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EFL Trophy

EFL Trophy — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 3 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Milton Keynes Dons28.64.283.91.95112+2.4
2Blackpool37.32.425.21.7577-0.3
3Exeter City37.02.343.91.3064-1
4Stockport County27.03.503.11.5683+1
5Plymouth26.63.312.31.1773+0.4
6Notts County26.33.131.80.8972+0.8
7Wycombe35.81.956.22.0873+1.2
8Leicester25.82.923.11.5673+1.2
9Leyton Orient25.82.923.11.5623-3.8
10Stevenage25.82.921.90.9882+2.2
11Luton25.82.921.60.7871+1.2
12Crawley Town25.52.734.32.1454-0.5
13Liverpool U2125.52.734.32.1434-2.4
14Huddersfield25.42.722.31.1781+2.6
15Salford City25.42.723.11.5623-3.4
16Bromley25.12.534.72.3405-5.1
17Barnsley25.02.535.42.7248-1
18Peterborough25.02.530.80.3972+2
19Arsenal U2134.91.657.62.5257+0.1
20Aston Villa U2134.91.628.02.68510+0.1
21Cheltenham24.82.425.62.7944-0.8
22Cambridge United24.72.341.60.78122+7.3
23Crewe24.72.344.72.3463+1.3
24Barnet24.72.342.31.1751+0.3
25Sheffield Wednesday24.72.343.11.5641-0.7
26Wigan24.72.333.51.7664+1.3
27Everton U2124.62.316.43.2148-0.6
28Leeds United U2124.52.245.02.4967+1.5
29Manchester City U2124.52.233.31.63711+2.6
30Bradford24.32.141.90.9861+1.7
31Chelsea U2123.91.951.90.9654+1.1
32Accrington ST23.91.954.72.3444+0.1
33Oldham23.81.912.51.2752+1.2
34Gillingham23.81.903.51.7657+1.2
35AFC Wimbledon33.71.236.12.0423-1.7
36Doncaster23.51.763.91.9564+2.5
37Fleetwood Town23.51.753.91.9542+0.5
38Port Vale33.31.082.50.8481+4.8
39Brentford U2123.11.569.34.6727-1.1
40Newport County23.11.562.31.1754+1.9
41Grimsby23.11.562.71.3612-2.1
42York23.11.561.60.7824-1.1
43Rochdale23.11.567.03.50412+0.9
44Reading23.11.543.91.9513-2.1
45Shrewsbury32.90.974.21.4124-0.9
46Fulham U2122.81.396.23.1239+0.2
47Chesterfield22.71.375.12.5364+3.3
48Northampton22.71.373.11.5615-1.7
49Walsall22.31.175.52.7548+1.7
50Sunderland U2122.31.175.42.7235+0.7
51Crystal Palace U2122.31.175.82.9257+2.7
52Tottenham Hotspur U2122.11.044.82.4224-0.1
53Brighton U2122.00.995.02.49610+4
54Bristol Rovers11.91.952.72.7236+1.1
55Newcastle United U2121.90.983.51.7553+3.1
56Nottingham Forest U2121.80.894.72.3526+0.2
57Oxford United11.61.561.21.1722+0.4
58Colchester21.60.784.72.3424+0.4
59Swindon Town21.60.783.11.5614-0.6
60Rotherham21.60.783.91.9516-0.6
61Burton Albion21.20.593.11.5611-0.2
62Mansfield Town10.80.780.40.3916+0.2
63Ipswich Town U2120.80.396.23.11110+0.2
64Tranmere10.40.391.21.1710+0.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Milton Keynes DonsHigh xGF4.28
Stockport CountyHigh xGF3.50
PlymouthHigh xGF3.31
TranmereLow xGF0.39
Ipswich Town U21Low xGF0.39
Burton AlbionLow xGF0.59

LEAGUE xG STATS

64 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.89
League avg xGA/g: 1.88
Best overperformer: Cambridge United (+7.3)
Biggest underperformer: Bromley (-5.1)

EFL Trophy (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The EFL Trophy (England) averages 1.66 xG per game this season. Blackpool creates the most chances with 2.42 xGF per game, while Shrewsbury creates the fewest with 0.97 xGF per game. Port Vale is over-performing their xG (8 goals vs 3.3 xGF) — regression likely. AFC Wimbledon is under-performing (2 goals vs 3.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England