MatchPulse
Serie D - Girone D

Serie D - Girone D — Home Advantage

Italy · 2026/27

Home Advantage

#TeamHome AdvantageScoredDefencePPG (Home / Away)
1Pavia+38%+56%+20%1.67/0.33
2Crema+32%+82%-18%1.80/0.60
3Pistoiese+26%+14%+38%3.00/2.25
4Varesina+18%-8%+43%1.60/0.60
5Castellanzese+17%-5%+40%2.00/1.80
6Solbiatese+12%+64%-40%1.60/1.20
7Oltrepò+5%-33%+43%0.33/0.67
8Lentigione+3%-33%+40%1.75/2.33
9Sant'Angelo+3%-11%+17%1.00/1.40
10Arconatese+2%+20%-17%0.40/0.80
11Pro Patria0%-14%+14%2.00/2.00
12Coriano0%0%0%0.40/0.80
13Correggese-5%+28%-38%1.33/1.25
14Cittadella Vis Modena-7%-40%+25%1.40/1.40
15USD Casatese-8%+9%-25%1.50/1.75
16Città di Varese-9%-45%+28%1.25/1.33
17Pro Sesto-9%+37%-56%1.40/1.60
18Pontedera-12%-28%+3%0.25/1.00

1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.

2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.

3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.

The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.

Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Advantage Analysis

In the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), the average home win rate is 36% compared to 33% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Crema shows the strongest home advantage, winning 60% of home games versus just 0% away (a difference of +60%). At the other end, Pontedera actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 0% versus 33% on the road.

Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Crema+82%2.000.20
2Solbiatese+64%1.800.40
3Pavia+56%1.170.33
4Pro Sesto+37%2.601.20
5Correggese+28%1.330.75
6Arconatese+20%1.200.80
7Pistoiese+14%2.672.00
8USD Casatese+9%1.501.25
9Coriano0%0.800.80
10Castellanzese-5%1.802.00
11Varesina-8%1.201.40
12Sant'Angelo-11%0.801.00
13Pro Patria-14%1.201.60
14Pontedera-28%0.751.33
15Lentigione-33%1.002.00
16Oltrepò-33%0.330.67
17Cittadella Vis Modena-40%0.601.40
18Città di Varese-45%0.752.00

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Goals Scored Analysis

Crema has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), netting 2.00 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +82%. In contrast, Città di Varese scores more away (2.00/match) than at home (0.75/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -45% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.

Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Varesina+43%0.802.00
2Oltrepò+43%1.002.50
3Castellanzese+40%0.601.40
4Lentigione+40%0.501.17
5Pistoiese+38%0.330.75
6Città di Varese+28%0.751.33
7Cittadella Vis Modena+25%0.601.00
8Pavia+20%0.671.00
9Sant'Angelo+17%1.001.40
10Pro Patria+14%0.600.80
11Pontedera+3%2.502.67
12Coriano0%1.401.40
13Arconatese-17%2.802.00
14Crema-18%2.001.40
15USD Casatese-25%1.671.00
16Correggese-38%1.670.75
17Solbiatese-40%1.400.60
18Pro Sesto-56%1.400.40

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Defence Analysis

Varesina has the best home defensive record in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), conceding just 0.80 goals/match at home compared to 2.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +43%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Pro Sesto concedes more at home (1.40/match) than away (0.40/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.

1st Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1USD Casatese+100%0.670.00
2Pavia+100%0.500.00
3Solbiatese+100%0.400.00
4Pro Sesto+60%1.600.40
5Crema+50%0.600.20
6Cittadella Vis Modena+50%0.600.20
7Pontedera+20%0.500.33
8Castellanzese+20%1.200.80
9Pistoiese0%1.501.50
10Pro Patria0%0.800.80
11Correggese0%0.500.50
12Coriano0%0.400.40
13Arconatese-20%0.400.60
14Sant'Angelo-20%0.400.60
15Lentigione-33%0.501.00
16Varesina-33%0.400.80
17Città di Varese-40%0.501.17
18Oltrepò-100%0.000.33

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, USD Casatese has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), netting 0.67 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Oltrepò shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.33 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.

1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Città di Varese+100%0.000.50
2Cittadella Vis Modena+100%0.000.40
3Pistoiese+50%0.170.50
4Castellanzese+50%0.401.20
5Varesina+43%0.401.00
6Oltrepò+38%0.671.50
7Pontedera+33%0.501.00
8Lentigione+33%0.250.50
9Pavia+33%0.330.67
10Pro Patria+20%0.400.60
11Sant'Angelo+20%0.400.60
12Crema+9%1.001.20
13Correggese0%0.500.50
14Coriano0%0.600.60
15Arconatese-50%1.800.60
16USD Casatese-60%1.000.25
17Pro Sesto-100%0.600.00
18Solbiatese-100%0.800.00

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis

In the 1st Half, Città di Varese has the best home defensive record in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Solbiatese struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.80/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.

2nd Half — Home Goals Scored

#TeamScoring AdvantageHome Scored / matchAway Scored / match
1Crema+100%1.400.00
2Arconatese+60%0.800.20
3Solbiatese+56%1.400.40
4Correggese+54%0.830.25
5Pistoiese+40%1.170.50
6Pavia+33%0.670.33
7Varesina+14%0.800.60
8Pro Sesto+11%1.000.80
9Sant'Angelo0%0.400.40
10Oltrepò0%0.330.33
11Coriano0%0.400.40
12USD Casatese-20%0.831.25
13Pro Patria-33%0.400.80
14Lentigione-33%0.501.00
15Castellanzese-33%0.601.20
16Città di Varese-54%0.250.83
17Pontedera-60%0.251.00
18Cittadella Vis Modena-100%0.001.20

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Crema has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), netting 1.40 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Cittadella Vis Modena shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 1.20 away (-100%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.

2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)

#TeamDefence AdvantageHome Conceded / matchAway Conceded / match
1Oltrepò+50%0.331.00
2Lentigione+45%0.250.67
3Varesina+43%0.401.00
4Pistoiese+20%0.170.25
5Arconatese+17%1.001.40
6Sant'Angelo+14%0.600.80
7USD Casatese+6%0.670.75
8Città di Varese+5%0.750.83
9Pro Patria0%0.200.20
10Castellanzese0%0.200.20
11Cittadella Vis Modena0%0.600.60
12Pavia0%0.330.33
13Coriano0%0.800.80
14Solbiatese0%0.600.60
15Pontedera-9%2.001.67
16Pro Sesto-33%0.800.40
17Correggese-65%1.170.25
18Crema-67%1.000.20

Serie D - Girone D (Italy) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis

In the 2nd Half, Oltrepò has the best home defensive record in the Serie D - Girone D (Italy), conceding just 0.33 goals/match at home compared to 1.00 away — a Defence Advantage of +50%. Crema struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.20 away (-67%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.

Home Advantage Tables — Italy