Virsliga — xG (Expected Goals)
Latvia · 2026
Latvia — Virsliga 2026 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 4 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Riga | 4 | 11.1 | 2.78 | 2.3 | 0.57 | 95 | 33 | +83.9 |
| 2 |  Auda | 4 | 10.3 | 2.59 | 4.5 | 1.12 | 61 | 38 | +50.7 |
| 3 |  FK Liepaja | 4 | 8.8 | 2.20 | 4.5 | 1.13 | 49 | 49 | +40.2 |
| 4 |  Rīgas FS | 3 | 7.5 | 2.49 | 0.8 | 0.26 | 87 | 24 | +79.5 |
| 5 |  BFC Daugavpils | 4 | 5.6 | 1.40 | 6.2 | 1.55 | 42 | 37 | +36.4 |
| 6 |  Grobiņa | 4 | 5.4 | 1.36 | 9.3 | 2.34 | 27 | 64 | +21.6 |
| 7 |  Ogre United | 4 | 4.8 | 1.19 | 9.9 | 2.49 | 34 | 85 | +29.2 |
| 8 |  Super Nova | 4 | 4.6 | 1.15 | 9.4 | 2.35 | 35 | 53 | +30.4 |
| 9 |  FS Jelgava | 3 | 3.1 | 1.03 | 6.4 | 2.13 | 37 | 61 | +33.9 |
| 10 |  Tukums | 4 | 2.1 | 0.53 | 10.0 | 2.49 | 44 | 67 | +41.9 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
10 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.67
League avg xGA/g: 1.64
Best overperformer: Riga (+83.9)
Virsliga (Latvia) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Virsliga (Latvia) averages 1.67 xG per game this season. Riga creates the most chances with 2.78 xGF per game, while Tukums creates the fewest with 0.53 xGF per game. Riga is over-performing their xG (95 goals vs 11.1 xGF) — regression likely.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Latvia
- 1. Liga xG— Division Underground
- Cup xG— Division Underground
- Super Cup xG— Division Silver