Tigres UANL U21 vs Toluca U21 — Liga MX U21
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Tigres UANL U21 and Toluca U21 meet in the Liga MX U21 2026 season on 9 October 2026. Tigres UANL U21 have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Toluca U21 have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.57 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Tigres UANL U21 and 1.44 for Toluca U21. The models give Tigres UANL U21 a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Toluca U21 win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Tigres UANL U21Toluca U21Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Tigres UANL | Home | Away | Toluca U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 38% | 67% | 20% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 67% | 20% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 63% | 33% | 80% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Tigres UANL | Home | Away | Toluca U21 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 67% | 100% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 63% | 67% | 60% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 33% | 0% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tigres UANL | Toluca U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 38% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tigres UANL | Toluca U21 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 86% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 29% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 14% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Tigres UANL (H)
Necaxa U210–0
Atlante U212–3
Atl. San Luis U213–2
Mazatlan FC U212–0
Guadalajara Chivas U211–1
Queretaro U210–0Toluca U21 (A)Queretaro U212–0Atlante U210–0Guadalajara Chivas U212–2
Juarez U210–3Mazatlan FC U211–2
Club America U211–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Toluca U21Tigres UANL U21| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Club Leon U21 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca U21 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Cruz Azul U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |  Club Tijuana U21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Puebla U21 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Club America U21 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Necaxa U21 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 8 |  Santos Laguna U21 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Monterrey U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 10 |  Atlas U21 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 10 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 |  UNAM Pumas U21 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Juarez U21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 |  Pachuca U21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -9 | 6 |
| 17 | Atlante U21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Queretaro U21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 3 |
Team Insights
Tigres UANL- ●Tigres UANL U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tigres UANL U21 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Tigres UANL U21 have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Tigres UANL U21's goals conceded were conceded away.
Toluca U21- ●Toluca U21 have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Toluca U21 have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●64% of Toluca U21's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Tigres UANLMonterrey U212–1Necaxa U210–0Santos Laguna U210–1Atlante U212–3Atlas U210–2Queretaro U210–4Juarez U2118/09Puebla U2126/09Toluca U2109/10Toluca U21Atlas U212–0Juarez U212–1Queretaro U212–0Atlante U210–0Necaxa U212–0UNAM Pumas U211–1Santos Laguna U2120/09Cruz Azul U2126/09Tigres UANL U2109/10Top Scorers
Tigres UANLToluca U21