Esiliiga A — Home Advantage
Estonia · 2026
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tallinna Kalev | +12% | +20% | +4% | 1.44/0.94 |
| 2 |  FCI Levadia II | +7% | -1% | +15% | 1.71/1.47 |
| 3 |  Nõmme United II | +6% | -17% | +30% | 1.41/0.88 |
| 4 |  Maardu | +3% | -6% | +13% | 1.86/1.15 |
| 5 |  FC Tallinn | +1% | +6% | -3% | 1.00/1.06 |
| 6 |  Elva | +1% | -4% | +6% | 1.65/1.35 |
| 7 |  Flora II | -3% | 0% | -7% | 1.65/1.41 |
| 8 |  Nõmme Kalju II | -4% | -6% | -2% | 0.72/0.63 |
| 9 |  Viimsi | -7% | +12% | -26% | 1.50/1.83 |
| 10 |  Tartu Welco | -10% | +8% | -27% | 2.29/2.11 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Esiliiga A (Estonia), the average home win rate is 45% compared to 37% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Maardu shows the strongest home advantage, winning 57% of home games versus just 31% away (a difference of +26%). At the other end, Viimsi actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 44% versus 56% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tallinna Kalev | +20% | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 2 | Viimsi | +12% | 2.06 | 1.61 |
| 3 | Tartu Welco | +8% | 3.12 | 2.67 |
| 4 | FC Tallinn | +6% | 1.25 | 1.11 |
| 5 | Flora II | 0% | 2.29 | 2.29 |
| 6 | FCI Levadia II | -1% | 2.00 | 2.06 |
| 7 | Elva | -4% | 1.41 | 1.53 |
| 8 | Nõmme Kalju II | -6% | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| 9 | Maardu | -6% | 1.57 | 1.77 |
| 10 | Nõmme United II | -17% | 1.41 | 2.00 |
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Tallinna Kalev has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Esiliiga A (Estonia), netting 2.06 goals/match at home versus 1.38 away — a Scoring Advantage of +20%. In contrast, Nõmme United II scores more away (2.00/match) than at home (1.41/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -17% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nõmme United II | +30% | 1.47 | 2.71 |
| 2 | FCI Levadia II | +15% | 1.47 | 2.00 |
| 3 | Maardu | +13% | 1.79 | 2.31 |
| 4 | Elva | +6% | 1.41 | 1.59 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | +4% | 1.78 | 1.94 |
| 6 | Nõmme Kalju II | -2% | 2.56 | 2.44 |
| 7 | FC Tallinn | -3% | 2.38 | 2.22 |
| 8 | Flora II | -7% | 1.88 | 1.65 |
| 9 | Viimsi | -26% | 1.31 | 0.78 |
| 10 | Tartu Welco | -27% | 1.65 | 0.94 |
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Defence Analysis
Nõmme United II has the best home defensive record in the Esiliiga A (Estonia), conceding just 1.47 goals/match at home compared to 2.71 away — a Defence Advantage of +30%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Tartu Welco concedes more at home (1.65/match) than away (0.94/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tallinna Kalev | +25% | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| 2 | Viimsi | +13% | 0.94 | 0.72 |
| 3 | Tartu Welco | +12% | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| 4 | FCI Levadia II | +7% | 0.88 | 0.76 |
| 5 | Maardu | +5% | 0.86 | 0.77 |
| 6 | Flora II | -14% | 0.94 | 1.24 |
| 7 | Nõmme Kalju II | -14% | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| 8 | FC Tallinn | -17% | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| 9 | Nõmme United II | -26% | 0.41 | 0.71 |
| 10 | Elva | -27% | 0.47 | 0.82 |
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Tallinna Kalev has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Esiliiga A (Estonia), netting 0.83 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +25%. At the other end, Elva shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.47/match at home against 0.82 away (-27%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nõmme United II | +33% | 0.59 | 1.18 |
| 2 | Elva | +13% | 0.59 | 0.76 |
| 3 | Tallinna Kalev | +2% | 0.83 | 0.88 |
| 4 | FCI Levadia II | 0% | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| 5 | Flora II | 0% | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| 6 | Maardu | -1% | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| 7 | Nõmme Kalju II | -5% | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| 8 | Tartu Welco | -17% | 0.71 | 0.50 |
| 9 | FC Tallinn | -19% | 1.06 | 0.72 |
| 10 | Viimsi | -32% | 0.75 | 0.39 |
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Nõmme United II has the best home defensive record in the Esiliiga A (Estonia), conceding just 0.59 goals/match at home compared to 1.18 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. Viimsi struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.75/match at home versus 0.39 away (-32%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tallinn | +24% | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| 2 | Tallinna Kalev | +17% | 1.22 | 0.88 |
| 3 | Elva | +14% | 0.94 | 0.71 |
| 4 | Flora II | +12% | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| 5 | Viimsi | +12% | 1.13 | 0.89 |
| 6 | Nõmme Kalju II | +8% | 0.44 | 0.38 |
| 7 | Tartu Welco | +5% | 1.76 | 1.61 |
| 8 | FCI Levadia II | -7% | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| 9 | Nõmme United II | -13% | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| 10 | Maardu | -17% | 0.71 | 1.00 |
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, FC Tallinn has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Esiliiga A (Estonia), netting 0.81 goals/match at home versus 0.50 away — a Scoring Advantage of +24%. At the other end, Maardu shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.71/match at home against 1.00 away (-17%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nõmme United II | +27% | 0.88 | 1.53 |
| 2 | FCI Levadia II | +26% | 0.76 | 1.29 |
| 3 | Maardu | +22% | 0.93 | 1.46 |
| 4 | FC Tallinn | +7% | 1.31 | 1.50 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | +6% | 0.94 | 1.06 |
| 6 | Elva | 0% | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| 7 | Nõmme Kalju II | -1% | 1.39 | 1.38 |
| 8 | Flora II | -13% | 1.06 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Viimsi | -18% | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| 10 | Tartu Welco | -36% | 0.94 | 0.44 |
Esiliiga A (Estonia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Nõmme United II has the best home defensive record in the Esiliiga A (Estonia), conceding just 0.88 goals/match at home compared to 1.53 away — a Defence Advantage of +27%. Tartu Welco struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.94/match at home versus 0.44 away (-36%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Estonia
- Cup Home Advantage— Division Underground
- Esiliiga B Home Advantage— Division Underground
- Meistriliiga Home Advantage— Division Gold