Queensland NPL — Home Advantage
Australia · 2026
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +20% | +29% | +12% | 1.36/0.55 | |
| 2 | +9% | +24% | -5% | 2.17/1.33 | |
| 3 | +9% | +6% | +12% | 1.09/0.36 | |
| 4 | +9% | +4% | +13% | 2.00/1.33 | |
| 5 | +7% | -3% | +17% | 2.67/2.18 | |
| 6 | +6% | 0% | +13% | 1.09/0.73 | |
| 7 | +4% | -13% | +21% | 1.36/1.00 | |
| 8 | +2% | +12% | -9% | 1.27/1.36 | |
| 9 | -2% | -2% | -3% | 2.25/1.75 | |
| 10 | -8% | -6% | -10% | 1.36/1.64 | |
| 11 | -14% | -19% | -8% | 1.18/1.91 | |
| 12 | -19% | -15% | -22% | 0.82/1.18 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Queensland NPL (Australia), the average home win rate is 47% compared to 38% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Rochedale Rovers shows the strongest home advantage, winning 45% of home games versus just 9% away (a difference of +36%). At the other end, Brisbane City actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 27% versus 55% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +29% | 2.00 | 1.09 | |
| 2 | +24% | 2.83 | 1.75 | |
| 3 | +12% | 1.73 | 1.36 | |
| 4 | +6% | 1.55 | 1.36 | |
| 5 | +4% | 2.09 | 1.92 | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.18 | 1.18 | |
| 7 | -2% | 2.17 | 2.25 | |
| 8 | -3% | 2.58 | 2.73 | |
| 9 | -6% | 1.55 | 1.73 | |
| 10 | -13% | 1.55 | 2.00 | |
| 11 | -15% | 1.27 | 1.73 | |
| 12 | -19% | 1.73 | 2.55 |
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Rochedale Rovers has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Queensland NPL (Australia), netting 2.00 goals/match at home versus 1.09 away — a Scoring Advantage of +29%. In contrast, Brisbane City scores more away (2.55/match) than at home (1.73/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -19% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +21% | 1.55 | 2.36 | |
| 2 | +17% | 0.83 | 1.18 | |
| 3 | +13% | 1.27 | 1.67 | |
| 4 | +13% | 1.55 | 2.00 | |
| 5 | +12% | 2.09 | 2.64 | |
| 6 | +12% | 2.09 | 2.64 | |
| 7 | -3% | 1.42 | 1.33 | |
| 8 | -5% | 1.67 | 1.50 | |
| 9 | -8% | 2.36 | 2.00 | |
| 10 | -9% | 1.73 | 1.45 | |
| 11 | -10% | 2.00 | 1.64 | |
| 12 | -22% | 3.27 | 2.09 |
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Defence Analysis
Olympic has the best home defensive record in the Queensland NPL (Australia), conceding just 1.55 goals/match at home compared to 2.36 away — a Defence Advantage of +21%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Magic United concedes more at home (3.27/match) than away (2.09/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +67% | 0.91 | 0.18 | |
| 2 | +63% | 1.18 | 0.27 | |
| 3 | +22% | 1.17 | 0.75 | |
| 4 | -7% | 0.64 | 0.73 | |
| 5 | -7% | 0.64 | 0.73 | |
| 6 | -10% | 0.82 | 1.00 | |
| 7 | -11% | 0.73 | 0.91 | |
| 8 | -14% | 1.17 | 1.55 | |
| 9 | -14% | 0.75 | 1.00 | |
| 10 | -16% | 0.73 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -17% | 0.45 | 0.64 | |
| 12 | -53% | 0.36 | 1.18 |
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Rochedale Rovers has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Queensland NPL (Australia), netting 0.91 goals/match at home versus 0.18 away — a Scoring Advantage of +67%. At the other end, Brisbane City shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.36/match at home against 1.18 away (-53%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +22% | 0.58 | 0.92 | |
| 2 | +16% | 0.55 | 0.75 | |
| 3 | +13% | 0.42 | 0.55 | |
| 4 | +10% | 0.82 | 1.00 | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.82 | 0.82 | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.58 | 0.58 | |
| 7 | -5% | 1.00 | 0.91 | |
| 8 | -6% | 0.82 | 0.73 | |
| 9 | -7% | 0.73 | 0.64 | |
| 10 | -8% | 1.18 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -10% | 1.00 | 0.82 | |
| 12 | -26% | 1.55 | 0.91 |
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Peninsula Power has the best home defensive record in the Queensland NPL (Australia), conceding just 0.58 goals/match at home compared to 0.92 away — a Defence Advantage of +22%. Magic United struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.55/match at home versus 0.91 away (-26%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +33% | 0.73 | 0.36 | |
| 2 | +25% | 1.67 | 1.00 | |
| 3 | +20% | 1.36 | 0.92 | |
| 4 | +9% | 0.55 | 0.45 | |
| 5 | +9% | 1.09 | 0.91 | |
| 6 | +9% | 1.42 | 1.18 | |
| 7 | +6% | 1.42 | 1.25 | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.36 | 1.36 | |
| 9 | 0% | 1.09 | 1.09 | |
| 10 | -14% | 0.82 | 1.09 | |
| 11 | -22% | 0.64 | 1.00 | |
| 12 | -33% | 0.55 | 1.09 |
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Brisbane Roar II has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Queensland NPL (Australia), netting 0.73 goals/match at home versus 0.36 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Eastern Suburbs shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.55/match at home against 1.09 away (-33%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +38% | 0.73 | 1.64 | |
| 2 | +24% | 0.73 | 1.18 | |
| 3 | +23% | 1.09 | 1.73 | |
| 4 | +21% | 0.42 | 0.64 | |
| 5 | +13% | 1.27 | 1.64 | |
| 6 | +12% | 0.73 | 0.92 | |
| 7 | -7% | 0.73 | 0.64 | |
| 8 | -8% | 1.08 | 0.92 | |
| 9 | -8% | 1.18 | 1.00 | |
| 10 | -12% | 1.27 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -19% | 1.73 | 1.18 | |
| 12 | -33% | 0.83 | 0.42 |
Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Olympic has the best home defensive record in the Queensland NPL (Australia), conceding just 0.73 goals/match at home compared to 1.64 away — a Defence Advantage of +38%. Peninsula Power struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.83/match at home versus 0.42 away (-33%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Australia
- A-League Home Advantage— Division Premium
- A-League Women Home Advantage— Division Women's Elite
- Australia Cup Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Australian Championship Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Brisbane Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- NNSW League 1 Home Advantage— Division Women's Pro
- New South Wales NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- New South Wales NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Northern NSW NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Northern Territory Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Npl Nsw U20 Home Advantage— Division Academy
- Queensland Premier League Home Advantage— Division Pro
- South Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- South Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Tasmania Northern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania Southern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Victoria NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria Premier League 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Western Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Western Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro