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League Two

League Two — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

England — League Two 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 13 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Chesterfield1326.12.0113.91.072421-2.1
2Grimsby1325.11.9317.11.312418-1.1
3Barnet1220.31.7016.81.402818+7.7
4York1320.01.5417.41.342421+4
5Bristol Rovers1319.81.5316.81.291723-2.8
6Shrewsbury1319.11.4716.01.231722-2.1
7Salford City1318.21.4013.31.022515+6.8
8Tranmere1318.01.3918.41.411917+1
9Walsall1218.01.5019.61.632112+3
10Oldham1217.61.4716.21.351519-2.6
11Accrington ST1317.31.3316.11.242317+5.8
12Fleetwood Town1316.61.2815.11.161818+1.4
13Swindon Town1316.51.2724.71.901517-1.5
14Newport County1316.31.2518.21.402017+3.7
15Colchester1215.91.3216.91.411219-3.9
16Exeter City1315.71.2113.71.06119-4.7
17Rotherham1315.31.1819.21.471825+2.7
18Port Vale1115.01.3711.31.031014-5
19Cheltenham1314.91.1521.71.672325+8.1
20Gillingham1314.61.1218.91.462019+5.4
21Rochdale1314.11.0922.11.701726+2.9
22Crawley Town1113.71.2417.01.551321-0.7
23Crewe1313.61.0519.11.471717+3.4
24Northampton1112.91.1715.31.39910-3.9
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
ChesterfieldHigh xGF2.01
GrimsbyHigh xGF1.93
BarnetHigh xGF1.70
CreweLow xGF1.05
RochdaleLow xGF1.09
GillinghamLow xGF1.12

LEAGUE xG STATS

24 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.37
League avg xGA/g: 1.37
Best overperformer: Cheltenham (+8.1)
Biggest underperformer: Port Vale (-5.0)

League Two (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The League Two (England) averages 1.37 xG per game this season. Chesterfield creates the most chances with 2.01 xGF per game, while Crewe creates the fewest with 1.05 xGF per game. Cheltenham is over-performing their xG (23 goals vs 14.9 xGF) — regression likely. Port Vale is under-performing (10 goals vs 15.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England