MatchPulse
Championship

Championship — xG (Expected Goals)

England · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 13 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Middlesbrough1327.52.1113.71.063017+2.5
2West Ham1325.41.9516.11.243318+7.6
3Cardiff1325.01.9321.21.631920-6
4Southampton1323.91.8415.31.182813+4.1
5Birmingham1322.51.7317.51.352313+0.5
6Millwall1321.61.6718.31.412321+1.4
7QPR1321.21.6313.91.072217+0.8
8Wolves1321.01.6213.01.002316+2
9Norwich1320.81.6019.61.512724+6.3
10Swansea1320.71.5915.91.222116+0.3
11Bristol City1320.41.5717.41.331517-5.4
12Bolton1319.81.5326.82.061926-0.8
13West Brom1319.21.4718.21.401914-0.2
14Burnley1318.01.3820.01.5418260
15Sheffield Utd1317.31.3318.71.442017+2.7
16Portsmouth1316.91.3018.61.431916+2.1
17Stoke City1315.71.2120.41.572217+6.3
18Lincoln1315.41.1920.91.601424-1.4
19Wrexham1315.31.1816.41.261519-0.3
20Blackburn1314.91.1521.91.682022+5.1
21Derby1314.31.1023.71.821129-3.3
22Watford1313.61.0424.51.881323-0.6
23Preston1312.80.9922.41.721230-0.8
24Charlton1312.70.9821.71.671122-1.7
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
MiddlesbroughHigh xGF2.11
West HamHigh xGF1.95
CardiffHigh xGF1.93
CharltonLow xGF0.98
PrestonLow xGF0.99
WatfordLow xGF1.04

LEAGUE xG STATS

24 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.46
League avg xGA/g: 1.46
Best overperformer: West Ham (+7.6)
Biggest underperformer: Cardiff (-6.0)

Championship (England) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Championship (England) averages 1.46 xG per game this season. Middlesbrough creates the most chances with 2.11 xGF per game, while Charlton creates the fewest with 0.98 xGF per game. West Ham is over-performing their xG (33 goals vs 25.4 xGF) — regression likely. Cardiff is under-performing (19 goals vs 25.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — England