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Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs — Home Advantage

Italy · 2025/26

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Ascoli+83%+67%+100%3.00/0.50
2Catania+50%+100%0%2.00/0.50
3Potenza+50%0%+100%1.00/0.00
4Union Brescia+33%-33%+100%2.00/2.00
5Salernitana+27%+20%+33%2.00/1.50
6Ravenna0%0%0%0.00/0.00
7Lecco0%-100%+100%1.00/1.00
8Casarano-50%0%-100%0.00/1.00

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), the average home win rate is 63% compared to 25% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Ascoli shows the strongest home advantage, winning 100% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +100%). At the other end, Union Brescia actually performs similarly at home and away, with a home win rate of 50% versus 50% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Catania+100%2.500.00
2Ascoli+67%2.500.50
3Salernitana+20%1.501.00
4Ravenna0%0.000.00
5Potenza0%0.000.00
6Casarano0%0.000.00
7Union Brescia-33%1.002.00
8Lecco-100%0.003.00

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Catania has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), netting 2.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. In contrast, Union Brescia scores more away (2.00/match) than at home (1.00/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -33% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Ascoli+100%0.001.00
2Potenza+100%0.001.00
3Lecco+100%0.003.00
4Union Brescia+100%0.000.50
5Salernitana+33%0.501.00
6Catania0%2.002.00
7Ravenna0%2.002.00
8Casarano-100%3.000.00

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Defence Analysis

Ascoli has the best home defensive record in the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Catania concedes more at home (2.00/match) than away (2.00/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Ascoli+100%0.500.00
2Catania+100%2.000.00
3Salernitana0%0.000.00
4Union Brescia0%0.500.50

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Ascoli has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), netting 0.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Union Brescia shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.50/match at home against 0.50 away (0%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Ascoli+100%0.001.00
2Salernitana+100%0.000.50
3Union Brescia0%0.000.00
4Catania-33%1.000.50

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Ascoli has the best home defensive record in the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Catania struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.50 away (-33%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Catania+100%0.500.00
2Ascoli+60%2.000.50
3Salernitana+20%1.501.00
4Union Brescia-50%0.501.50

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Catania has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), netting 0.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Union Brescia shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.50/match at home against 1.50 away (-50%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Union Brescia+100%0.000.50
2Catania+20%1.001.50
3Ascoli0%0.000.00
4Salernitana0%0.500.50

Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Union Brescia has the best home defensive record in the Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs (Italy), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Salernitana struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.50/match at home versus 0.50 away (0%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Italy