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Paulista - A1

Paulista - A1 — Home Advantage

Brazil · 2026

Brazil — Paulista - A1 2026 — Detailed Stats
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AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To ScorexG (Expected Goals)
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Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Capivariano+59%+52%+66%2.25/0.80
2Ponte Preta+57%+100%+14%0.25/0.00
3Palmeiras+51%+60%+43%2.67/1.50
4Santos+47%+48%+47%2.00/0.80
5Novorizontino+46%+18%+74%3.00/1.00
6Corinthians+39%+45%+33%1.75/1.33
7Botafogo SP+38%+20%+56%1.75/1.00
8Velo Clube+27%0%+54%0.50/0.75
9Sao Paulo+25%+20%+29%2.25/1.17
10RB Bragantino+13%+68%-41%2.00/1.50
11Mirassol+13%0%+25%1.25/0.75
12Primavera SP+5%+43%-33%1.00/1.00
13Portuguesa+4%-27%+35%1.40/2.25
14São Bernardo+3%+25%-20%1.00/1.00
15Noroeste0%-27%+27%1.00/1.00
16Guarani Campinas-7%0%-14%1.25/1.75

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), the average home win rate is 44% compared to 29% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Novorizontino shows the strongest home advantage, winning 100% of home games versus just 25% away (a difference of +75%). At the other end, Portuguesa actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 40% versus 75% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Ponte Preta+100%0.750.00
2RB Bragantino+68%2.600.50
3Palmeiras+60%2.000.50
4Capivariano+52%1.250.40
5Santos+48%2.250.80
6Corinthians+45%1.750.67
7Primavera SP+43%2.501.00
8São Bernardo+25%1.250.75
9Botafogo SP+20%0.750.50
10Sao Paulo+20%1.751.17
11Novorizontino+18%2.171.50
12Guarani Campinas0%0.750.75
13Mirassol0%1.251.25
14Velo Clube0%0.250.25
15Portuguesa-27%1.001.75
16Noroeste-27%1.001.75

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Ponte Preta has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), netting 0.75 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. In contrast, Noroeste scores more away (1.75/match) than at home (1.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -27% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Novorizontino+74%0.332.25
2Capivariano+66%0.502.40
3Botafogo SP+56%0.501.75
4Velo Clube+54%0.752.50
5Santos+47%0.501.40
6Palmeiras+43%0.501.25
7Portuguesa+35%0.601.25
8Corinthians+33%0.501.00
9Sao Paulo+29%1.001.83
10Noroeste+27%1.001.75
11Mirassol+25%0.751.25
12Ponte Preta+14%1.502.00
13Guarani Campinas-14%1.000.75
14São Bernardo-20%1.501.00
15Primavera SP-33%2.501.25
16RB Bragantino-41%0.600.25

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Defence Analysis

Novorizontino has the best home defensive record in the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), conceding just 0.33 goals/match at home compared to 2.25 away — a Defence Advantage of +74%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, RB Bragantino concedes more at home (0.60/match) than away (0.25/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Palmeiras+100%1.000.00
2Ponte Preta+100%0.500.00
3RB Bragantino+100%0.600.00
4Capivariano+100%0.500.00
5Primavera SP+50%1.500.50
6Portuguesa+41%0.600.25
7Santos+30%0.750.40
8Novorizontino+14%1.000.75
9Botafogo SP0%0.250.25
10Mirassol0%0.750.75
11São Bernardo-20%0.500.75
12Noroeste-20%0.500.75
13Sao Paulo-100%0.000.67
14Corinthians-100%0.000.17
15Guarani Campinas-100%0.000.50
16Velo Clube-100%0.000.25

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Palmeiras has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Velo Clube shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.25 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Sao Paulo+100%0.000.83
2Portuguesa+100%0.000.50
3Botafogo SP+100%0.000.50
4Velo Clube+67%0.251.25
5Novorizontino+64%0.170.75
6Noroeste+43%0.501.25
7Palmeiras+20%0.330.50
8Mirassol+20%0.500.75
9Corinthians+14%0.250.33
10Santos+9%0.500.60
11Capivariano+9%0.500.60
12Guarani Campinas0%0.250.25
13São Bernardo-33%0.500.25
14Ponte Preta-43%1.250.50
15RB Bragantino-100%0.400.00
16Primavera SP-100%0.750.00

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Sao Paulo has the best home defensive record in the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.83 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Primavera SP struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.75/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Ponte Preta+100%0.250.00
2São Bernardo+100%0.750.00
3Velo Clube+100%0.250.00
4RB Bragantino+60%2.000.50
5Santos+58%1.500.40
6Sao Paulo+56%1.750.50
7Corinthians+56%1.750.50
8Guarani Campinas+50%0.750.25
9Palmeiras+33%1.000.50
10Botafogo SP+33%0.500.25
11Primavera SP+33%1.000.50
12Capivariano+30%0.750.40
13Novorizontino+22%1.170.75
14Mirassol0%0.500.50
15Noroeste-33%0.501.00
16Portuguesa-58%0.401.50

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Ponte Preta has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), netting 0.25 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Portuguesa shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.40/match at home against 1.50 away (-58%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Santos+100%0.000.80
2Capivariano+100%0.001.80
3Novorizontino+80%0.171.50
4Ponte Preta+71%0.251.50
5Palmeiras+64%0.170.75
6Corinthians+45%0.250.67
7Botafogo SP+43%0.501.25
8Velo Clube+43%0.501.25
9Mirassol+33%0.250.50
10Portuguesa+11%0.600.75
11RB Bragantino+11%0.200.25
12Sao Paulo0%1.001.00
13Noroeste0%0.500.50
14São Bernardo-14%1.000.75
15Primavera SP-17%1.751.25
16Guarani Campinas-20%0.750.50

Paulista - A1 (Brazil) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Santos has the best home defensive record in the Paulista - A1 (Brazil), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.80 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Guarani Campinas struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.75/match at home versus 0.50 away (-20%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Brazil