National League - Northern — Home Advantage
New-Zealand · 2025
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tauranga City United | +15% | +19% | +11% | 1.55/1.18 |
| 2 |  Auckland City | +14% | +3% | +25% | 2.27/1.36 |
| 3 |  Bay Olympic | +12% | +23% | 0% | 1.55/0.64 |
| 4 |  Fencibles United | +4% | +3% | +6% | 1.09/0.82 |
| 5 |  Birkenhead United | +3% | -9% | +15% | 1.73/2.00 |
| 6 |  Auckland II | 0% | +9% | -8% | 0.82/1.27 |
| 7 |  Manurewa | -1% | 0% | -2% | 0.45/1.00 |
| 8 |  Auckland United | -3% | +6% | -13% | 1.73/1.91 |
| 9 |  West Coast Rangers | -8% | -8% | -9% | 0.36/1.00 |
| 10 |  Eastern Suburbs | -12% | +3% | -26% | 1.64/2.00 |
| 11 |  Western Springs | -14% | -27% | 0% | 1.45/2.36 |
| 12 |  East Coast Bays | -25% | -31% | -19% | 1.27/2.00 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), the average home win rate is 37% compared to 42% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Auckland City shows the strongest home advantage, winning 73% of home games versus just 36% away (a difference of +36%). At the other end, Western Springs actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 45% versus 73% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bay Olympic | +23% | 1.45 | 0.91 |
| 2 | Tauranga City United | +19% | 2.27 | 1.55 |
| 3 | Auckland II | +9% | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| 4 | Auckland United | +6% | 2.27 | 2.00 |
| 5 | Auckland City | +3% | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| 6 | Eastern Suburbs | +3% | 1.64 | 1.55 |
| 7 | Fencibles United | +3% | 1.73 | 1.64 |
| 8 | Manurewa | 0% | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| 9 | West Coast Rangers | -8% | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| 10 | Birkenhead United | -9% | 2.27 | 2.73 |
| 11 | Western Springs | -27% | 1.45 | 2.55 |
| 12 | East Coast Bays | -31% | 1.00 | 1.91 |
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Bay Olympic has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), netting 1.45 goals/match at home versus 0.91 away — a Scoring Advantage of +23%. In contrast, East Coast Bays scores more away (1.91/match) than at home (1.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -31% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | +25% | 0.82 | 1.36 |
| 2 | Birkenhead United | +15% | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| 3 | Tauranga City United | +11% | 1.55 | 1.91 |
| 4 | Fencibles United | +6% | 2.09 | 2.36 |
| 5 | Bay Olympic | 0% | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| 6 | Western Springs | 0% | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| 7 | Manurewa | -2% | 2.64 | 2.55 |
| 8 | Auckland II | -8% | 1.82 | 1.55 |
| 9 | West Coast Rangers | -9% | 2.27 | 1.91 |
| 10 | Auckland United | -13% | 1.64 | 1.27 |
| 11 | East Coast Bays | -19% | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| 12 | Eastern Suburbs | -26% | 1.55 | 0.91 |
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Defence Analysis
Auckland City has the best home defensive record in the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), conceding just 0.82 goals/match at home compared to 1.36 away — a Defence Advantage of +25%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Eastern Suburbs concedes more at home (1.55/match) than away (0.91/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bay Olympic | +43% | 0.91 | 0.36 |
| 2 | East Coast Bays | +11% | 0.45 | 0.36 |
| 3 | Auckland II | +8% | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| 4 | West Coast Rangers | 0% | 0.36 | 0.36 |
| 5 | Tauranga City United | 0% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| 6 | Eastern Suburbs | -7% | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| 7 | Western Springs | -8% | 1.09 | 1.27 |
| 8 | Auckland United | -10% | 0.82 | 1.00 |
| 9 | Fencibles United | -16% | 0.73 | 1.00 |
| 10 | Birkenhead United | -20% | 0.91 | 1.36 |
| 11 | Auckland City | -33% | 0.45 | 0.91 |
| 12 | Manurewa | -60% | 0.18 | 0.73 |
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Bay Olympic has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), netting 0.91 goals/match at home versus 0.36 away — a Scoring Advantage of +43%. At the other end, Manurewa shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.18/match at home against 0.73 away (-60%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | +17% | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| 2 | Auckland II | +7% | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| 3 | Birkenhead United | 0% | 0.73 | 0.73 |
| 4 | Western Springs | 0% | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| 5 | Manurewa | 0% | 1.09 | 1.09 |
| 6 | East Coast Bays | -8% | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| 7 | Fencibles United | -8% | 1.18 | 1.00 |
| 8 | West Coast Rangers | -14% | 1.09 | 0.82 |
| 9 | Bay Olympic | -20% | 0.82 | 0.55 |
| 10 | Tauranga City United | -20% | 0.82 | 0.55 |
| 11 | Eastern Suburbs | -23% | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| 12 | Auckland United | -29% | 0.82 | 0.45 |
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Auckland City has the best home defensive record in the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), conceding just 0.45 goals/match at home compared to 0.64 away — a Defence Advantage of +17%. Auckland United struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.82/match at home versus 0.45 away (-29%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manurewa | +43% | 0.91 | 0.36 |
| 2 | Tauranga City United | +36% | 1.36 | 0.64 |
| 3 | Auckland City | +30% | 1.18 | 0.64 |
| 4 | Fencibles United | +22% | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| 5 | Auckland United | +19% | 1.45 | 1.00 |
| 6 | Eastern Suburbs | +10% | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| 7 | Auckland II | +10% | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| 8 | Birkenhead United | 0% | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| 9 | Bay Olympic | 0% | 0.55 | 0.55 |
| 10 | West Coast Rangers | -11% | 0.73 | 0.91 |
| 11 | East Coast Bays | -48% | 0.55 | 1.55 |
| 12 | Western Springs | -56% | 0.36 | 1.27 |
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Manurewa has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), netting 0.91 goals/match at home versus 0.36 away — a Scoring Advantage of +43%. At the other end, Western Springs shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.36/match at home against 1.27 away (-56%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | +33% | 0.36 | 0.73 |
| 2 | Tauranga City United | +30% | 0.73 | 1.36 |
| 3 | Birkenhead United | +29% | 0.55 | 1.00 |
| 4 | Fencibles United | +20% | 0.91 | 1.36 |
| 5 | Bay Olympic | +14% | 0.82 | 1.09 |
| 6 | Auckland United | 0% | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| 7 | Western Springs | 0% | 0.82 | 0.82 |
| 8 | Manurewa | -3% | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| 9 | West Coast Rangers | -4% | 1.18 | 1.09 |
| 10 | Auckland II | -18% | 1.18 | 0.82 |
| 11 | Eastern Suburbs | -29% | 0.82 | 0.45 |
| 12 | East Coast Bays | -29% | 0.82 | 0.45 |
National League - Northern (New-Zealand) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Auckland City has the best home defensive record in the National League - Northern (New-Zealand), conceding just 0.36 goals/match at home compared to 0.73 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. East Coast Bays struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.82/match at home versus 0.45 away (-29%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
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