MatchPulse
Paulista - A4

Paulista - A4Home Advantage

Brazil · 2026

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1AEA+31%+33%+29%0.71/0.00
2Jabaquara+22%+27%+18%1.43/0.43
3Grêmio Sãocarlense+19%+22%+17%2.11/1.20
4Penapolense+18%+29%+7%2.11/1.60
5EC Lemense+14%+23%+6%1.33/1.25
6Taquaritinga+14%-2%+30%1.78/1.25
7ECUS+13%+33%-7%1.71/1.25
8Barretos+13%-2%+28%1.63/1.56
9São Caetano+13%-2%+27%2.00/1.56
10Tanabi+10%+7%+14%1.29/1.13
11Comercial+9%+11%+7%1.50/1.14
12Nacional SP+7%+8%+7%0.50/0.57
13Inter de Bebedouro+5%+16%-5%2.33/2.20
14Colorado Caieiras0%-7%+7%0.63/0.71
15Joseense-16%+3%-35%1.11/1.75
16Vocem-21%-27%-14%0.86/1.13

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), the average home win rate is 38% compared to 29% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Grêmio Sãocarlense shows the strongest home advantage, winning 67% of home games versus just 20% away (a difference of +47%). At the other end, Joseense actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 22% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1AEA+33%0.570.29
2ECUS+33%1.000.50
3Penapolense+29%2.001.10
4Jabaquara+27%1.000.57
5EC Lemense+23%1.000.63
6Grêmio Sãocarlense+22%1.561.00
7Inter de Bebedouro+16%1.781.30
8Comercial+11%1.251.00
9Nacional SP+8%0.500.43
10Tanabi+7%0.860.75
11Joseense+3%0.670.63
12Taquaritinga-2%1.331.38
13São Caetano-2%1.401.44
14Barretos-2%0.750.78
15Colorado Caieiras-7%0.380.43
16Vocem-27%0.571.00

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

AEA has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), netting 0.57 goals/match at home versus 0.29 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. In contrast, Vocem scores more away (1.00/match) than at home (0.57/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -27% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Taquaritinga+30%0.671.25
2AEA+29%1.713.14
3Barretos+28%0.500.89
4São Caetano+27%0.701.22
5Jabaquara+18%1.001.43
6Grêmio Sãocarlense+17%0.781.10
7Tanabi+14%0.570.75
8Penapolense+7%0.780.90
9Nacional SP+7%1.381.57
10Colorado Caieiras+7%1.251.43
11Comercial+7%1.001.14
12EC Lemense+6%0.891.00
13Inter de Bebedouro-5%0.440.40
14ECUS-7%0.430.38
15Vocem-14%1.000.75
16Joseense-35%0.780.38

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Defence Analysis

Taquaritinga has the best home defensive record in the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), conceding just 0.67 goals/match at home compared to 1.25 away — a Defence Advantage of +30%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Joseense concedes more at home (0.78/match) than away (0.38/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1EC Lemense+100%0.440.00
2Penapolense+68%1.560.30
3Joseense+56%0.440.13
4ECUS+48%0.710.25
5Barretos+48%0.630.22
6Taquaritinga+28%0.670.38
7Inter de Bebedouro+22%0.780.50
8Tanabi+7%0.430.38
9AEA0%0.290.29
10Grêmio Sãocarlense-2%0.670.70
11São Caetano-5%0.700.78
12Nacional SP-7%0.130.14
13Vocem-19%0.430.63
14Jabaquara-20%0.290.43
15Comercial-39%0.380.86
16Colorado Caieiras-39%0.130.29

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, EC Lemense has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), netting 0.44 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Colorado Caieiras shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.13/match at home against 0.29 away (-39%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1AEA+55%0.712.43
2Taquaritinga+54%0.220.75
3EC Lemense+38%0.220.50
4Vocem+37%0.290.63
5Nacional SP+31%0.380.71
6Jabaquara+25%0.430.71
7São Caetano+25%0.400.67
8Comercial+21%0.380.57
9Penapolense+15%0.440.60
10ECUS+14%0.290.38
11Tanabi-7%0.140.13
12Colorado Caieiras-19%0.630.43
13Grêmio Sãocarlense-19%0.440.30
14Barretos-20%0.500.33
15Inter de Bebedouro-54%0.330.10
16Joseense-63%0.560.13

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, AEA has the best home defensive record in the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), conceding just 0.71 goals/match at home compared to 2.43 away — a Defence Advantage of +55%. Joseense struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.56/match at home versus 0.13 away (-63%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1AEA+100%0.290.00
2Comercial+72%0.880.14
3Jabaquara+67%0.710.14
4Grêmio Sãocarlense+50%0.890.30
5Colorado Caieiras+27%0.250.14
6Nacional SP+14%0.380.29
7Inter de Bebedouro+11%1.000.80
8ECUS+7%0.290.25
9Tanabi+7%0.430.38
10São Caetano+2%0.700.67
11EC Lemense-6%0.560.63
12Taquaritinga-20%0.671.00
13Penapolense-29%0.440.80
14Joseense-38%0.220.50
15Vocem-45%0.140.38
16Barretos-63%0.130.56

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, AEA has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), netting 0.29 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Barretos shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.13/match at home against 0.56 away (-63%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Barretos+100%0.000.56
2Inter de Bebedouro+46%0.110.30
3Grêmio Sãocarlense+41%0.330.80
4São Caetano+30%0.300.56
5Colorado Caieiras+23%0.631.00
6Tanabi+19%0.430.63
7Jabaquara+11%0.570.71
8Joseense+6%0.220.25
9Taquaritinga+6%0.440.50
10Comercial-4%0.630.57
11Penapolense-5%0.330.30
12Nacional SP-8%1.000.86
13EC Lemense-14%0.670.50
14AEA-17%1.000.71
15Vocem-70%0.710.13
16ECUS-100%0.140.00

Paulista - A4 (Brazil) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Barretos has the best home defensive record in the Paulista - A4 (Brazil), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.56 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. ECUS struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.14/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage TablesBrazil