NPFL — Home Advantage
Nigeria · 2027
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rivers United | +60% | +54% | +66% | 2.33/0.80 |
| 2 |  Ranchers Bees | +54% | +29% | +79% | 2.00/0.17 |
| 3 |  Shooting Stars | +47% | +29% | +66% | 2.33/0.20 |
| 4 |  Nasarawa United | +47% | +18% | +76% | 2.60/0.67 |
| 5 |  Warri Wolves | +46% | +50% | +43% | 2.00/0.50 |
| 6 |  Kano Pillars | +43% | +51% | +35% | 2.33/0.80 |
| 7 |  Kun Khalifat FC | +42% | +41% | +43% | 2.00/0.33 |
| 8 |  Katsina United | +41% | +67% | +16% | 2.33/0.40 |
| 9 |  Kwara United | +41% | +80% | +1% | 1.83/0.20 |
| 10 |  Doma United | +40% | +38% | +41% | 2.00/0.75 |
| 11 |  Ikorodu City | +38% | +29% | +47% | 2.20/0.50 |
| 12 |  Bendel Insurance | +38% | +56% | +20% | 3.00/0.60 |
| 13 |  Plateau United | +37% | +37% | +37% | 2.17/0.60 |
| 14 |  Enyimba | +36% | +43% | +29% | 1.67/0.20 |
| 15 |  Abia Warriors | +34% | +9% | +59% | 1.20/0.67 |
| 16 |  Barau FC | +32% | +74% | -9% | 2.20/0.83 |
| 17 |  Niger Tornadoes | +29% | +25% | +33% | 2.00/0.80 |
| 18 |  Enugu Rangers | +17% | +4% | +30% | 2.50/1.60 |
| 19 |  Inter Lagos | -3% | -9% | +3% | 0.50/0.60 |
| 20 |  Sporting Lagos | -11% | -42% | +20% | 1.25/1.67 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the NPFL (Nigeria), the average home win rate is 56% compared to 10% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Bendel Insurance shows the strongest home advantage, winning 100% of home games versus just 20% away (a difference of +80%). At the other end, Sporting Lagos actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 25% versus 50% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kwara United | +80% | 1.83 | 0.20 |
| 2 | Barau FC | +74% | 2.20 | 0.33 |
| 3 | Katsina United | +67% | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| 4 | Bendel Insurance | +56% | 2.80 | 0.80 |
| 5 | Rivers United | +54% | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| 6 | Kano Pillars | +51% | 1.83 | 0.60 |
| 7 | Warri Wolves | +50% | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| 8 | Enyimba | +43% | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| 9 | Kun Khalifat FC | +41% | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| 10 | Doma United | +38% | 1.67 | 0.75 |
| 11 | Plateau United | +37% | 2.17 | 1.00 |
| 12 | Shooting Stars | +29% | 1.83 | 1.00 |
| 13 | Ikorodu City | +29% | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| 14 | Ranchers Bees | +29% | 1.50 | 0.83 |
| 15 | Niger Tornadoes | +25% | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| 16 | Nasarawa United | +18% | 1.20 | 0.83 |
| 17 | Abia Warriors | +9% | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| 18 | Enugu Rangers | +4% | 1.75 | 1.60 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | -9% | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| 20 | Sporting Lagos | -42% | 0.75 | 1.83 |
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Kwara United has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the NPFL (Nigeria), netting 1.83 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +80%. In contrast, Sporting Lagos scores more away (1.83/match) than at home (0.75/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -42% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ranchers Bees | +79% | 0.25 | 2.17 |
| 2 | Nasarawa United | +76% | 0.20 | 1.50 |
| 3 | Rivers United | +66% | 0.17 | 0.80 |
| 4 | Shooting Stars | +66% | 0.50 | 2.40 |
| 5 | Abia Warriors | +59% | 0.60 | 2.33 |
| 6 | Ikorodu City | +47% | 0.60 | 1.67 |
| 7 | Warri Wolves | +43% | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| 8 | Kun Khalifat FC | +43% | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| 9 | Doma United | +41% | 0.83 | 2.00 |
| 10 | Plateau United | +37% | 0.83 | 1.80 |
| 11 | Kano Pillars | +35% | 0.67 | 1.40 |
| 12 | Niger Tornadoes | +33% | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| 13 | Enugu Rangers | +30% | 0.75 | 1.40 |
| 14 | Enyimba | +29% | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| 15 | Bendel Insurance | +20% | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| 16 | Sporting Lagos | +20% | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| 17 | Katsina United | +16% | 1.17 | 1.60 |
| 18 | Inter Lagos | +3% | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| 19 | Kwara United | +1% | 1.17 | 1.20 |
| 20 | Barau FC | -9% | 1.00 | 0.83 |
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Defence Analysis
Ranchers Bees has the best home defensive record in the NPFL (Nigeria), conceding just 0.25 goals/match at home compared to 2.17 away — a Defence Advantage of +79%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Barau FC concedes more at home (1.00/match) than away (0.83/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abia Warriors | +100% | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Enyimba | +100% | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| 3 | Kwara United | +100% | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| 4 | Niger Tornadoes | +100% | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| 5 | Rivers United | +100% | 1.17 | 0.00 |
| 6 | Kun Khalifat FC | +100% | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| 7 | Barau FC | +66% | 0.80 | 0.17 |
| 8 | Bendel Insurance | +52% | 0.80 | 0.25 |
| 9 | Doma United | +45% | 0.67 | 0.25 |
| 10 | Katsina United | +43% | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| 11 | Ikorodu City | +41% | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| 12 | Shooting Stars | +38% | 1.33 | 0.60 |
| 13 | Plateau United | +35% | 0.83 | 0.40 |
| 14 | Warri Wolves | +29% | 0.60 | 0.33 |
| 15 | Kano Pillars | +25% | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| 16 | Sporting Lagos | 0% | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| 17 | Ranchers Bees | 0% | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| 18 | Nasarawa United | -16% | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| 19 | Enugu Rangers | -23% | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| 20 | Inter Lagos | -29% | 0.33 | 0.60 |
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Abia Warriors has the biggest home scoring advantage in the NPFL (Nigeria), netting 0.80 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Inter Lagos shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.33/match at home against 0.60 away (-29%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nasarawa United | +100% | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| 2 | Ranchers Bees | +100% | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| 3 | Bendel Insurance | +72% | 0.20 | 1.25 |
| 4 | Doma United | +71% | 0.17 | 1.00 |
| 5 | Enyimba | +67% | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| 6 | Niger Tornadoes | +66% | 0.17 | 0.80 |
| 7 | Shooting Stars | +57% | 0.33 | 1.20 |
| 8 | Abia Warriors | +54% | 0.40 | 1.33 |
| 9 | Kano Pillars | +41% | 0.17 | 0.40 |
| 10 | Katsina United | +41% | 0.33 | 0.80 |
| 11 | Sporting Lagos | +33% | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| 12 | Plateau United | +23% | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| 13 | Kun Khalifat FC | +20% | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| 14 | Ikorodu City | +16% | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| 15 | Kwara United | +11% | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| 16 | Enugu Rangers | +9% | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| 17 | Rivers United | 0% | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| 18 | Warri Wolves | -9% | 0.40 | 0.33 |
| 19 | Inter Lagos | -16% | 0.83 | 0.60 |
| 20 | Barau FC | -41% | 0.40 | 0.17 |
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Nasarawa United has the best home defensive record in the NPFL (Nigeria), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.67 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Barau FC struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.40/match at home versus 0.17 away (-41%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kano Pillars | +100% | 0.83 | 0.00 |
| 2 | Katsina United | +100% | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| 3 | Nasarawa United | +100% | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| 4 | Warri Wolves | +100% | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| 5 | Inter Lagos | +100% | 0.17 | 0.00 |
| 6 | Barau FC | +79% | 1.40 | 0.17 |
| 7 | Bendel Insurance | +78% | 2.00 | 0.25 |
| 8 | Kwara United | +75% | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| 9 | Ranchers Bees | +50% | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| 10 | Plateau United | +38% | 1.33 | 0.60 |
| 11 | Doma United | +33% | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| 12 | Enugu Rangers | +22% | 1.25 | 0.80 |
| 13 | Rivers United | +16% | 0.83 | 0.60 |
| 14 | Kun Khalifat FC | +14% | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| 15 | Shooting Stars | +11% | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| 16 | Ikorodu City | +9% | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| 17 | Niger Tornadoes | +5% | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| 18 | Enyimba | 0% | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| 19 | Abia Warriors | -61% | 0.20 | 0.83 |
| 20 | Sporting Lagos | -68% | 0.25 | 1.33 |
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Kano Pillars has the biggest home scoring advantage in the NPFL (Nigeria), netting 0.83 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Sporting Lagos shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.25/match at home against 1.33 away (-68%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warri Wolves | +100% | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| 2 | Ikorodu City | +100% | 0.00 | 0.83 |
| 3 | Shooting Stars | +76% | 0.17 | 1.20 |
| 4 | Abia Warriors | +67% | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| 5 | Rivers United | +66% | 0.17 | 0.80 |
| 6 | Ranchers Bees | +65% | 0.25 | 1.17 |
| 7 | Nasarawa United | +61% | 0.20 | 0.83 |
| 8 | Kun Khalifat FC | +60% | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| 9 | Enugu Rangers | +52% | 0.25 | 0.80 |
| 10 | Plateau United | +50% | 0.33 | 1.00 |
| 11 | Kano Pillars | +33% | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| 12 | Doma United | +20% | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| 13 | Inter Lagos | +20% | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| 14 | Barau FC | +5% | 0.60 | 0.67 |
| 15 | Kwara United | 0% | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| 16 | Sporting Lagos | 0% | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| 17 | Katsina United | -2% | 0.83 | 0.80 |
| 18 | Enyimba | -11% | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| 19 | Bendel Insurance | -14% | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| 20 | Niger Tornadoes | -25% | 0.33 | 0.20 |
NPFL (Nigeria) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Warri Wolves has the best home defensive record in the NPFL (Nigeria), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.67 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Niger Tornadoes struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.33/match at home versus 0.20 away (-25%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Nigeria
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