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Eredivisie

Eredivisie — xG (Expected Goals)

Netherlands · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 11 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Feyenoord1131.82.8911.81.073312+1.2
2Twente1127.42.4910.40.952810+0.6
3PSV Eindhoven1126.22.3814.41.313513+8.8
4AZ Alkmaar1124.12.1913.51.232013-4.1
5Ajax1023.32.3313.41.343013+6.7
6Groningen1120.81.8922.22.012624+5.2
7Sparta Rotterdam1119.81.8023.32.122026+0.2
8GO Ahead Eagles1119.51.7718.91.722327+3.5
9Heerenveen1119.01.7316.51.5019130
10NEC Nijmegen1118.31.6618.91.721719-1.3
11Utrecht1116.01.4622.12.011931+3
12Cambuur1115.41.4016.71.522322+7.6
13ADO Den Haag1114.61.3224.52.231324-1.6
14Telstar1114.41.3122.92.091623+1.6
15Excelsior1013.31.3320.12.011628+2.7
16PEC Zwolle1113.01.1921.71.971223-1
17Willem II1112.91.1725.62.331039-2.9
18Fortuna Sittard1111.11.0124.12.191818+6.9
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
FeyenoordHigh xGF2.89
TwenteHigh xGF2.49
PSV EindhovenHigh xGF2.38
Fortuna SittardLow xGF1.01
Willem IILow xGF1.17
PEC ZwolleLow xGF1.19

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.74
League avg xGA/g: 1.74
Best overperformer: PSV Eindhoven (+8.8)
Biggest underperformer: AZ Alkmaar (-4.1)

Eredivisie (Netherlands) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Eredivisie (Netherlands) averages 1.74 xG per game this season. Feyenoord creates the most chances with 2.89 xGF per game, while Fortuna Sittard creates the fewest with 1.01 xGF per game. PSV Eindhoven is over-performing their xG (35 goals vs 26.2 xGF) — regression likely. AZ Alkmaar is under-performing (20 goals vs 24.1 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Netherlands