Brisbane Premier League — Home Advantage
Australia · 2025
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +17% | +7% | +27% | 1.33/0.25 | |
| 2 | +17% | +13% | +21% | 1.67/0.75 | |
| 3 | +6% | 0% | +12% | 2.08/1.25 | |
| 4 | +5% | +14% | -3% | 2.00/1.54 | |
| 5 | +5% | -9% | +18% | 1.75/0.58 | |
| 6 | +2% | -3% | +8% | 1.77/1.80 | |
| 7 | +1% | -3% | +4% | 1.83/1.69 | |
| 8 | -1% | 0% | -3% | 2.00/1.92 | |
| 9 | -2% | +11% | -14% | 2.50/2.33 | |
| 10 | -3% | 0% | -6% | 0.00/0.00 | |
| 11 | -3% | +15% | -22% | 2.33/2.00 | |
| 12 | -7% | -9% | -5% | 1.00/0.75 | |
| 13 | -9% | -4% | -14% | 0.92/0.92 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), the average home win rate is 50% compared to 36% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Redcliffe Dolphins shows the strongest home advantage, winning 58% of home games versus just 17% away (a difference of +42%). At the other end, Mt Gravatt actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 46% versus 50% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +15% | 3.58 | 2.64 | |
| 2 | +14% | 2.55 | 1.92 | |
| 3 | +13% | 2.17 | 1.67 | |
| 4 | +11% | 3.00 | 2.42 | |
| 5 | +7% | 1.25 | 1.08 | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.55 | 0.55 | |
| 7 | 0% | 2.33 | 2.33 | |
| 8 | 0% | 2.58 | 2.58 | |
| 9 | -3% | 2.83 | 3.00 | |
| 10 | -3% | 2.54 | 2.70 | |
| 11 | -4% | 1.83 | 2.00 | |
| 12 | -9% | 1.33 | 1.58 | |
| 13 | -9% | 2.17 | 2.58 |
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Newmarket has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), netting 3.58 goals/match at home versus 2.64 away — a Scoring Advantage of +15%. In contrast, Redcliffe Dolphins scores more away (2.58/match) than at home (2.17/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -9% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +27% | 1.83 | 3.17 | |
| 2 | +21% | 1.92 | 2.92 | |
| 3 | +18% | 2.42 | 3.50 | |
| 4 | +12% | 1.50 | 1.92 | |
| 5 | +8% | 1.46 | 1.70 | |
| 6 | +4% | 1.92 | 2.08 | |
| 7 | -3% | 1.67 | 1.58 | |
| 8 | -3% | 1.73 | 1.62 | |
| 9 | -5% | 2.58 | 2.33 | |
| 10 | -6% | 5.00 | 4.45 | |
| 11 | -14% | 3.00 | 2.25 | |
| 12 | -14% | 1.00 | 0.75 | |
| 13 | -22% | 1.67 | 1.07 |
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence Analysis
Centenary Stormers has the best home defensive record in the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), conceding just 1.83 goals/match at home compared to 3.17 away — a Defence Advantage of +27%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Newmarket concedes more at home (1.67/match) than away (1.07/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +63% | 2.75 | 0.63 | |
| 2 | +20% | 0.38 | 0.25 | |
| 3 | +14% | 1.57 | 1.18 | |
| 4 | +11% | 0.56 | 0.44 | |
| 5 | +8% | 1.57 | 1.33 | |
| 6 | +6% | 0.75 | 0.67 | |
| 7 | +6% | 0.38 | 0.33 | |
| 8 | +5% | 1.22 | 1.10 | |
| 9 | +4% | 0.78 | 0.71 | |
| 10 | -5% | 0.78 | 0.86 | |
| 11 | -17% | 0.44 | 0.63 | |
| 12 | -35% | 0.89 | 1.83 | |
| 13 | -38% | 0.56 | 1.25 |
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Virginia United has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), netting 2.75 goals/match at home versus 0.63 away — a Scoring Advantage of +63%. At the other end, Springfield United shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.56/match at home against 1.25 away (-38%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +46% | 0.56 | 1.50 | |
| 2 | +32% | 0.29 | 0.56 | |
| 3 | +31% | 0.29 | 0.55 | |
| 4 | +29% | 0.78 | 1.43 | |
| 5 | +22% | 1.67 | 2.63 | |
| 6 | +6% | 0.44 | 0.50 | |
| 7 | +4% | 1.50 | 1.63 | |
| 8 | -1% | 1.13 | 1.11 | |
| 9 | -10% | 1.11 | 0.90 | |
| 10 | -20% | 0.38 | 0.25 | |
| 11 | -22% | 0.67 | 0.43 | |
| 12 | -22% | 1.22 | 0.78 | |
| 13 | -33% | 0.88 | 0.44 |
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, North Pine has the best home defensive record in the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), conceding just 0.56 goals/match at home compared to 1.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +46%. Ipswich Knights struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.88/match at home versus 0.44 away (-33%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +100% | 0.11 | 0.00 | |
| 2 | +82% | 1.67 | 0.17 | |
| 3 | +19% | 2.00 | 1.38 | |
| 4 | +14% | 2.29 | 1.73 | |
| 5 | +7% | 0.89 | 0.78 | |
| 6 | +6% | 1.78 | 1.57 | |
| 7 | +2% | 1.75 | 1.67 | |
| 8 | -1% | 1.11 | 1.14 | |
| 9 | -10% | 1.22 | 1.50 | |
| 10 | -15% | 1.14 | 1.56 | |
| 11 | -23% | 0.63 | 1.00 | |
| 12 | -27% | 0.50 | 0.88 | |
| 13 | -31% | 1.13 | 2.13 |
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Bayside United has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), netting 0.11 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Virginia United shows the weakest home output in this period, with 1.13/match at home against 2.13 away (-31%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +25% | 1.44 | 2.40 | |
| 2 | +20% | 1.00 | 1.50 | |
| 3 | +19% | 0.75 | 1.11 | |
| 4 | +14% | 1.00 | 1.33 | |
| 5 | +13% | 1.00 | 1.29 | |
| 6 | +12% | 0.89 | 1.13 | |
| 7 | -2% | 0.57 | 0.55 | |
| 8 | -8% | 1.33 | 1.14 | |
| 9 | -11% | 0.63 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | -13% | 1.29 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -17% | 1.88 | 1.33 | |
| 12 | -20% | 3.00 | 2.00 | |
| 13 | -20% | 1.00 | 0.67 |
Brisbane Premier League (Australia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Redcliffe Dolphins has the best home defensive record in the Brisbane Premier League (Australia), conceding just 1.44 goals/match at home compared to 2.40 away — a Defence Advantage of +25%. North Pine struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.67 away (-20%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Australia
- A-League Home Advantage— Division Premium
- A-League Women Home Advantage— Division Women's Elite
- Australia Cup Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Australian Championship Home Advantage— Division Gold
- Capital Territory NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Capital Territory NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- NNSW League 1 Home Advantage— Division Women's Pro
- New South Wales NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- New South Wales NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Northern NSW NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Northern Territory Premier League Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Npl Nsw U20 Home Advantage— Division Academy
- Queensland NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Queensland Premier League Home Advantage— Division Pro
- South Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- South Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Tasmania Northern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Tasmania Southern Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Victoria NPL 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Victoria Premier League 2 Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Western Australia NPL Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Western Australia State League 1 Home Advantage— Division Pro