MatchPulse
Tocantinense

Tocantinense — Home Advantage

Brazil · 2026/27

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1União Carmolandense+27%-14%+68%1.75/1.50
2Bela Vista TO+26%-11%+64%1.67/0.75
3Araguaína+15%+30%0%1.50/0.67
4Gurupi+13%+41%-14%1.80/1.75
5Capital0%-3%+3%1.20/1.00
6Guarai SC0%-20%+20%0.33/0.25
7Tocantinópolis-13%+19%-45%2.67/2.50
8Palmas-27%+14%-68%0.00/1.25

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Tocantinense (Brazil), the average home win rate is 37% compared to 31% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Araguaína shows the strongest home advantage, winning 50% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +50%). At the other end, Palmas actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 0% versus 25% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Gurupi+41%1.800.75
2Araguaína+30%1.250.67
3Tocantinópolis+19%1.831.25
4Palmas+14%0.670.50
5Capital-3%1.401.50
6Bela Vista TO-11%1.001.25
7União Carmolandense-14%1.251.67
8Guarai SC-20%0.330.50

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Gurupi has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Tocantinense (Brazil), netting 1.80 goals/match at home versus 0.75 away — a Scoring Advantage of +41%. In contrast, Guarai SC scores more away (0.50/match) than at home (0.33/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -20% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1União Carmolandense+68%0.251.33
2Bela Vista TO+64%0.673.00
3Guarai SC+20%1.332.00
4Capital+3%1.401.50
5Araguaína0%1.001.00
6Gurupi-14%1.000.75
7Tocantinópolis-45%0.670.25
8Palmas-68%2.670.50

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Defence Analysis

União Carmolandense has the best home defensive record in the Tocantinense (Brazil), conceding just 0.25 goals/match at home compared to 1.33 away — a Defence Advantage of +68%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Palmas concedes more at home (2.67/match) than away (0.50/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Gurupi+41%1.200.50
2Guarai SC0%0.000.00
3Capital-11%0.600.75
4Araguaína-14%0.500.67
5Tocantinópolis-20%0.500.75
6União Carmolandense-22%0.751.17
7Bela Vista TO-50%0.331.00
8Palmas-100%0.000.25

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Gurupi has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Tocantinense (Brazil), netting 1.20 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +41%. At the other end, Palmas shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.25 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1União Carmolandense+60%0.251.00
2Bela Vista TO+58%0.331.25
3Guarai SC+20%0.671.00
4Araguaína-20%0.500.33
5Capital-60%1.000.25
6Palmas-78%2.000.25
7Gurupi-100%0.600.00
8Tocantinópolis-100%0.330.00

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, União Carmolandense has the best home defensive record in the Tocantinense (Brazil), conceding just 0.25 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +60%. Tocantinópolis struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.33/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Araguaína+100%0.750.00
2Palmas+45%0.670.25
3Tocantinópolis+45%1.330.50
4Bela Vista TO+45%0.670.25
5Gurupi+41%0.600.25
6Capital+3%0.800.75
7União Carmolandense0%0.500.50
8Guarai SC-20%0.330.50

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Araguaína has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Tocantinense (Brazil), netting 0.75 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Guarai SC shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.33/match at home against 0.50 away (-20%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1União Carmolandense+100%0.000.33
2Bela Vista TO+68%0.331.75
3Capital+52%0.401.25
4Gurupi+30%0.400.75
5Guarai SC+20%0.671.00
6Araguaína+14%0.500.67
7Tocantinópolis-14%0.330.25
8Palmas-45%0.670.25

Tocantinense (Brazil) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, União Carmolandense has the best home defensive record in the Tocantinense (Brazil), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.33 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Palmas struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.67/match at home versus 0.25 away (-45%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Brazil