MatchPulse
Copa Rio

Copa RioxG (Expected Goals)

Brazil · 2026

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 6 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Pérolas Negras410.32.594.51.12104-0.3
2Sampaio Corrêa RJ68.41.404.20.7063-2.4
3Boavista SC67.61.263.90.6583+0.4
4Resende47.51.896.11.53115+3.5
5Olaria66.41.074.80.7992+2.6
6Madureira65.60.937.31.2174+1.4
7Nova Iguaçu65.00.845.90.9863+1
8Americano Campos44.81.191.70.4233-1.8
9CFRJ / Maricá44.81.195.31.3343-0.7
10Portuguesa RJ44.51.123.60.9133-1.5
11Volta Redonda23.91.961.10.5612-2.9
12São Gonçalo EC RJ63.60.617.01.1754+1.4
13Bonsucesso43.10.773.90.9864+2.9
14São Cristóvão RJ22.21.121.40.7011-1.2
15SE Belford Roxo22.21.125.92.93211-0.2
16Bangu22.00.982.21.1213-1
17Cabofriense22.00.981.10.5613-1
18CEAC / Araruama42.00.495.01.2616-1
19América RJ31.90.652.00.6572+5.1
20Duque de Caxias21.70.843.41.6806-1.7
21Serrano RJ21.70.842.00.9823+0.3
22Santa Cruz RJ21.40.707.83.91110-0.4
23Macaé20.60.283.11.5412+0.4
24Goytacaz10.00.000.00.00060
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
* xG estimated from shots on goal using the league's average conversion rate. API xG data is not available for this league.
xG Attack Ranking
Pérolas NegrasHigh xGF2.59
Volta RedondaHigh xGF1.96
ResendeHigh xGF1.89
GoytacazLow xGF0.00
MacaéLow xGF0.28
CEAC / AraruamaLow xGF0.49

LEAGUE xG STATS

24 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.03
League avg xGA/g: 1.15
Best overperformer: América RJ (+5.0)
Biggest underperformer: Volta Redonda (-2.9)

Copa Rio (Brazil) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Copa Rio (Brazil) averages 1.14 xG per game this season. Pérolas Negras creates the most chances with 2.59 xGF per game, while CEAC / Araruama creates the fewest with 0.49 xGF per game. América RJ is over-performing their xG (7 goals vs 1.9 xGF) — regression likely. Sampaio Corrêa RJ is under-performing (6 goals vs 8.4 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG)Brazil