-100%0.00/3.00

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), the average home win rate is 64% compared to 36% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. South Sudan shows the strongest home advantage, winning 100% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +100%). At the other end, Eswatini actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 50% versus 100% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Nigeria+100%3.000.00
2Tanzania+100%1.000.00
3Mauritania+100%1.000.00
4Namibia+100%1.000.00
5Ivory Coast+100%2.000.00
6Burkina Faso+100%2.000.00
7Kenya+100%1.000.00
8Benin+100%1.000.00
9Congo+100%2.000.00
10Djibouti+100%1.000.00
11Senegal+50%3.001.00
12Congo DR+50%3.001.00
13Togo+50%1.500.50
14South Sudan+43%2.501.00
15Rwanda+43%2.501.00
16Guinea+33%4.002.00
17Sudan+20%1.501.00
18Sierra Leone0%1.001.00
19Mali0%0.000.00
20Guinea-Bissau0%1.001.00
21Lesotho0%0.500.50
22Uganda0%1.001.00
23Zimbabwe0%0.000.00
24Chad0%1.001.00
25Liberia0%1.001.00
26Burundi0%0.000.00
27Cameroon0%1.001.00
28Eswatini-60%0.502.00
29Madagascar-100%0.002.00
30Ghana-100%0.001.00
31Niger-100%0.001.00
32Ethiopia-100%0.001.00
33Equatorial Guinea-100%0.001.00
34Central African Republic-100%0.002.00
35Angola-100%0.002.00

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Togo has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), netting 1.50 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +50%. In contrast, Eswatini scores more away (2.00/match) than at home (0.50/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -60% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Senegal+100%0.001.00
2Tanzania+100%0.001.00
3Namibia+100%0.001.00
4Mali+100%0.001.00
5Ivory Coast+100%0.002.00
6Burkina Faso+100%0.002.00
7Ghana+100%0.003.00
8Niger+100%0.001.00
9Equatorial Guinea+100%0.002.00
10Djibouti+100%0.003.00
11Rwanda+60%0.502.00
12Chad+50%1.003.00
13Kenya+33%1.002.00
14Guinea-Bissau+33%2.004.00
15Benin+33%1.002.00
16Liberia+33%1.002.00
17South Sudan+20%1.001.50
18Mauritania0%0.000.00
19Ethiopia0%2.002.00
20Congo DR0%1.001.00
21Guinea0%1.001.00
22Sudan0%0.500.50
23Uganda0%0.000.00
24Central African Republic0%1.001.00
25Burundi0%1.001.00
26Togo0%0.500.50
27Sierra Leone-33%2.001.00
28Lesotho-33%1.000.50
29Zimbabwe-50%3.001.00
30Nigeria-100%1.000.00
31Madagascar-100%1.000.00
32Congo-100%1.000.00
33Angola-100%1.000.00
34Cameroon-100%2.000.00
35Eswatini-100%1.000.00

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Defence Analysis

Rwanda has the best home defensive record in the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), conceding just 0.50 goals/match at home compared to 2.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +60%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Eswatini concedes more at home (1.00/match) than away (0.00/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Rwanda+100%1.500.00
2South Sudan+33%1.000.50
3Sudan+33%1.000.50
4Liberia-100%0.000.50
5Eswatini-100%0.001.50

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Rwanda has the biggest home scoring advantage in the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), netting 1.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Eswatini shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 1.50 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1South Sudan+100%0.001.00
2Rwanda+100%0.001.00
3Liberia+50%0.501.50
4Sudan0%0.000.00
5Eswatini-100%1.000.00

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, South Sudan has the best home defensive record in the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Eswatini struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1South Sudan+50%1.500.50
2Liberia+33%1.000.50
3Sudan0%0.500.50
4Rwanda0%1.001.00
5Eswatini0%0.500.50

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, South Sudan has the biggest home scoring advantage in the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), netting 1.50 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +50%. At the other end, Eswatini shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.50/match at home against 0.50 away (0%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Rwanda+33%0.501.00
2Sudan0%0.500.50
3Liberia0%0.500.50
4Eswatini0%0.000.00
5South Sudan-33%1.000.50

African Nations Championship - Qualification (World) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Rwanda has the best home defensive record in the African Nations Championship - Qualification (World), conceding just 0.50 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. South Sudan struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.50 away (-33%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage TablesWorld