Esiliiga B — Home Advantage
Estonia · 2026
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Narva U21 | +31% | +34% | +28% | 2.61/1.53 |
| 2 |  Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +25% | +24% | +26% | 1.94/1.11 |
| 3 |  Luunja | +22% | +40% | +3% | 2.18/1.24 |
| 4 |  Johvi Phoenix | +18% | +37% | -2% | 2.29/1.17 |
| 5 |  JK Tabasalu | +18% | +9% | +26% | 1.53/0.67 |
| 6 |  Tartu Kalev | +17% | +3% | +31% | 1.78/1.06 |
| 7 |  Tallinna Kalev II | +15% | +11% | +18% | 1.17/0.71 |
| 8 |  Legion | +13% | -1% | +27% | 0.38/0.50 |
| 9 |  Tulevik | +13% | +9% | +17% | 1.72/1.29 |
| 10 |  Levadia U19 | -4% | -4% | -4% | 2.17/1.76 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Esiliiga B (Estonia), the average home win rate is 55% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Johvi Phoenix shows the strongest home advantage, winning 76% of home games versus just 33% away (a difference of +43%). At the other end, Legion actually performs similarly at home and away, with a home win rate of 13% versus 11% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luunja | +40% | 3.71 | 1.59 |
| 2 | Johvi Phoenix | +37% | 3.24 | 1.50 |
| 3 | Narva U21 | +34% | 2.89 | 1.41 |
| 4 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +24% | 3.71 | 2.28 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev II | +11% | 2.22 | 1.76 |
| 6 | JK Tabasalu | +9% | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| 7 | Tulevik | +9% | 2.72 | 2.29 |
| 8 | Tartu Kalev | +3% | 2.33 | 2.18 |
| 9 | Legion | -1% | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| 10 | Levadia U19 | -4% | 2.39 | 2.59 |
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Luunja has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Esiliiga B (Estonia), netting 3.71 goals/match at home versus 1.59 away — a Scoring Advantage of +40%. In contrast, Levadia U19 scores more away (2.59/match) than at home (2.39/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -4% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Kalev | +31% | 1.33 | 2.53 |
| 2 | Narva U21 | +28% | 0.83 | 1.47 |
| 3 | Legion | +27% | 2.75 | 4.78 |
| 4 | JK Tabasalu | +26% | 1.82 | 3.11 |
| 5 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +26% | 1.47 | 2.50 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev II | +18% | 2.06 | 2.94 |
| 7 | Tulevik | +17% | 1.78 | 2.53 |
| 8 | Luunja | +3% | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| 9 | Johvi Phoenix | -2% | 2.24 | 2.17 |
| 10 | Levadia U19 | -4% | 1.67 | 1.53 |
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Defence Analysis
Tartu Kalev has the best home defensive record in the Esiliiga B (Estonia), conceding just 1.33 goals/match at home compared to 2.53 away — a Defence Advantage of +31%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Levadia U19 concedes more at home (1.67/match) than away (1.53/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luunja | +67% | 1.76 | 0.35 |
| 2 | Johvi Phoenix | +44% | 1.56 | 0.61 |
| 3 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +39% | 1.88 | 0.83 |
| 4 | Narva U21 | +31% | 1.33 | 0.71 |
| 5 | Tartu Kalev | +8% | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| 6 | Levadia U19 | +4% | 1.22 | 1.12 |
| 7 | Tulevik | +1% | 1.33 | 1.31 |
| 8 | Legion | -5% | 0.25 | 0.28 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | -6% | 0.83 | 0.94 |
| 10 | JK Tabasalu | -8% | 0.71 | 0.83 |
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Luunja has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Esiliiga B (Estonia), netting 1.76 goals/match at home versus 0.35 away — a Scoring Advantage of +67%. At the other end, JK Tabasalu shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.71/match at home against 0.83 away (-8%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | +52% | 0.22 | 0.71 |
| 2 | Tartu Kalev | +49% | 0.44 | 1.29 |
| 3 | JK Tabasalu | +41% | 0.65 | 1.56 |
| 4 | Tulevik | +23% | 0.78 | 1.25 |
| 5 | Legion | +22% | 1.25 | 1.94 |
| 6 | Tallinna Kalev II | +19% | 0.83 | 1.24 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +12% | 0.82 | 1.06 |
| 8 | Luunja | +3% | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| 9 | Johvi Phoenix | +2% | 1.13 | 1.17 |
| 10 | Levadia U19 | -8% | 0.83 | 0.71 |
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Narva U21 has the best home defensive record in the Esiliiga B (Estonia), conceding just 0.22 goals/match at home compared to 0.71 away — a Defence Advantage of +52%. Levadia U19 struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.83/match at home versus 0.71 away (-8%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | +38% | 1.56 | 0.71 |
| 2 | JK Tabasalu | +30% | 0.82 | 0.44 |
| 3 | Johvi Phoenix | +26% | 1.50 | 0.89 |
| 4 | Tallinna Kalev II | +26% | 1.39 | 0.82 |
| 5 | Luunja | +22% | 1.94 | 1.24 |
| 6 | Tulevik | +13% | 1.39 | 1.06 |
| 7 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +12% | 1.82 | 1.44 |
| 8 | Legion | +1% | 0.63 | 0.61 |
| 9 | Tartu Kalev | 0% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 10 | Levadia U19 | -12% | 1.17 | 1.47 |
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Narva U21 has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Esiliiga B (Estonia), netting 1.56 goals/match at home versus 0.71 away — a Scoring Advantage of +38%. At the other end, Levadia U19 shows the weakest home output in this period, with 1.17/match at home against 1.47 away (-12%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | +38% | 0.65 | 1.44 |
| 2 | Legion | +31% | 1.50 | 2.83 |
| 3 | Tallinna Kalev II | +17% | 1.22 | 1.71 |
| 4 | Tartu Kalev | +16% | 0.89 | 1.24 |
| 5 | JK Tabasalu | +14% | 1.18 | 1.56 |
| 6 | Narva U21 | +11% | 0.61 | 0.76 |
| 7 | Luunja | +3% | 0.82 | 0.88 |
| 8 | Tulevik | +3% | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| 9 | Levadia U19 | -1% | 0.83 | 0.82 |
| 10 | Johvi Phoenix | -9% | 1.19 | 1.00 |
Esiliiga B (Estonia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the best home defensive record in the Esiliiga B (Estonia), conceding just 0.65 goals/match at home compared to 1.44 away — a Defence Advantage of +38%. Johvi Phoenix struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.19/match at home versus 1.00 away (-9%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Estonia
- Cup Home Advantage— Division Underground
- Esiliiga A Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Meistriliiga Home Advantage— Division Gold