MatchPulse
Provincial - Namur

Provincial - Namur — Home Advantage

Belgium · 2024/25

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Evelette-Jallet+23%+20%+27%2.80/2.20
2Condruzien+22%+25%+19%2.47/1.40
3Nismes+20%+9%+32%1.73/1.13
4Chevetogne+19%+20%+17%2.13/1.33
5Wépion+17%+10%+23%1.07/0.60
6Meux II+16%+26%+6%1.87/1.33
7Anhée+15%+16%+13%0.80/0.40
8Jeunesse Tamines+12%+14%+10%0.40/0.67
9Couvin-Mariembourg+11%+18%+4%1.27/0.67
10Rhisnes+11%-10%+32%1.47/1.07
11Union Bossière Gembloux+10%+9%+11%1.60/1.20
12Rochefort II+10%+12%+8%2.47/1.60
13Spy+7%+7%+8%1.40/1.07
14Gedinne+6%+12%0%1.13/0.80
15Petigny-Frasnes-2%-7%+4%1.13/1.20
16Grand-Leez-9%+10%-28%2.60/2.27

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Provincial - Namur (Belgium) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Provincial - Namur (Belgium), the average home win rate is 49% compared to 34% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Condruzien shows the strongest home advantage, winning 80% of home games versus just 40% away (a difference of +40%). At the other end, Jeunesse Tamines actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 7% versus 20% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Meux II+26%2.931.73
2Condruzien+25%2.671.60
3Chevetogne+20%3.002.00
4Evelette-Jallet+20%3.872.60
5Couvin-Mariembourg+18%1.731.20
6Anhée+16%1.671.20
7Jeunesse Tamines+14%1.401.07
8Rochefort II+12%2.872.27
9Gedinne+12%1.601.27
10Wépion+10%1.471.20
11Grand-Leez+10%3.072.53
12Union Bossière Gembloux+9%2.001.67
13Nismes+9%2.071.73
14Spy+7%2.071.80
15Petigny-Frasnes-7%1.271.47
16Rhisnes-10%1.732.13

Provincial - Namur (Belgium) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Meux II has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Provincial - Namur (Belgium), netting 2.93 goals/match at home versus 1.73 away — a Scoring Advantage of +26%. In contrast, Rhisnes scores more away (2.13/match) than at home (1.73/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -10% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Nismes+32%1.001.93
2Rhisnes+32%1.803.47
3Evelette-Jallet+27%0.731.27
4Wépion+23%2.003.20
5Condruzien+19%1.131.67
6Chevetogne+17%1.271.80
7Anhée+13%2.403.13
8Union Bossière Gembloux+11%1.802.27
9Jeunesse Tamines+10%2.603.20
10Rochefort II+8%1.531.80
11Spy+8%2.002.33
12Meux II+6%1.601.80
13Couvin-Mariembourg+4%2.873.13
14Petigny-Frasnes+4%1.671.80
15Gedinne0%2.002.00
16Grand-Leez-28%1.070.60

Provincial - Namur (Belgium) — Home Defence Analysis

Nismes has the best home defensive record in the Provincial - Namur (Belgium), conceding just 1.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.93 away — a Defence Advantage of +32%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Grand-Leez concedes more at home (1.07/match) than away (0.60/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

Home Advantage Tables — Belgium