MatchPulse
3. Liga

3. Liga — xG (Expected Goals)

Germany · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Verl1023.12.3117.11.711726-6.1
2FC Saarbrücken1020.52.0518.61.862821+7.5
3Hoffenheim II1019.71.9717.51.752120+1.3
4Alemannia Aachen1018.61.8615.31.531918+0.4
5Rot-Weiß Essen1018.61.8611.51.152013+1.4
6MSV Duisburg1018.61.8617.51.753117+12.4
7SV Meppen1018.21.8217.51.751617-2.2
8Hansa Rostock1018.21.8215.61.561922+0.8
9FC Viktoria Köln918.22.0310.01.113115+12.8
10SV Wehen1017.91.7912.31.232317+5.1
11Waldhof Mannheim1015.61.5617.51.752119+5.4
12SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1014.11.4119.71.971326-1.1
13Preußen Münster913.01.4513.41.492023+7
14Stuttgart II912.71.4115.61.742123+8.3
15FC Ingolstadt 041012.31.2318.61.861617+3.7
16Fortuna Düsseldorf911.91.329.71.071214+0.1
17Würzburger Kickers1010.81.0823.42.351724+6.2
18SSV Jahn Regensburg1010.81.0812.71.272221+11.2
19Havelse1010.81.0811.91.191726+6.2
20Fortuna Köln109.30.9317.51.75914-0.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
VerlHigh xGF2.31
FC SaarbrückenHigh xGF2.05
FC Viktoria KölnHigh xGF2.03
Fortuna KölnLow xGF0.93
HavelseLow xGF1.08

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.60
League avg xGA/g: 1.59
Best overperformer: FC Viktoria Köln (+12.8)
Biggest underperformer: Verl (-6.1)

3. Liga (Germany) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The 3. Liga (Germany) averages 1.60 xG per game this season. Verl creates the most chances with 2.31 xGF per game, while Fortuna Köln creates the fewest with 0.93 xGF per game. FC Viktoria Köln is over-performing their xG (31 goals vs 18.2 xGF) — regression likely. Verl is under-performing (17 goals vs 23.1 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Germany