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World Cup - Qualification South America

World Cup - Qualification South America — Home Advantage

World · 2026

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Peru+67%+100%+33%1.11/0.22
2Chile+63%+78%+48%1.11/0.11
3Bolivia+56%+53%+60%1.89/0.33
4Brazil+46%+50%+41%2.22/0.89
5Uruguay+39%+45%+33%2.22/0.89
6Ecuador+39%+57%+20%2.33/1.22
7Venezuela+38%+33%+43%1.78/0.22
8Paraguay+34%+29%+40%2.22/0.89
9Argentina+25%+29%+20%2.44/1.78
10Colombia+18%+14%+22%2.00/1.11

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), the average home win rate is 54% compared to 16% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Uruguay shows the strongest home advantage, winning 67% of home games versus just 11% away (a difference of +56%). At the other end, Chile actually performs similarly at home and away, with a home win rate of 22% versus 0% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Peru+100%0.670.00
2Chile+78%0.890.11
3Ecuador+57%1.220.33
4Bolivia+53%1.440.44
5Brazil+50%2.000.67
6Uruguay+45%1.780.67
7Venezuela+33%1.330.67
8Argentina+29%2.221.22
9Paraguay+29%1.000.56
10Colombia+14%1.781.33

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Peru has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), netting 0.67 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. In contrast, Colombia scores more away (1.33/match) than at home (1.78/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of 14% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Bolivia+60%0.783.11
2Chile+48%0.782.22
3Venezuela+43%0.892.22
4Brazil+41%0.561.33
5Paraguay+40%0.330.78
6Uruguay+33%0.440.89
7Peru+33%0.781.56
8Colombia+22%0.781.22
9Argentina+20%0.440.67
10Ecuador+20%0.220.33

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Defence Analysis

Bolivia has the best home defensive record in the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), conceding just 0.78 goals/match at home compared to 3.11 away — a Defence Advantage of +60%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Ecuador concedes more at home (0.22/match) than away (0.33/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Peru+100%0.330.00
2Chile+100%0.560.00
3Uruguay+56%0.780.22
4Paraguay+50%0.330.11
5Bolivia+50%0.670.22
6Ecuador+50%0.670.22
7Venezuela+33%0.670.33
8Brazil+20%0.670.44
9Argentina+7%0.890.78
10Colombia0%0.670.67

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Peru has the biggest home scoring advantage in the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), netting 0.33 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Colombia shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.67/match at home against 0.67 away (0%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Brazil+75%0.110.78
2Bolivia+65%0.331.56
3Uruguay+50%0.110.33
4Venezuela+38%0.441.00
5Peru+33%0.220.44
6Paraguay+25%0.330.56
7Chile+8%0.670.78
8Colombia0%0.330.33
9Argentina0%0.330.33
10Ecuador0%0.110.11

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Brazil has the best home defensive record in the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), conceding just 0.11 goals/match at home compared to 0.78 away — a Defence Advantage of +75%. Ecuador struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.11/match at home versus 0.11 away (0%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Peru+100%0.330.00
2Brazil+71%1.330.22
3Ecuador+67%0.560.11
4Bolivia+56%0.780.22
5Argentina+50%1.330.44
6Chile+50%0.330.11
7Uruguay+38%1.000.44
8Venezuela+33%0.670.33
9Colombia+25%1.110.67
10Paraguay+20%0.670.44

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Peru has the biggest home scoring advantage in the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), netting 0.33 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Paraguay shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.67/match at home against 0.44 away (20%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Paraguay+100%0.000.22
2Chile+86%0.111.44
3Bolivia+56%0.441.56
4Argentina+50%0.110.33
5Venezuela+47%0.441.22
6Colombia+33%0.440.89
7Peru+33%0.561.11
8Ecuador+33%0.110.22
9Uruguay+25%0.330.56
10Brazil+11%0.440.56

World Cup - Qualification South America (World) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Paraguay has the best home defensive record in the World Cup - Qualification South America (World), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.22 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Brazil struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.44/match at home versus 0.56 away (11%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — World