Meistriliiga — Home Advantage
Estonia · 2026
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trans Narva | +31% | +33% | +28% | 0.88/0.28 |
| 2 |  Vaprus | +22% | +23% | +22% | 1.44/0.65 |
| 3 |  Tammeka | +22% | +15% | +28% | 1.82/1.22 |
| 4 |  FC Levadia Tallinn | +20% | +10% | +31% | 2.47/2.67 |
| 5 |  Nõmme United | +19% | +32% | +5% | 1.00/1.12 |
| 6 |  Laagri | +18% | +17% | +18% | 1.61/1.06 |
| 7 |  Flora Tallinn | +13% | +12% | +13% | 1.83/1.65 |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | +11% | +17% | +5% | 1.24/0.83 |
| 9 |  Kalju Nomme | +3% | +16% | -9% | 1.67/1.76 |
| 10 |  Paide | +1% | -8% | +9% | 1.82/1.78 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Meistriliiga (Estonia), the average home win rate is 49% compared to 39% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Vaprus shows the strongest home advantage, winning 39% of home games versus just 18% away (a difference of +21%). At the other end, FC Levadia Tallinn actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 76% versus 83% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trans Narva | +33% | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| 2 | Nõmme United | +32% | 2.17 | 1.12 |
| 3 | Vaprus | +23% | 1.61 | 1.00 |
| 4 | Laagri | +17% | 1.67 | 1.18 |
| 5 | Kuressaare | +17% | 1.18 | 0.83 |
| 6 | Kalju Nomme | +16% | 1.94 | 1.41 |
| 7 | Tammeka | +15% | 1.65 | 1.22 |
| 8 | Flora Tallinn | +12% | 2.11 | 1.65 |
| 9 | FC Levadia Tallinn | +10% | 3.00 | 2.44 |
| 10 | Paide | -8% | 1.41 | 1.67 |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Trans Narva has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Meistriliiga (Estonia), netting 1.00 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. In contrast, Paide scores more away (1.67/match) than at home (1.41/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -8% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | +31% | 0.53 | 1.00 |
| 2 | Tammeka | +28% | 1.12 | 2.00 |
| 3 | Trans Narva | +28% | 1.59 | 2.83 |
| 4 | Vaprus | +22% | 1.56 | 2.41 |
| 5 | Laagri | +18% | 1.22 | 1.76 |
| 6 | Flora Tallinn | +13% | 1.22 | 1.59 |
| 7 | Paide | +9% | 1.06 | 1.28 |
| 8 | Nõmme United | +5% | 2.17 | 2.41 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | +5% | 1.47 | 1.61 |
| 10 | Kalju Nomme | -9% | 1.06 | 0.88 |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Defence Analysis
FC Levadia Tallinn has the best home defensive record in the Meistriliiga (Estonia), conceding just 0.53 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +31%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Kalju Nomme concedes more at home (1.06/match) than away (0.88/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laagri | +44% | 1.06 | 0.41 |
| 2 | Kuressaare | +44% | 0.71 | 0.28 |
| 3 | Vaprus | +28% | 0.83 | 0.47 |
| 4 | Flora Tallinn | +24% | 1.06 | 0.65 |
| 5 | Nõmme United | +17% | 0.83 | 0.59 |
| 6 | Trans Narva | +15% | 0.53 | 0.39 |
| 7 | FC Levadia Tallinn | +14% | 1.47 | 1.11 |
| 8 | Kalju Nomme | +10% | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Paide | -5% | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| 10 | Tammeka | -19% | 0.53 | 0.78 |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Laagri has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Meistriliiga (Estonia), netting 1.06 goals/match at home versus 0.41 away — a Scoring Advantage of +44%. At the other end, Tammeka shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.53/match at home against 0.78 away (-19%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | +55% | 0.18 | 0.61 |
| 2 | Laagri | +36% | 0.44 | 0.94 |
| 3 | Tammeka | +31% | 0.71 | 1.33 |
| 4 | Vaprus | +23% | 0.67 | 1.06 |
| 5 | Flora Tallinn | +21% | 0.61 | 0.94 |
| 6 | Kuressaare | +15% | 0.53 | 0.72 |
| 7 | Paide | +8% | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| 8 | Kalju Nomme | +3% | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| 9 | Trans Narva | +3% | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| 10 | Nõmme United | -8% | 1.17 | 1.00 |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, FC Levadia Tallinn has the best home defensive record in the Meistriliiga (Estonia), conceding just 0.18 goals/match at home compared to 0.61 away — a Defence Advantage of +55%. Nõmme United struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.17/match at home versus 1.00 away (-8%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trans Narva | +62% | 0.47 | 0.11 |
| 2 | Nõmme United | +43% | 1.33 | 0.53 |
| 3 | Tammeka | +43% | 1.12 | 0.44 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | +23% | 0.94 | 0.59 |
| 5 | Vaprus | +19% | 0.78 | 0.53 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn | +7% | 1.53 | 1.33 |
| 7 | Flora Tallinn | +3% | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | -8% | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| 9 | Paide | -11% | 0.76 | 0.94 |
| 10 | Laagri | -11% | 0.61 | 0.76 |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Trans Narva has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Meistriliiga (Estonia), netting 0.47 goals/match at home versus 0.11 away — a Scoring Advantage of +62%. At the other end, Laagri shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.61/match at home against 0.76 away (-11%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trans Narva | +50% | 0.59 | 1.78 |
| 2 | Tammeka | +24% | 0.41 | 0.67 |
| 3 | Vaprus | +21% | 0.89 | 1.35 |
| 4 | Nõmme United | +17% | 1.00 | 1.41 |
| 5 | Paide | +10% | 0.59 | 0.72 |
| 6 | FC Levadia Tallinn | +5% | 0.35 | 0.39 |
| 7 | Flora Tallinn | +3% | 0.61 | 0.65 |
| 8 | Laagri | +3% | 0.78 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | -3% | 0.94 | 0.89 |
| 10 | Kalju Nomme | -19% | 0.61 | 0.41 |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Trans Narva has the best home defensive record in the Meistriliiga (Estonia), conceding just 0.59 goals/match at home compared to 1.78 away — a Defence Advantage of +50%. Kalju Nomme struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.61/match at home versus 0.41 away (-19%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Estonia
- Cup Home Advantage— Division Underground
- Esiliiga A Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Esiliiga B Home Advantage— Division Underground