National League - Central — Home Advantage
New-Zealand · 2025
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Napier City Rovers | +20% | +7% | +33% | 2.00/1.11 |
| 2 |  Waterside Karori | +11% | +17% | +6% | 1.11/0.67 |
| 3 |  Wellington Olympic | +11% | -16% | +38% | 2.78/2.22 |
| 4 |  Petone | +10% | +24% | -5% | 1.22/0.89 |
| 5 |  Miramar | +7% | +6% | +9% | 2.44/1.89 |
| 6 |  Island Bay United | +3% | +9% | -4% | 0.78/0.67 |
| 7 |  North Wellington | -1% | -3% | +1% | 1.00/0.33 |
| 8 |  Western Suburbs | -9% | -2% | -17% | 1.78/2.00 |
| 9 |  Upper Hutt City | -11% | -10% | -12% | 0.56/1.00 |
| 10 |  Wellington Phoenix II | -17% | -18% | -15% | 1.33/1.89 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the National League - Central (New-Zealand), the average home win rate is 42% compared to 34% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Napier City Rovers shows the strongest home advantage, winning 56% of home games versus just 33% away (a difference of +22%). At the other end, Wellington Phoenix II actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 33% versus 56% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Petone | +24% | 2.89 | 1.78 |
| 2 | Waterside Karori | +17% | 1.89 | 1.33 |
| 3 | Island Bay United | +9% | 1.33 | 1.11 |
| 4 | Napier City Rovers | +7% | 2.67 | 2.33 |
| 5 | Miramar | +6% | 3.11 | 2.78 |
| 6 | Western Suburbs | -2% | 3.11 | 3.22 |
| 7 | North Wellington | -3% | 1.56 | 1.67 |
| 8 | Upper Hutt City | -10% | 1.00 | 1.22 |
| 9 | Wellington Olympic | -16% | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix II | -18% | 2.00 | 2.89 |
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Petone has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the National League - Central (New-Zealand), netting 2.89 goals/match at home versus 1.78 away — a Scoring Advantage of +24%. In contrast, Wellington Phoenix II scores more away (2.89/match) than at home (2.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -18% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Olympic | +38% | 0.44 | 1.00 |
| 2 | Napier City Rovers | +33% | 0.89 | 1.78 |
| 3 | Miramar | +9% | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| 4 | Waterside Karori | +6% | 3.67 | 4.11 |
| 5 | North Wellington | +1% | 3.78 | 3.89 |
| 6 | Island Bay United | -4% | 3.22 | 3.00 |
| 7 | Petone | -5% | 2.56 | 2.33 |
| 8 | Upper Hutt City | -12% | 3.11 | 2.44 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix II | -15% | 1.67 | 1.22 |
| 10 | Western Suburbs | -17% | 1.56 | 1.11 |
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Defence Analysis
Wellington Olympic has the best home defensive record in the National League - Central (New-Zealand), conceding just 0.44 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +38%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Western Suburbs concedes more at home (1.56/match) than away (1.11/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterside Karori | +33% | 0.89 | 0.44 |
| 2 | Napier City Rovers | +24% | 1.22 | 0.75 |
| 3 | Miramar | 0% | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| 4 | Wellington Olympic | -6% | 1.67 | 1.89 |
| 5 | Petone | -7% | 0.78 | 0.89 |
| 6 | Western Suburbs | -9% | 1.11 | 1.33 |
| 7 | Wellington Phoenix II | -16% | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| 8 | North Wellington | -20% | 0.44 | 0.67 |
| 9 | Island Bay United | -33% | 0.44 | 0.89 |
| 10 | Upper Hutt City | -68% | 0.13 | 0.67 |
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Waterside Karori has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League - Central (New-Zealand), netting 0.89 goals/match at home versus 0.44 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Upper Hutt City shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.13/match at home against 0.67 away (-68%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Napier City Rovers | +22% | 0.56 | 0.88 |
| 2 | Petone | +4% | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3 | Waterside Karori | +3% | 1.89 | 2.00 |
| 4 | Wellington Olympic | 0% | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| 5 | Miramar | 0% | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| 6 | Wellington Phoenix II | -8% | 0.78 | 0.67 |
| 7 | Island Bay United | -13% | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| 8 | North Wellington | -14% | 1.78 | 1.33 |
| 9 | Upper Hutt City | -20% | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| 10 | Western Suburbs | -50% | 0.67 | 0.22 |
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Napier City Rovers has the best home defensive record in the National League - Central (New-Zealand), conceding just 0.56 goals/match at home compared to 0.88 away — a Defence Advantage of +22%. Western Suburbs struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.67/match at home versus 0.22 away (-50%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Island Bay United | +60% | 0.89 | 0.22 |
| 2 | Petone | +41% | 2.11 | 0.89 |
| 3 | Upper Hutt City | +29% | 1.00 | 0.56 |
| 4 | Miramar | +10% | 1.78 | 1.44 |
| 5 | Napier City Rovers | +7% | 1.44 | 1.25 |
| 6 | Waterside Karori | +6% | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| 7 | North Wellington | +5% | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| 8 | Western Suburbs | +3% | 2.00 | 1.89 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix II | -20% | 1.11 | 1.67 |
| 10 | Wellington Olympic | -28% | 1.00 | 1.78 |
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Island Bay United has the biggest home scoring advantage in the National League - Central (New-Zealand), netting 0.89 goals/match at home versus 0.22 away — a Scoring Advantage of +60%. At the other end, Wellington Olympic shows the weakest home output in this period, with 1.00/match at home against 1.78 away (-28%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wellington Olympic | +71% | 0.11 | 0.67 |
| 2 | Napier City Rovers | +54% | 0.33 | 1.13 |
| 3 | Miramar | +14% | 0.67 | 0.89 |
| 4 | North Wellington | +12% | 2.00 | 2.56 |
| 5 | Waterside Karori | +9% | 1.78 | 2.11 |
| 6 | Island Bay United | +3% | 1.78 | 1.89 |
| 7 | Western Suburbs | 0% | 0.89 | 0.89 |
| 8 | Upper Hutt City | -3% | 1.88 | 1.78 |
| 9 | Petone | -14% | 1.33 | 1.00 |
| 10 | Wellington Phoenix II | -23% | 0.89 | 0.56 |
National League - Central (New-Zealand) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Wellington Olympic has the best home defensive record in the National League - Central (New-Zealand), conceding just 0.11 goals/match at home compared to 0.67 away — a Defence Advantage of +71%. Wellington Phoenix II struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.89/match at home versus 0.56 away (-23%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — New-Zealand
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