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Bundesliga

Bundesliga — xG (Expected Goals)

Germany · 2026/27

Germany — Bundesliga 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
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Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 8 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Bayern München828.73.597.30.91278-1.7
2RB Leipzig819.82.4812.81.602211+2.2
3FC Augsburg818.22.2821.02.621815-0.2
4Werder Bremen815.91.9913.31.661714+1.1
5FSV Mainz 05815.61.9510.71.341717+1.4
6VfB Stuttgart815.51.9417.02.131415-1.5
7Bayer Leverkusen815.01.8814.01.751816+3
81899 Hoffenheim814.51.8110.11.261416-0.5
9SC Freiburg813.61.709.11.141810+4.4
10Eintracht Frankfurt812.91.6215.91.991318+0.1
11Borussia Dortmund812.41.5511.81.48146+1.6
121. FC Köln811.71.4613.01.62912-2.7
13SV Elversberg810.81.3515.51.931616+5.2
14Borussia Mönchengladbach810.71.3418.82.351122+0.3
15Union Berlin89.91.2317.82.23719-2.9
16Hamburger SV89.01.1313.81.72719-2
17SC Paderborn 0788.61.0713.11.6469-2.6
18FC Schalke 0487.50.9315.51.9449-3.5
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Bayern MünchenHigh xGF3.59
RB LeipzigHigh xGF2.48
FC AugsburgHigh xGF2.28
FC Schalke 04Low xGF0.93
SC Paderborn 07Low xGF1.07
Hamburger SVLow xGF1.13

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.74
League avg xGA/g: 1.74
Best overperformer: SV Elversberg (+5.2)
Biggest underperformer: FC Schalke 04 (-3.5)

Bundesliga (Germany) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Bundesliga (Germany) averages 1.74 xG per game this season. Bayern München creates the most chances with 3.59 xGF per game, while FC Schalke 04 creates the fewest with 0.93 xGF per game. SV Elversberg is over-performing their xG (16 goals vs 10.8 xGF) — regression likely. FC Schalke 04 is under-performing (4 goals vs 7.5 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Germany