Eerste Divisie — xG (Expected Goals)
Netherlands · 2026/27
Netherlands — Eerste Divisie 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 13 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 13 | 33.4 | 2.57 | 14.5 | 1.12 | 39 | 14 | +5.6 |
| 2 |  Emmen | 13 | 29.1 | 2.23 | 23.0 | 1.77 | 26 | 24 | -3.1 |
| 3 |  NAC Breda | 13 | 28.7 | 2.21 | 15.8 | 1.22 | 25 | 20 | -3.7 |
| 4 |  VVV Venlo | 13 | 26.1 | 2.00 | 21.8 | 1.68 | 36 | 21 | +10 |
| 5 |  Almere City FC | 13 | 24.9 | 1.91 | 19.9 | 1.53 | 27 | 13 | +2.1 |
| 6 |  Den Bosch | 13 | 24.8 | 1.91 | 20.7 | 1.59 | 23 | 21 | -1.8 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 13 | 24.3 | 1.87 | 25.7 | 1.98 | 30 | 22 | +5.7 |
| 8 |  Jong AZ | 13 | 22.6 | 1.74 | 20.2 | 1.55 | 32 | 28 | +9.4 |
| 9 |  Jong Ajax | 13 | 22.5 | 1.73 | 23.0 | 1.77 | 19 | 30 | -3.5 |
| 10 |  Roda | 13 | 20.6 | 1.59 | 19.8 | 1.52 | 17 | 12 | -3.6 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 13 | 20.2 | 1.56 | 16.9 | 1.30 | 22 | 19 | +1.8 |
| 12 |  Jong PSV U21 | 13 | 20.0 | 1.54 | 22.9 | 1.76 | 17 | 21 | -3 |
| 13 |  Vitesse | 13 | 19.7 | 1.51 | 19.8 | 1.52 | 17 | 18 | -2.7 |
| 14 |  FC OSS | 13 | 19.3 | 1.49 | 24.4 | 1.88 | 19 | 22 | -0.3 |
| 15 |  Dordrecht | 13 | 18.1 | 1.39 | 23.7 | 1.83 | 18 | 34 | -0.1 |
| 16 |  De Graafschap | 13 | 17.3 | 1.33 | 26.9 | 2.07 | 17 | 27 | -0.3 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 13 | 17.0 | 1.31 | 24.7 | 1.90 | 23 | 28 | +6 |
| 18 |  Jong Utrecht | 13 | 16.9 | 1.30 | 26.6 | 2.05 | 22 | 33 | +5.1 |
| 19 |  FC Eindhoven | 13 | 15.6 | 1.20 | 22.9 | 1.76 | 18 | 28 | +2.4 |
| 20 |  MVV | 13 | 12.1 | 0.93 | 19.8 | 1.52 | 17 | 29 | +4.9 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.67
League avg xGA/g: 1.67
Best overperformer: VVV Venlo (+9.9)
Biggest underperformer: NAC Breda (-3.7)
Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) averages 1.67 xG per game this season. Heracles creates the most chances with 2.57 xGF per game, while MVV creates the fewest with 0.93 xGF per game. VVV Venlo is over-performing their xG (36 goals vs 26.1 xGF) — regression likely. NAC Breda is under-performing (25 goals vs 28.7 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Netherlands
- Derde Divisie xG— Division Silver
- Derde Divisie - Relegation Round xG— Division Silver
- Derde Divisie - Sunday xG— Division Silver
- Eredivisie xG— Division Elite
- Eredivisie Women xG— Division Women's Elite
- KNVB Beker xG— Division Premium
- Reserve League xG— Division Academy
- Super Cup xG— Division Elite
- Super Cup Women xG— Division Women's Pro
- Tweede Divisie xG— Division Silver
- U18 Divisie 1 xG— Division Academy
- U19 Divisie 1 xG— Division Academy
- U21 Divisie 1 xG— Division Academy