Northern Territory Premier League — Home Advantage
Australia · 2025
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +21% | +37% | +4% | 2.00/1.18 | |
| 2 | +12% | +2% | +22% | 2.18/1.54 | |
| 3 | +6% | -5% | +18% | 1.80/1.27 | |
| 4 | +6% | -19% | +31% | 1.73/1.27 | |
| 5 | +5% | -5% | +14% | 0.64/0.20 | |
| 6 | +1% | -15% | +17% | 1.70/1.27 | |
| 7 | +1% | +18% | -17% | 1.09/0.70 | |
| 8 | -2% | +26% | -29% | 1.92/1.91 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), the average home win rate is 49% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Darwin Hearts shows the strongest home advantage, winning 67% of home games versus just 36% away (a difference of +30%). At the other end, Darwin Olympic actually performs similarly at home and away, with a home win rate of 58% versus 55% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +37% | 2.75 | 1.27 | |
| 2 | +26% | 2.17 | 1.27 | |
| 3 | +18% | 1.73 | 1.20 | |
| 4 | +2% | 1.36 | 1.31 | |
| 5 | -5% | 1.00 | 1.10 | |
| 6 | -5% | 1.80 | 2.00 | |
| 7 | -15% | 1.40 | 1.91 | |
| 8 | -19% | 1.36 | 2.00 |
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Darwin Hearts has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), netting 2.75 goals/match at home versus 1.27 away — a Scoring Advantage of +37%. In contrast, Mindil Aces scores more away (2.00/match) than at home (1.36/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -19% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +31% | 0.91 | 1.73 | |
| 2 | +22% | 1.09 | 1.69 | |
| 3 | +18% | 1.40 | 2.00 | |
| 4 | +17% | 1.10 | 1.55 | |
| 5 | +14% | 2.09 | 2.80 | |
| 6 | +4% | 1.08 | 1.18 | |
| 7 | -17% | 3.09 | 2.20 | |
| 8 | -29% | 1.33 | 0.73 |
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence Analysis
Mindil Aces has the best home defensive record in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.91 goals/match at home compared to 1.73 away — a Defence Advantage of +31%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Darwin Olympic concedes more at home (1.33/match) than away (0.73/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +69% | 1.11 | 0.20 | |
| 2 | +33% | 1.18 | 0.60 | |
| 3 | +29% | 1.58 | 0.88 | |
| 4 | 0% | 0.50 | 0.50 | |
| 5 | -2% | 0.64 | 0.67 | |
| 6 | -15% | 1.00 | 1.36 | |
| 7 | -22% | 0.44 | 0.69 | |
| 8 | -43% | 0.40 | 1.00 |
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Garuda has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), netting 1.11 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +69%. At the other end, Hellenic Athletic shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.40/match at home against 1.00 away (-43%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +33% | 0.40 | 0.80 | |
| 2 | +28% | 0.67 | 1.18 | |
| 3 | +24% | 0.67 | 1.08 | |
| 4 | +18% | 0.90 | 1.30 | |
| 5 | -5% | 0.42 | 0.38 | |
| 6 | -9% | 1.44 | 1.20 | |
| 7 | -19% | 0.82 | 0.56 | |
| 8 | -42% | 0.73 | 0.30 |
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Hellenic Athletic has the best home defensive record in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.40 goals/match at home compared to 0.80 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. Darwin Olympic struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.73/match at home versus 0.30 away (-42%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +22% | 1.17 | 0.75 | |
| 2 | +18% | 0.89 | 0.62 | |
| 3 | +10% | 0.73 | 0.60 | |
| 4 | +5% | 1.00 | 0.90 | |
| 5 | +2% | 0.67 | 0.64 | |
| 6 | -9% | 0.50 | 0.60 | |
| 7 | -12% | 0.78 | 1.00 | |
| 8 | -33% | 0.73 | 1.44 |
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Darwin Hearts has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), netting 1.17 goals/match at home versus 0.75 away — a Scoring Advantage of +22%. At the other end, Mindil Aces shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.73/match at home against 1.44 away (-33%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +83% | 0.09 | 1.00 | |
| 2 | +11% | 1.20 | 1.50 | |
| 3 | +10% | 0.67 | 0.82 | |
| 4 | +7% | 0.70 | 0.80 | |
| 5 | +5% | 0.56 | 0.62 | |
| 6 | -14% | 0.67 | 0.50 | |
| 7 | -36% | 2.11 | 1.00 | |
| 8 | -36% | 0.64 | 0.30 |
Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Mindil Aces has the best home defensive record in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.09 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +83%. Darwin Olympic struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.64/match at home versus 0.30 away (-36%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Australia
- A-League Home Advantage— Division Premium
- A-League Women Home Advantage— Division Women's Elite
- Australia Cup Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Australian Championship Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Brisbane Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- NNSW League 1 Home Advantage— Division Women's Pro
- New South Wales NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- New South Wales NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Northern NSW NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Npl Nsw U20 Home Advantage— Division Academy
- Queensland NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Queensland Premier League Home Advantage— Division Pro
- South Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- South Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Tasmania Northern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania Southern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Victoria NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria Premier League 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Western Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Western Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro