FAW Championship — Home Advantage

Wales · 2026/27

Wales — FAW Championship 2026/27 — Detailed Stats

Competition

Home & Away Tables Form Table Home Advantage Away Advantage Draws Predictions

Goals

AVG Total Goals Scored Goals Conceded Clean Sheets BTTS Failed To Score

Over/Under

Over 0.5 ~ 5.5 Tables Under 0.5 ~ 5.5 Tables

1st Half Table 2nd Half Table Winning / Losing at HT

Home Advantage

#	Team	Home Advantage	Scored	Defence	PPG (Home / Away)
1	Llanuwchllyn	+46%	+65%	+26%	1.86/0.20
2	Penrhyncoch	+33%	+47%	+20%	0.20/0.00
3	Pontardawe Town	+30%	+47%	+14%	2.25/0.67
4	Cardiff Draconians	+27%	+70%	-16%	1.57/0.33
5	llanelli AFC	+21%	+19%	+23%	0.33/0.00
6	Afan Lido	+20%	+31%	+9%	1.50/0.86
7	Newtown AFC	+19%	+2%	+35%	2.00/2.60
8	Ynyshir Albions	+16%	+44%	-11%	2.50/1.50
9	Guilsfield	+15%	+23%	+8%	1.71/1.00
10	Swansea University	+11%	+8%	+14%	2.50/1.83
11	Caerphilly Athletic	+10%	+7%	+14%	1.17/1.17
12	Buckley Town	+9%	+4%	+14%	1.33/1.00
13	Llantwit Major	+9%	-8%	+25%	0.80/1.17
14	Pontypridd Town	+6%	-12%	+24%	2.00/2.00
15	Aberystwyth Town	+4%	-33%	+40%	1.86/3.00
16	Rhyl	+4%	+24%	-17%	1.00/0.83
17	Trethomas Bluebirds	+1%	+17%	-14%	1.33/1.33
18	Gresford Athletic	+1%	+35%	-34%	0.50/0.80
19	Ruthin Town	0%	0%	0%	1.17/0.83
20	Treowen Stars	-3%	-11%	+5%	0.80/2.00
21	Bala Town	-3%	-8%	+2%	1.20/1.88
22	Brickfield Rangers	-5%	-8%	-1%	2.29/2.50
23	Caerau (Ely)	-7%	-13%	0%	1.67/2.00
24	Holyhead Hotspur	-7%	-11%	-3%	0.71/1.80
25	Carmarthen Town	-7%	+9%	-23%	1.00/1.60
26	Bangor City 1876 FC	-7%	+17%	-32%	1.40/1.57
27	Denbigh Town	-8%	+8%	-24%	0.60/1.43
28	Porthmadog	-8%	-23%	+7%	1.50/2.14
29	Caersws	-8%	-28%	+11%	1.50/1.83
30	Mold Alexandra	-20%	-41%	+2%	2.00/2.40
31	Baglan Dragons	-20%	0%	-41%	1.00/2.00
32	Newport City	-28%	-30%	-26%	0.25/1.83

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the FAW Championship (Wales), the average home win rate is 38% compared to 41% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Pontardawe Town shows the strongest home advantage, winning 75% of home games versus just 17% away (a difference of +58%). At the other end, Newport City actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 0% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#	Team	Scoring Advantage	Home Scored / match	Away Scored / match
1	Cardiff Draconians	+70%	1.86	0.33
2	Llanuwchllyn	+65%	2.86	0.60
3	Penrhyncoch	+47%	0.80	0.29
4	Pontardawe Town	+47%	2.75	1.00
5	Ynyshir Albions	+44%	3.00	1.17
6	Gresford Athletic	+35%	0.83	0.40
7	Afan Lido	+31%	2.17	1.14
8	Rhyl	+24%	2.17	1.33
9	Guilsfield	+23%	1.86	1.17
10	llanelli AFC	+19%	0.83	0.57
11	Bangor City 1876 FC	+17%	2.40	1.71
12	Trethomas Bluebirds	+17%	2.33	1.67
13	Carmarthen Town	+9%	2.14	1.80
14	Denbigh Town	+8%	2.20	1.86
15	Swansea University	+8%	3.50	3.00
16	Caerphilly Athletic	+7%	1.33	1.17
17	Buckley Town	+4%	2.00	1.86
18	Newtown AFC	+2%	1.86	1.80
19	Ruthin Town	0%	1.00	1.00
20	Baglan Dragons	0%	1.00	1.00
21	Llantwit Major	-8%	1.00	1.17
22	Brickfield Rangers	-8%	2.00	2.33
23	Bala Town	-8%	1.80	2.13
24	Holyhead Hotspur	-11%	1.29	1.60
25	Treowen Stars	-11%	1.60	2.00
26	Pontypridd Town	-12%	2.33	3.00
27	Caerau (Ely)	-13%	1.67	2.17
28	Porthmadog	-23%	1.17	1.86
29	Caersws	-28%	1.50	2.67
30	Newport City	-30%	1.25	2.33
31	Aberystwyth Town	-33%	1.86	3.67
32	Mold Alexandra	-41%	1.57	3.80

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Cardiff Draconians has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the FAW Championship (Wales), netting 1.86 goals/match at home versus 0.33 away — a Scoring Advantage of +70%. In contrast, Mold Alexandra scores more away (3.80/match) than at home (1.57/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -41% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#	Team	Defence Advantage	Home Conceded / match	Away Conceded / match
1	Aberystwyth Town	+40%	0.71	1.67
2	Newtown AFC	+35%	0.29	0.60
3	Llanuwchllyn	+26%	2.00	3.40
4	Llantwit Major	+25%	1.60	2.67
5	Pontypridd Town	+24%	1.33	2.17
6	llanelli AFC	+23%	2.33	3.71
7	Penrhyncoch	+20%	2.40	3.57
8	Swansea University	+14%	1.25	1.67
9	Buckley Town	+14%	1.50	2.00
10	Pontardawe Town	+14%	1.50	2.00
11	Caerphilly Athletic	+14%	1.50	2.00
12	Caersws	+11%	1.33	1.67
13	Afan Lido	+9%	1.67	2.00
14	Guilsfield	+8%	1.29	1.50
15	Porthmadog	+7%	1.00	1.14
16	Treowen Stars	+5%	1.80	2.00
17	Mold Alexandra	+2%	1.14	1.20
18	Bala Town	+2%	1.80	1.88
19	Caerau (Ely)	0%	1.67	1.67
20	Ruthin Town	0%	1.83	1.83
21	Brickfield Rangers	-1%	0.86	0.83
22	Holyhead Hotspur	-3%	1.71	1.60
23	Ynyshir Albions	-11%	1.25	1.00
24	Trethomas Bluebirds	-14%	2.00	1.50
25	Cardiff Draconians	-16%	1.86	1.33
26	Rhyl	-17%	2.33	1.67
27	Carmarthen Town	-23%	2.57	1.60
28	Denbigh Town	-24%	2.80	1.71
29	Newport City	-26%	2.00	1.17
30	Bangor City 1876 FC	-32%	2.20	1.14
31	Gresford Athletic	-34%	2.83	1.40
32	Baglan Dragons	-41%	1.43	0.60

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Defence Analysis

Aberystwyth Town has the best home defensive record in the FAW Championship (Wales), conceding just 0.71 goals/match at home compared to 1.67 away — a Defence Advantage of +40%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Baglan Dragons concedes more at home (1.43/match) than away (0.60/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#	Team	Scoring Advantage	Home Scored / match	Away Scored / match
1	Ynyshir Albions	+80%	1.50	0.17
2	Llanuwchllyn	+73%	1.29	0.20
3	llanelli AFC	+71%	0.83	0.14
4	Gresford Athletic	+54%	0.67	0.20
5	Cardiff Draconians	+50%	1.00	0.33
6	Penrhyncoch	+47%	0.40	0.14
7	Holyhead Hotspur	+36%	0.86	0.40
8	Brickfield Rangers	+33%	1.00	0.50
9	Pontardawe Town	+29%	1.50	0.83
10	Baglan Dragons	+28%	0.71	0.40
11	Afan Lido	+27%	1.00	0.57
12	Rhyl	+27%	1.17	0.67
13	Guilsfield	+26%	0.57	0.33
14	Bangor City 1876 FC	+25%	1.20	0.71
15	Llantwit Major	+23%	0.80	0.50
16	Treowen Stars	+23%	0.80	0.50
17	Newtown AFC	+18%	0.86	0.60
18	Denbigh Town	+17%	0.80	0.57
19	Trethomas Bluebirds	+12%	1.50	1.17
20	Caerphilly Athletic	0%	0.67	0.67
21	Swansea University	-3%	1.25	1.33
22	Pontypridd Town	-7%	1.17	1.33
23	Buckley Town	-20%	0.67	1.00
24	Bala Town	-22%	0.40	0.63
25	Porthmadog	-26%	0.33	0.57
26	Aberystwyth Town	-30%	0.71	1.33
27	Ruthin Town	-33%	0.33	0.67
28	Carmarthen Town	-42%	0.57	1.40
29	Caerau (Ely)	-43%	0.33	0.83
30	Mold Alexandra	-56%	0.57	2.00
31	Caersws	-56%	0.33	1.17
32	Newport City	-100%	0.00	1.33

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Ynyshir Albions has the biggest home scoring advantage in the FAW Championship (Wales), netting 1.50 goals/match at home versus 0.17 away — a Scoring Advantage of +80%. At the other end, Newport City shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 1.33 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#	Team	Defence Advantage	Home Conceded / match	Away Conceded / match
1	Swansea University	+100%	0.00	1.17
2	Caersws	+67%	0.17	0.83
3	Holyhead Hotspur	+47%	0.43	1.20
4	Caerau (Ely)	+43%	0.33	0.83
5	Aberystwyth Town	+40%	0.14	0.33
6	Llanuwchllyn	+38%	0.71	1.60
7	Guilsfield	+32%	0.43	0.83
8	Rhyl	+27%	0.67	1.17
9	llanelli AFC	+23%	1.17	1.86
10	Afan Lido	+20%	0.67	1.00
11	Penrhyncoch	+18%	1.00	1.43
12	Newtown AFC	+17%	0.14	0.20
13	Caerphilly Athletic	+9%	0.83	1.00
14	Porthmadog	+7%	0.50	0.57
15	Pontypridd Town	0%	0.50	0.50
16	Llantwit Major	-1%	1.20	1.17
17	Mold Alexandra	-3%	0.43	0.40
18	Trethomas Bluebirds	-8%	1.17	1.00
19	Ruthin Town	-9%	1.00	0.83
20	Pontardawe Town	-9%	1.00	0.83
21	Treowen Stars	-9%	1.20	1.00
22	Cardiff Draconians	-12%	0.86	0.67
23	Buckley Town	-17%	1.00	0.71
24	Bangor City 1876 FC	-17%	0.60	0.43
25	Denbigh Town	-17%	0.80	0.57
26	Baglan Dragons	-18%	0.57	0.40
27	Newport City	-20%	1.25	0.83
28	Bala Town	-23%	0.60	0.38
29	Brickfield Rangers	-26%	0.29	0.17
30	Ynyshir Albions	-38%	0.75	0.33
31	Carmarthen Town	-48%	1.14	0.40
32	Gresford Athletic	-64%	1.83	0.40

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Swansea University has the best home defensive record in the FAW Championship (Wales), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.17 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Gresford Athletic struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.83/match at home versus 0.40 away (-64%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#	Team	Scoring Advantage	Home Scored / match	Away Scored / match
1	Cardiff Draconians	+100%	0.86	0.00
2	Pontardawe Town	+76%	1.25	0.17
3	Carmarthen Town	+59%	1.57	0.40
4	Llanuwchllyn	+59%	1.57	0.40
5	Penrhyncoch	+47%	0.40	0.14
6	Afan Lido	+34%	1.17	0.57
7	Ruthin Town	+33%	0.67	0.33
8	Trethomas Bluebirds	+25%	0.83	0.50
9	Buckley Town	+22%	1.33	0.86
10	Guilsfield	+21%	1.29	0.83
11	Rhyl	+20%	1.00	0.67
12	Ynyshir Albions	+20%	1.50	1.00
13	Swansea University	+15%	2.25	1.67
14	Caerphilly Athletic	+14%	0.67	0.50
15	Newport City	+11%	1.25	1.00
16	Bangor City 1876 FC	+9%	1.20	1.00
17	Denbigh Town	+4%	1.40	1.29
18	Caerau (Ely)	0%	1.33	1.33
19	Bala Town	-3%	1.40	1.50
20	Newtown AFC	-9%	1.00	1.20
21	Gresford Athletic	-9%	0.17	0.20
22	Caersws	-12%	1.17	1.50
23	Pontypridd Town	-18%	1.17	1.67
24	Porthmadog	-21%	0.83	1.29
25	Mold Alexandra	-29%	1.00	1.80
26	Brickfield Rangers	-29%	1.00	1.83
27	Treowen Stars	-30%	0.80	1.50
28	Aberystwyth Town	-34%	1.14	2.33
29	Baglan Dragons	-35%	0.29	0.60
30	Holyhead Hotspur	-47%	0.43	1.20
31	Llantwit Major	-54%	0.20	0.67
32	llanelli AFC	-100%	0.00	0.43

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Cardiff Draconians has the biggest home scoring advantage in the FAW Championship (Wales), netting 0.86 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, llanelli AFC shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.43 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#	Team	Defence Advantage	Home Conceded / match	Away Conceded / match
1	Llantwit Major	+58%	0.40	1.50
2	Newtown AFC	+47%	0.14	0.40
3	Buckley Town	+44%	0.50	1.29
4	Aberystwyth Town	+40%	0.57	1.33
5	Pontardawe Town	+40%	0.50	1.17
6	Pontypridd Town	+33%	0.83	1.67
7	Treowen Stars	+25%	0.60	1.00
8	llanelli AFC	+23%	1.17	1.86
9	Penrhyncoch	+21%	1.40	2.14
10	Caerphilly Athletic	+20%	0.67	1.00
11	Llanuwchllyn	+17%	1.29	1.80
12	Ynyshir Albions	+14%	0.50	0.67
13	Bala Town	+11%	1.20	1.50
14	Ruthin Town	+9%	0.83	1.00
15	Brickfield Rangers	+8%	0.57	0.67
16	Porthmadog	+7%	0.50	0.57
17	Mold Alexandra	+6%	0.71	0.80
18	Afan Lido	0%	1.00	1.00
19	Gresford Athletic	0%	1.00	1.00
20	Carmarthen Town	-9%	1.43	1.20
21	Guilsfield	-12%	0.86	0.67
22	Caersws	-17%	1.17	0.83
23	Cardiff Draconians	-20%	1.00	0.67
24	Caerau (Ely)	-23%	1.33	0.83
25	Trethomas Bluebirds	-25%	0.83	0.50
26	Denbigh Town	-27%	2.00	1.14
27	Bangor City 1876 FC	-38%	1.60	0.71
28	Newport City	-38%	0.75	0.33
29	Swansea University	-43%	1.25	0.50
30	Holyhead Hotspur	-53%	1.29	0.40
31	Rhyl	-54%	1.67	0.50
32	Baglan Dragons	-62%	0.86	0.20

FAW Championship (Wales) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Llantwit Major has the best home defensive record in the FAW Championship (Wales), conceding just 0.40 goals/match at home compared to 1.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +58%. Baglan Dragons struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.86/match at home versus 0.20 away (-62%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Wales

League Cup Home Advantage— Division Pro
Premier League Home Advantage— Division Gold
Welsh Cup Home Advantage— Division Silver