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Serie B

Serie B — xG (Expected Goals)

Brazil · 2026/27

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 36 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Novorizontino3653.71.4930.80.866431+10.3
2CRB3552.71.5142.61.225451+1.3
3Atletico Goianiense3652.21.4541.61.164233-10.2
4Sport Recife3648.01.3343.31.2048390
5Nautico Recife3645.71.2747.51.324046-5.7
6Fortaleza EC3644.21.2335.30.984331-1.2
7Londrina3643.51.2147.81.334554+1.5
8Operario-PR3641.51.1545.11.254648+4.5
9Criciuma3641.41.1529.20.813830-3.4
10Goias3541.11.1841.91.203841-3.1
11Juventude3641.11.1437.91.054725+5.9
12Vila Nova3641.01.1436.81.025238+11
13Cuiaba3640.71.1329.10.813330-7.7
14Ceara3640.01.1145.61.273846-2
15São Bernardo3639.61.1043.81.225140+11.4
16Botafogo SP3638.61.0736.11.004139+2.4
17America Mineiro3638.41.0754.51.512655-12.4
18Athletic Club3637.51.0449.71.384241+4.5
19Avai3631.40.8740.11.113346+1.6
20Ponte Preta3631.30.8764.91.802178-10.3
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
CRBHigh xGF1.51
NovorizontinoHigh xGF1.49
Ponte PretaLow xGF0.87
AvaiLow xGF0.87
Athletic ClubLow xGF1.04

LEAGUE xG STATS

20 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.18
League avg xGA/g: 1.18
Best overperformer: São Bernardo (+11.4)
Biggest underperformer: America Mineiro (-12.4)

Serie B (Brazil) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Serie B (Brazil) averages 1.18 xG per game this season. CRB creates the most chances with 1.51 xGF per game, while Ponte Preta creates the fewest with 0.87 xGF per game. São Bernardo is over-performing their xG (51 goals vs 39.6 xGF) — regression likely. America Mineiro is under-performing (26 goals vs 38.4 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — Brazil