MatchPulse
2. Bundesliga

2. Bundesliga — xG (Expected Goals)

Germany · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 10 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Hertha BSC1020.62.0612.11.21238+2.4
21. FC Heidenheim1019.51.9513.51.351718-2.5
3VfL Wolfsburg1018.61.8615.41.542514+6.4
4Eintracht Braunschweig1018.11.8117.41.741618-2.1
5Energie Cottbus1017.41.7420.22.021820+0.6
6Hannover 961016.71.6716.71.671016-6.7
7FC St. Pauli1016.61.6611.31.131212-4.6
81. FC Nürnberg1016.21.6217.91.802413+7.8
91. FC Magdeburg1015.81.5815.91.592113+5.2
101. FC Kaiserslautern1015.21.5214.41.4497-6.2
11VfL Osnabrück1015.21.5217.01.701417-1.2
12VfL Bochum1014.01.4013.61.36811-6
13SpVgg Greuther Fürth1013.91.3917.81.781316-0.9
14Dynamo Dresden1013.11.3118.11.811220-1.1
15Karlsruher SC1012.91.2916.31.631321+0.1
16Arminia Bielefeld1012.81.2812.51.251615+3.2
17Holstein Kiel1012.81.2813.81.381012-2.8
18SV Darmstadt 98109.30.9314.81.48919-0.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Hertha BSCHigh xGF2.06
1. FC HeidenheimHigh xGF1.95
VfL WolfsburgHigh xGF1.86
SV Darmstadt 98Low xGF0.93
Holstein KielLow xGF1.28

LEAGUE xG STATS

18 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.55
League avg xGA/g: 1.55
Best overperformer: 1. FC Nürnberg (+7.8)
Biggest underperformer: Hannover 96 (-6.7)

2. Bundesliga (Germany) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The 2. Bundesliga (Germany) averages 1.55 xG per game this season. Hertha BSC creates the most chances with 2.06 xGF per game, while SV Darmstadt 98 creates the fewest with 0.93 xGF per game. 1. FC Nürnberg is over-performing their xG (24 goals vs 16.2 xGF) — regression likely. Hannover 96 is under-performing (10 goals vs 16.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Germany