MatchPulse
Northern Territory Premier League

Northern Territory Premier League — Home Advantage

Australia · 2025

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Darwin Hearts+21%+37%+4%2.00/1.18
2Uni Azzurri+12%+2%+22%2.18/1.54
3Port Darwin+6%-5%+18%1.80/1.27
4Mindil Aces+6%-19%+31%1.73/1.27
5Casuarina+5%-5%+14%0.64/0.20
6Hellenic Athletic+1%-15%+17%1.70/1.27
7Garuda+1%+18%-17%1.09/0.70
8Darwin Olympic-2%+26%-29%1.92/1.91

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), the average home win rate is 49% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Darwin Hearts shows the strongest home advantage, winning 67% of home games versus just 36% away (a difference of +30%). At the other end, Darwin Olympic actually performs similarly at home and away, with a home win rate of 58% versus 55% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Darwin Hearts+37%2.751.27
2Darwin Olympic+26%2.171.27
3Garuda+18%1.731.20
4Uni Azzurri+2%1.361.31
5Casuarina-5%1.001.10
6Port Darwin-5%1.802.00
7Hellenic Athletic-15%1.401.91
8Mindil Aces-19%1.362.00

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Darwin Hearts has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), netting 2.75 goals/match at home versus 1.27 away — a Scoring Advantage of +37%. In contrast, Mindil Aces scores more away (2.00/match) than at home (1.36/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -19% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Mindil Aces+31%0.911.73
2Uni Azzurri+22%1.091.69
3Port Darwin+18%1.402.00
4Hellenic Athletic+17%1.101.55
5Casuarina+14%2.092.80
6Darwin Hearts+4%1.081.18
7Garuda-17%3.092.20
8Darwin Olympic-29%1.330.73

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence Analysis

Mindil Aces has the best home defensive record in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.91 goals/match at home compared to 1.73 away — a Defence Advantage of +31%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Darwin Olympic concedes more at home (1.33/match) than away (0.73/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Garuda+69%1.110.20
2Darwin Olympic+33%1.180.60
3Darwin Hearts+29%1.580.88
4Casuarina0%0.500.50
5Mindil Aces-2%0.640.67
6Port Darwin-15%1.001.36
7Uni Azzurri-22%0.440.69
8Hellenic Athletic-43%0.401.00

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Garuda has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), netting 1.11 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +69%. At the other end, Hellenic Athletic shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.40/match at home against 1.00 away (-43%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Hellenic Athletic+33%0.400.80
2Port Darwin+28%0.671.18
3Uni Azzurri+24%0.671.08
4Casuarina+18%0.901.30
5Darwin Hearts-5%0.420.38
6Garuda-9%1.441.20
7Mindil Aces-19%0.820.56
8Darwin Olympic-42%0.730.30

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Hellenic Athletic has the best home defensive record in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.40 goals/match at home compared to 0.80 away — a Defence Advantage of +33%. Darwin Olympic struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.73/match at home versus 0.30 away (-42%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Darwin Hearts+22%1.170.75
2Uni Azzurri+18%0.890.62
3Darwin Olympic+10%0.730.60
4Hellenic Athletic+5%1.000.90
5Port Darwin+2%0.670.64
6Casuarina-9%0.500.60
7Garuda-12%0.781.00
8Mindil Aces-33%0.731.44

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Darwin Hearts has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), netting 1.17 goals/match at home versus 0.75 away — a Scoring Advantage of +22%. At the other end, Mindil Aces shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.73/match at home against 1.44 away (-33%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Mindil Aces+83%0.091.00
2Casuarina+11%1.201.50
3Port Darwin+10%0.670.82
4Hellenic Athletic+7%0.700.80
5Uni Azzurri+5%0.560.62
6Darwin Hearts-14%0.670.50
7Garuda-36%2.111.00
8Darwin Olympic-36%0.640.30

Northern Territory Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Mindil Aces has the best home defensive record in the Northern Territory Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.09 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +83%. Darwin Olympic struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.64/match at home versus 0.30 away (-36%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.