MatchPulse
Provincial - Liege

Provincial - Liege — Home Advantage

Belgium · 2024/25

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Hannut+26%+2%+50%1.93/1.07
2Entente Blegnytoise+20%+11%+28%1.47/0.50
3Union Flémalloise+19%+11%+28%1.79/1.00
4Herstal+15%+28%+2%1.14/0.57
5Etoile de Faimes+13%+23%+3%1.87/1.57
6Hombourg+7%+1%+13%0.47/0.29
7Wanze / Bas-Oha+6%+12%0%2.50/1.80
8Ster-Francorchamps+2%+3%0%1.00/1.13
9Espoir Minerois0%+14%-13%1.64/1.33
10Union Momalloise-1%+6%-8%2.07/2.00
11Xhoris-1%+13%-15%1.86/1.73
12Croatia Wandre-2%-9%+6%2.07/2.00
13Malmundaria-3%-3%-3%1.27/1.50
14Sart-Lez-Spa-5%-6%-3%1.07/0.79
15Beaufays-8%-9%-7%0.93/1.29
16Ferrières-23%-47%+2%0.80/1.67

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Provincial - Liege (Belgium) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Provincial - Liege (Belgium), the average home win rate is 42% compared to 35% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Entente Blegnytoise shows the strongest home advantage, winning 40% of home games versus just 7% away (a difference of +33%). At the other end, Ferrières actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 20% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Herstal+28%1.791.00
2Etoile de Faimes+23%2.071.29
3Espoir Minerois+14%1.931.47
4Xhoris+13%2.361.80
5Wanze / Bas-Oha+12%2.291.80
6Union Flémalloise+11%2.141.71
7Entente Blegnytoise+11%1.331.07
8Union Momalloise+6%1.931.71
9Ster-Francorchamps+3%1.071.00
10Hannut+2%1.791.71
11Hombourg+1%0.870.86
12Malmundaria-3%1.531.64
13Sart-Lez-Spa-6%1.131.29
14Beaufays-9%1.141.36
15Croatia Wandre-9%1.712.07
16Ferrières-47%0.601.67

Provincial - Liege (Belgium) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Herstal has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Provincial - Liege (Belgium), netting 1.79 goals/match at home versus 1.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +28%. In contrast, Ferrières scores more away (1.67/match) than at home (0.60/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -47% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Hannut+50%0.712.14
2Entente Blegnytoise+28%1.202.14
3Union Flémalloise+28%1.212.14
4Hombourg+13%2.403.14
5Croatia Wandre+6%1.071.20
6Etoile de Faimes+3%1.331.43
7Ferrières+2%1.601.67
8Herstal+2%2.142.21
9Ster-Francorchamps0%1.071.07
10Wanze / Bas-Oha0%1.141.13
11Sart-Lez-Spa-3%2.272.14
12Malmundaria-3%1.671.57
13Beaufays-7%1.641.43
14Union Momalloise-8%1.000.86
15Espoir Minerois-13%1.571.20
16Xhoris-15%1.361.00

Provincial - Liege (Belgium) — Home Defence Analysis

Hannut has the best home defensive record in the Provincial - Liege (Belgium), conceding just 0.71 goals/match at home compared to 2.14 away — a Defence Advantage of +50%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Xhoris concedes more at home (1.36/match) than away (1.00/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

Home Advantage Tables — Belgium