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Queensland NPL

Queensland NPL — Home Advantage

Australia · 2026

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Rochedale Rovers+20%+29%+12%1.36/0.55
2Moreton City Excelsior+9%+24%-5%2.17/1.33
3Brisbane Roar II+9%+6%+12%1.09/0.36
4Gold Coast Knights+9%+4%+13%2.00/1.33
5Lions+7%-3%+17%2.67/2.18
6Gold Coast United+6%0%+13%1.09/0.73
7Olympic+4%-13%+21%1.36/1.00
8Eastern Suburbs+2%+12%-9%1.27/1.36
9Peninsula Power-2%-2%-3%2.25/1.75
10WDSC Wolves-8%-6%-10%1.36/1.64
11Brisbane City-14%-19%-8%1.18/1.91
12Magic United-19%-15%-22%0.82/1.18

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Queensland NPL (Australia), the average home win rate is 47% compared to 38% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Rochedale Rovers shows the strongest home advantage, winning 45% of home games versus just 9% away (a difference of +36%). At the other end, Brisbane City actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 27% versus 55% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Rochedale Rovers+29%2.001.09
2Moreton City Excelsior+24%2.831.75
3Eastern Suburbs+12%1.731.36
4Brisbane Roar II+6%1.551.36
5Gold Coast Knights+4%2.091.92
6Gold Coast United0%1.181.18
7Peninsula Power-2%2.172.25
8Lions-3%2.582.73
9WDSC Wolves-6%1.551.73
10Olympic-13%1.552.00
11Magic United-15%1.271.73
12Brisbane City-19%1.732.55

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Rochedale Rovers has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Queensland NPL (Australia), netting 2.00 goals/match at home versus 1.09 away — a Scoring Advantage of +29%. In contrast, Brisbane City scores more away (2.55/match) than at home (1.73/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -19% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Olympic+21%1.552.36
2Lions+17%0.831.18
3Gold Coast Knights+13%1.271.67
4Gold Coast United+13%1.552.00
5Brisbane Roar II+12%2.092.64
6Rochedale Rovers+12%2.092.64
7Peninsula Power-3%1.421.33
8Moreton City Excelsior-5%1.671.50
9Brisbane City-8%2.362.00
10Eastern Suburbs-9%1.731.45
11WDSC Wolves-10%2.001.64
12Magic United-22%3.272.09

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Defence Analysis

Olympic has the best home defensive record in the Queensland NPL (Australia), conceding just 1.55 goals/match at home compared to 2.36 away — a Defence Advantage of +21%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Magic United concedes more at home (3.27/match) than away (2.09/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Rochedale Rovers+67%0.910.18
2Eastern Suburbs+63%1.180.27
3Moreton City Excelsior+22%1.170.75
4Gold Coast United-7%0.640.73
5Magic United-7%0.640.73
6Brisbane Roar II-10%0.821.00
7Olympic-11%0.730.91
8Lions-14%1.171.55
9Peninsula Power-14%0.751.00
10Gold Coast Knights-16%0.731.00
11WDSC Wolves-17%0.450.64
12Brisbane City-53%0.361.18

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Rochedale Rovers has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Queensland NPL (Australia), netting 0.91 goals/match at home versus 0.18 away — a Scoring Advantage of +67%. At the other end, Brisbane City shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.36/match at home against 1.18 away (-53%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Peninsula Power+22%0.580.92
2Gold Coast Knights+16%0.550.75
3Lions+13%0.420.55
4Brisbane Roar II+10%0.821.00
5Gold Coast United0%0.820.82
6Moreton City Excelsior0%0.580.58
7Rochedale Rovers-5%1.000.91
8Olympic-6%0.820.73
9WDSC Wolves-7%0.730.64
10Brisbane City-8%1.181.00
11Eastern Suburbs-10%1.000.82
12Magic United-26%1.550.91

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Peninsula Power has the best home defensive record in the Queensland NPL (Australia), conceding just 0.58 goals/match at home compared to 0.92 away — a Defence Advantage of +22%. Magic United struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.55/match at home versus 0.91 away (-26%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Brisbane Roar II+33%0.730.36
2Moreton City Excelsior+25%1.671.00
3Gold Coast Knights+20%1.360.92
4Gold Coast United+9%0.550.45
5Rochedale Rovers+9%1.090.91
6Lions+9%1.421.18
7Peninsula Power+6%1.421.25
8Brisbane City0%1.361.36
9WDSC Wolves0%1.091.09
10Olympic-14%0.821.09
11Magic United-22%0.641.00
12Eastern Suburbs-33%0.551.09

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Brisbane Roar II has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Queensland NPL (Australia), netting 0.73 goals/match at home versus 0.36 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Eastern Suburbs shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.55/match at home against 1.09 away (-33%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Olympic+38%0.731.64
2Gold Coast United+24%0.731.18
3Rochedale Rovers+23%1.091.73
4Lions+21%0.420.64
5Brisbane Roar II+13%1.271.64
6Gold Coast Knights+12%0.730.92
7Eastern Suburbs-7%0.730.64
8Moreton City Excelsior-8%1.080.92
9Brisbane City-8%1.181.00
10WDSC Wolves-12%1.271.00
11Magic United-19%1.731.18
12Peninsula Power-33%0.830.42

Queensland NPL (Australia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Olympic has the best home defensive record in the Queensland NPL (Australia), conceding just 0.73 goals/match at home compared to 1.64 away — a Defence Advantage of +38%. Peninsula Power struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.83/match at home versus 0.42 away (-33%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.