Somali Premier League — Home Advantage
Somalia · 2024/25
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Gaadiidka | +15% | 0% | +30% | 1.55/1.18 |
| 2 |  Raadsan | +7% | +21% | -8% | 1.09/0.73 |
| 3 |  Jazeera | +4% | +7% | +2% | 1.45/0.55 |
| 4 |  Elman | +1% | +31% | -29% | 1.82/1.55 |
| 5 |  Heegan | +1% | +9% | -8% | 2.27/2.36 |
| 6 |  Mogadishu City | +1% | -11% | +13% | 2.36/2.64 |
| 7 |  Jeenyo | -4% | -15% | +8% | 1.00/1.36 |
| 8 |  Gasco | -4% | 0% | -8% | 0.64/0.73 |
| 9 |  Madbacadda | -7% | -5% | -9% | 0.18/0.09 |
| 10 |  Dekedaha | -10% | -23% | +4% | 1.91/2.09 |
| 11 |  Badbaado | -12% | -19% | -6% | 1.00/0.91 |
| 12 |  Horseed | -12% | -14% | -11% | 2.36/2.09 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Somali Premier League (Somalia), the average home win rate is 43% compared to 39% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Jazeera shows the strongest home advantage, winning 45% of home games versus just 9% away (a difference of +36%). At the other end, Jeenyo actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 27% versus 45% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elman | +31% | 1.91 | 1.00 |
| 2 | Raadsan | +21% | 1.82 | 1.18 |
| 3 | Heegan | +9% | 2.64 | 2.18 |
| 4 | Jazeera | +7% | 1.45 | 1.27 |
| 5 | Gaadiidka | 0% | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| 6 | Gasco | 0% | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| 7 | Madbacadda | -5% | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| 8 | Mogadishu City | -11% | 2.45 | 3.09 |
| 9 | Horseed | -14% | 2.27 | 3.00 |
| 10 | Jeenyo | -15% | 1.27 | 1.73 |
| 11 | Badbaado | -19% | 1.00 | 1.45 |
| 12 | Dekedaha | -23% | 1.82 | 2.91 |
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Elman has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Somali Premier League (Somalia), netting 1.91 goals/match at home versus 1.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +31%. In contrast, Dekedaha scores more away (2.91/match) than at home (1.82/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -23% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gaadiidka | +30% | 0.73 | 1.36 |
| 2 | Mogadishu City | +13% | 0.64 | 0.82 |
| 3 | Jeenyo | +8% | 1.55 | 1.82 |
| 4 | Dekedaha | +4% | 1.09 | 1.18 |
| 5 | Jazeera | +2% | 2.27 | 2.36 |
| 6 | Badbaado | -6% | 2.36 | 2.09 |
| 7 | Heegan | -8% | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| 8 | Raadsan | -8% | 2.55 | 2.18 |
| 9 | Gasco | -8% | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| 10 | Madbacadda | -9% | 4.64 | 3.91 |
| 11 | Horseed | -11% | 0.91 | 0.73 |
| 12 | Elman | -29% | 1.00 | 0.55 |
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Defence Analysis
Gaadiidka has the best home defensive record in the Somali Premier League (Somalia), conceding just 0.73 goals/match at home compared to 1.36 away — a Defence Advantage of +30%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Elman concedes more at home (1.00/match) than away (0.55/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Jazeera has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Somali Premier League (Somalia), netting 0.50 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Gasco shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.00/match at home against 0.33 away (-100%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Mogadishu City has the best home defensive record in the Somali Premier League (Somalia), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.38 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Heegan struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Gaadiidka has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Somali Premier League (Somalia), netting 0.83 goals/match at home versus 0.33 away — a Scoring Advantage of +43%. At the other end, Jeenyo shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.25/match at home against 0.80 away (-52%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
Somali Premier League (Somalia) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Heegan has the best home defensive record in the Somali Premier League (Somalia), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.50 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Dekedaha struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.78/match at home versus 0.13 away (-72%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.