Toluca U21 vs Monterrey U21 — Liga MX U21
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Toluca U21 and Monterrey U21 meet in the Liga MX U21 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Toluca U21 have recorded 11 wins from 15 matches this season (73% win rate), averaging 2.13 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Monterrey U21 have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Toluca U21 and 1.19 for Monterrey U21. The models give Toluca U21 a 62% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Monterrey U21 win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Toluca U21—
Monterrey U211º
Position
9º
2.73
PPG
1.57
87%
Win %
50%
2.27
Goals / game
2.14
0.67
Conceded / game
1.57
53%
BTTS %
64%
47%
Clean sheet %
29%
53%
Over 2.5 %
79%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Toluca U21
Home (7)
—
Monterrey U21
Away (6)
2.71
PPG
1.00
86%
Win %
33%
2.57
Goals / game
1.83
0.57
Conceded / game
2.17
57%
BTTS %
50%
43%
Clean sheet %
33%
57%
Over 2.5 %
83%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Toluca U21 | Home | Away | Monterrey U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 100% | 75% | 93% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 86% | 63% | 57% | 63% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 29% | 25% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 0% | 25% | 7% | 0% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Toluca U21 | Home | Away | Monterrey U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 57% | 50% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 43% | 50% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Toluca U21 | Monterrey U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 21% |
| BTTS | 53% | 64% |
| BTTS & Win | 40% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Toluca U21 | Monterrey U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 23% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 54% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 71% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 86% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 21% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
Toluca U21 (H)W
Club Tijuana U215–0
Club Tijuana U215–0W
Atl. San Luis U214–1
Atl. San Luis U214–1W
Santos Laguna U212–1
Santos Laguna U212–1W
Atlas U212–0
Atlas U212–0W
Juarez U212–1
Juarez U212–1W
Necaxa U212–0
Necaxa U212–0Monterrey U21 (A)D
Puebla U212–2
Puebla U212–2L
Club America U210–3
Club America U210–3L
Atlante U214–5
Atlante U214–5L
Club Leon U211–2
Club Leon U211–2WAtlas U211–0
Atlas U211–0WNecaxa U213–0
Necaxa U213–0Head to Head · 2 matches
1
Toluca U21
50%
1
Draws
50%
0
Monterrey U21
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
10/01/26Toluca U21
Monterrey U21
0–2Toluca U2124/09/25Monterrey U21
Toluca U21
1–1Monterrey U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca U21 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 0 | +24 | 41 |
| 2 | Club Leon U21 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 34 |
| 3 | Puebla U21 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 | Club America U21 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | +4 | 25 |
| 5 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | -1 | 24 |
| 6 |  Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Necaxa U21 | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | -3 | 24 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana U21 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 | Monterrey U21 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | +8 | 22 |
| 10 | Juarez U21 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | -1 | 22 |
| 11 | Atlante U21 | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | -5 | 21 |
| 12 |  Cruz Azul U21 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 20 |
| 13 |  UNAM Pumas U21 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna U21 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 |  Pachuca U21 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlas U21 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -5 | 13 |
| 17 |  Tigres UANL U21 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 |  Queretaro U21 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 11 | -7 | 9 |
Team Insights
Toluca U21- ●Toluca U21 have been undefeated in their last 15 matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have won 5 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have scored in 6 of their 8 away matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Monterrey U21- ●Monterrey U21 have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 have scored in 8 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Monterrey U21 have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Monterrey U21's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Toluca U21DAClub America U210–0
Club America U210–0WAClub Leon U214–1
Club Leon U214–1WHClub Tijuana U215–0
Club Tijuana U215–0WHAtl. San Luis U214–1
Atl. San Luis U214–1WATigres UANL U212–1
Tigres UANL U212–1WACruz Azul U213–2
Cruz Azul U213–2–HMonterrey U2107/11
Monterrey U2107/11–APachuca U2121/11
Pachuca U2121/11Monterrey U21WHClub Tijuana U213–0
Club Tijuana U213–0WHGuadalajara Chivas U214–1
Guadalajara Chivas U214–1DAPuebla U212–2
Puebla U212–2DHPachuca U212–2
Pachuca U212–2LAClub America U210–3
Club America U210–3LAAtlante U214–5
Atlante U214–5–AToluca U2107/11
Toluca U2107/11–AUNAM Pumas U2121/11
UNAM Pumas U2121/11Top Scorers
Toluca U2110 ⚽
O. Virgen4 ⚽
A. A. Chavez Lopez3 ⚽
C. Diaz3 ⚽
L. Navarrete3 ⚽
A. Roman2 ⚽
Monterrey U218 ⚽
J. Serna3 ⚽
A. Urias1 ⚽
L. Rojas Alanis1 ⚽
O. Galvez1 ⚽
Cards Given
Toluca U21Monterrey U211 🟨