MatchPulse
Provincial - Luxembourg

Provincial - Luxembourg — Home Advantage

Belgium · 2024/25

Belgium — Provincial - Luxembourg 2024/25 — Detailed Stats
Competition
Home & Away TablesForm TableHome AdvantageAway AdvantageDrawsPredictions
Goals
AVG TotalGoals ScoredGoals ConcededClean SheetsBTTSFailed To Score
Over/Under
Over 0.5 ~ 5.5 TablesUnder 0.5 ~ 5.5 Tables
More
1st Half Table2nd Half TableWinning / Losing at HT

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Florenville+20%+19%+20%1.60/0.93
2Vaux-Noville+15%+13%+16%1.93/1.07
3Sartoise+13%+9%+18%1.07/1.00
4RESC Houffaloise+9%-3%+22%2.33/1.73
5Nothomb-Post+9%+13%+5%1.93/1.67
6Lorraine Arlon+9%+27%-8%1.13/0.80
7Saint-André Ochamps+8%0%+17%1.20/1.20
8Gouvy II+6%+23%-11%1.27/0.93
9Longlier+5%+6%+3%1.87/1.67
10Wallonia Libin+1%-19%+21%1.87/1.93
11BX Brussels+1%-17%+19%1.40/1.00
12La Roche-1%-20%+18%0.93/1.00
13Chaumont-2%+4%-9%0.53/0.53
14Messancy-10%+6%-27%2.20/2.53
15Érezée-11%-9%-13%0.67/1.00
16RUS Assenois-13%+3%-29%1.80/2.33

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Provincial - Luxembourg (Belgium) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Provincial - Luxembourg (Belgium), the average home win rate is 43% compared to 38% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Vaux-Noville shows the strongest home advantage, winning 60% of home games versus just 33% away (a difference of +27%). At the other end, RUS Assenois actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 53% versus 73% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Lorraine Arlon+27%2.071.20
2Gouvy II+23%1.601.00
3Florenville+19%2.271.53
4Vaux-Noville+13%2.531.93
5Nothomb-Post+13%2.531.93
6Sartoise+9%1.271.07
7Messancy+6%2.732.40
8Longlier+6%1.731.53
9Chaumont+4%0.800.73
10RUS Assenois+3%2.202.07
11Saint-André Ochamps0%1.671.67
12RESC Houffaloise-3%2.002.13
13Érezée-9%1.071.27
14BX Brussels-17%1.271.80
15Wallonia Libin-19%1.472.13
16La Roche-20%0.931.40

Provincial - Luxembourg (Belgium) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Lorraine Arlon has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Provincial - Luxembourg (Belgium), netting 2.07 goals/match at home versus 1.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +27%. In contrast, La Roche scores more away (1.40/match) than at home (0.93/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -20% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1RESC Houffaloise+22%0.931.47
2Wallonia Libin+21%0.871.33
3Florenville+20%1.332.00
4BX Brussels+19%1.271.87
5Sartoise+18%1.331.93
6La Roche+18%1.802.60
7Saint-André Ochamps+17%1.802.53
8Vaux-Noville+16%1.802.47
9Nothomb-Post+5%1.201.33
10Longlier+3%1.001.07
11Lorraine Arlon-8%2.271.93
12Chaumont-9%3.132.60
13Gouvy II-11%2.001.60
14Érezée-13%2.672.07
15Messancy-27%0.930.53
16RUS Assenois-29%1.470.80

Provincial - Luxembourg (Belgium) — Home Defence Analysis

RESC Houffaloise has the best home defensive record in the Provincial - Luxembourg (Belgium), conceding just 0.93 goals/match at home compared to 1.47 away — a Defence Advantage of +22%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, RUS Assenois concedes more at home (1.47/match) than away (0.80/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

Home Advantage Tables — Belgium