Premiership — Home Advantage
Northern-Ireland · 2026/27
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +13% | +10% | +17% | 1.86/1.33 | |
| 2 | +9% | +33% | -15% | 0.71/0.57 | |
| 3 | +8% | +29% | -13% | 1.29/0.71 | |
| 4 | +7% | +10% | +3% | 1.71/0.86 | |
| 5 | +4% | -9% | +17% | 0.71/0.43 | |
| 6 | +2% | +22% | -18% | 1.29/1.29 | |
| 7 | 0% | -4% | +4% | 1.14/1.43 | |
| 8 | -2% | -26% | +22% | 1.40/1.14 | |
| 9 | -7% | -24% | +9% | 2.29/2.43 | |
| 10 | -12% | +15% | -40% | 0.67/1.57 | |
| 11 | -19% | -31% | -8% | 2.00/3.00 | |
| 12 | -25% | -25% | -25% | 1.86/2.60 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), the average home win rate is 42% compared to 43% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Crusaders FC shows the strongest home advantage, winning 57% of home games versus just 29% away (a difference of +29%). At the other end, Coleraine FC actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 57% versus 100% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +33% | 1.14 | 0.57 | |
| 2 | +29% | 1.29 | 0.71 | |
| 3 | +22% | 2.00 | 1.29 | |
| 4 | +15% | 1.17 | 0.86 | |
| 5 | +10% | 1.43 | 1.17 | |
| 6 | +10% | 1.57 | 1.29 | |
| 7 | -4% | 1.57 | 1.71 | |
| 8 | -9% | 0.71 | 0.86 | |
| 9 | -24% | 1.14 | 1.86 | |
| 10 | -25% | 1.43 | 2.40 | |
| 11 | -26% | 1.00 | 1.71 | |
| 12 | -31% | 1.57 | 3.00 |
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
Bangor has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), netting 1.14 goals/match at home versus 0.57 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. In contrast, Coleraine FC scores more away (3.00/match) than at home (1.57/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -31% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +22% | 1.00 | 1.57 | |
| 2 | +17% | 1.43 | 2.00 | |
| 3 | +17% | 0.71 | 1.00 | |
| 4 | +9% | 0.71 | 0.86 | |
| 5 | +4% | 1.86 | 2.00 | |
| 6 | +3% | 2.00 | 2.14 | |
| 7 | -8% | 1.00 | 0.86 | |
| 8 | -13% | 1.86 | 1.43 | |
| 9 | -15% | 2.14 | 1.57 | |
| 10 | -18% | 1.43 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -25% | 1.00 | 0.60 | |
| 12 | -40% | 2.00 | 0.86 |
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Defence Analysis
Ballymena United has the best home defensive record in the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), conceding just 1.00 goals/match at home compared to 1.57 away — a Defence Advantage of +22%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Dungannon Swifts concedes more at home (2.00/match) than away (0.86/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +50% | 0.43 | 0.14 | |
| 2 | +44% | 0.43 | 0.17 | |
| 3 | +43% | 0.71 | 0.29 | |
| 4 | +43% | 0.71 | 0.29 | |
| 5 | +27% | 0.50 | 0.29 | |
| 6 | +14% | 1.14 | 0.86 | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | |
| 8 | 0% | 0.14 | 0.14 | |
| 9 | -8% | 0.86 | 1.00 | |
| 10 | -27% | 0.57 | 1.00 | |
| 11 | -50% | 0.29 | 0.86 | |
| 12 | -67% | 0.20 | 1.00 |
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Bangor has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), netting 0.43 goals/match at home versus 0.14 away — a Scoring Advantage of +50%. At the other end, Ballymena United shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.20/match at home against 1.00 away (-67%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +100% | 0.00 | 0.60 | |
| 2 | +62% | 0.20 | 0.86 | |
| 3 | +33% | 0.14 | 0.29 | |
| 4 | +27% | 0.29 | 0.50 | |
| 5 | +25% | 0.43 | 0.71 | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.29 | 0.29 | |
| 7 | 0% | 0.86 | 0.86 | |
| 8 | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| 9 | -9% | 0.86 | 0.71 | |
| 10 | -17% | 1.00 | 0.71 | |
| 11 | -33% | 0.86 | 0.43 | |
| 12 | -61% | 1.17 | 0.29 |
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Larne has the best home defensive record in the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.60 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Dungannon Swifts struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.17/match at home versus 0.29 away (-61%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +33% | 0.86 | 0.43 | |
| 2 | +25% | 0.71 | 0.43 | |
| 3 | +14% | 0.57 | 0.43 | |
| 4 | +8% | 0.67 | 0.57 | |
| 5 | +6% | 0.80 | 0.71 | |
| 6 | 0% | 0.71 | 0.71 | |
| 7 | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| 8 | -8% | 0.86 | 1.00 | |
| 9 | -8% | 0.86 | 1.00 | |
| 10 | -11% | 0.57 | 0.71 | |
| 11 | -24% | 0.86 | 1.40 | |
| 12 | -62% | 0.43 | 1.86 |
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Cliftonville FC has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), netting 0.86 goals/match at home versus 0.43 away — a Scoring Advantage of +33%. At the other end, Coleraine FC shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.43/match at home against 1.86 away (-62%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +38% | 0.57 | 1.29 | |
| 2 | +8% | 0.86 | 1.00 | |
| 3 | +8% | 0.43 | 0.50 | |
| 4 | +6% | 1.14 | 1.29 | |
| 5 | 0% | 0.57 | 0.57 | |
| 6 | 0% | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
| 7 | -6% | 0.80 | 0.71 | |
| 8 | -11% | 0.71 | 0.57 | |
| 9 | -14% | 1.14 | 0.86 | |
| 10 | -19% | 0.83 | 0.57 | |
| 11 | -56% | 1.00 | 0.29 | |
| 12 | -100% | 1.00 | 0.00 |
Premiership (Northern-Ireland) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Portadown has the best home defensive record in the Premiership (Northern-Ireland), conceding just 0.57 goals/match at home compared to 1.29 away — a Defence Advantage of +38%. Larne struggles most in this period at home, conceding 1.00/match at home versus 0.00 away (-100%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.
Home Advantage Tables — Northern-Ireland
- Championship Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Charity Shield Home Advantage— Division Silver
- Irish Cup Home Advantage— Division Pro
- League Cup Home Advantage— Division Pro
- Premier Intermediate League Home Advantage— Division SemiPro
- Premiership Women Home Advantage— Division Women's Pro