Super League — Home Advantage
Malawi · 2026/27
Home Advantage
| # | Team | Home Advantage | Scored | Defence | PPG (Home / Away) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +52% | +66% | +38% | 1.50/0.11 | |
| 2 | +48% | +18% | +77% | 1.90/0.33 | |
| 3 | +45% | +48% | +41% | 2.22/1.60 | |
| 4 | +42% | +12% | +73% | 2.56/1.90 | |
| 5 | +40% | +21% | +59% | 2.11/0.60 | |
| 6 | +36% | +18% | +54% | 2.10/0.44 | |
| 7 | +33% | +49% | +18% | 1.90/0.78 | |
| 8 | +29% | +43% | +16% | 1.88/0.80 | |
| 9 | +24% | +35% | +13% | 1.78/0.90 | |
| 10 | +23% | +12% | +35% | 1.30/0.78 | |
| 11 | +15% | +19% | +10% | 2.30/1.33 | |
| 12 | +14% | -5% | +33% | 1.30/0.63 | |
| 13 | +7% | +14% | +1% | 1.11/1.20 | |
| 14 | +5% | +25% | -15% | 1.10/0.67 | |
| 15 | -2% | +19% | -23% | 1.00/0.80 | |
| 16 | -3% | -1% | -5% | 2.00/2.10 |
1. Home Advantage: How much a team's results improve on their own ground versus on the road — a combined signal from both attack and defence.
2. Scored: Compares goals scored per game at home against goals scored per game away. A positive figure means the team finds the net more easily at home.
3. Defence: Compares goals conceded per game at home against goals conceded away. A positive figure means the team keeps opponents quieter on their own turf.
The combined Home Advantage score is the average of the Scoring and Defence figures, weighted equally.
Goal-based metrics give a sharper picture of home performance than win/loss records alone, since they reflect the margin of each match.
Super League (Malawi) — Home Advantage Analysis
In the Super League (Malawi), the average home win rate is 49% compared to 21% away — a clear indicator that home advantage is a significant factor. Masters FC shows the strongest home advantage, winning 63% of home games versus just 10% away (a difference of +53%). At the other end, CIVO United actually performs better away than at home, with a home win rate of 22% versus 40% on the road.
Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +66% | 1.10 | 0.22 | |
| 2 | +49% | 1.30 | 0.44 | |
| 3 | +48% | 2.00 | 0.70 | |
| 4 | +43% | 1.50 | 0.60 | |
| 5 | +35% | 1.44 | 0.70 | |
| 6 | +25% | 1.10 | 0.67 | |
| 7 | +21% | 1.22 | 0.80 | |
| 8 | +19% | 0.89 | 0.60 | |
| 9 | +19% | 1.80 | 1.22 | |
| 10 | +18% | 0.80 | 0.56 | |
| 11 | +18% | 0.80 | 0.56 | |
| 12 | +14% | 0.67 | 0.50 | |
| 13 | +12% | 1.67 | 1.30 | |
| 14 | +12% | 0.70 | 0.56 | |
| 15 | -1% | 1.67 | 1.70 | |
| 16 | -5% | 0.90 | 1.00 |
Super League (Malawi) — Home Goals Scored Analysis
MAFCO has the biggest scoring advantage at home in the Super League (Malawi), netting 1.10 goals/match at home versus 0.22 away — a Scoring Advantage of +66%. In contrast, Karonga United scores more away (1.00/match) than at home (0.90/match), representing a scoring disadvantage of -5% at their own ground. A high positive Scoring Advantage is a key signal for Over 2.5 and BTTS betting markets in home fixtures.
Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +77% | 0.20 | 1.56 | |
| 2 | +73% | 0.11 | 0.70 | |
| 3 | +59% | 0.33 | 1.30 | |
| 4 | +54% | 0.50 | 1.67 | |
| 5 | +41% | 0.33 | 0.80 | |
| 6 | +38% | 0.80 | 1.78 | |
| 7 | +35% | 0.80 | 1.67 | |
| 8 | +33% | 1.00 | 2.00 | |
| 9 | +18% | 0.70 | 1.00 | |
| 10 | +16% | 0.88 | 1.20 | |
| 11 | +13% | 1.00 | 1.30 | |
| 12 | +10% | 1.00 | 1.22 | |
| 13 | +1% | 0.89 | 0.90 | |
| 14 | -5% | 0.67 | 0.60 | |
| 15 | -15% | 1.50 | 1.11 | |
| 16 | -23% | 1.44 | 0.90 |
Super League (Malawi) — Home Defence Analysis
Red Lions has the best home defensive record in the Super League (Malawi), conceding just 0.20 goals/match at home compared to 1.56 away — a Defence Advantage of +77%. This makes them an excellent Clean Sheet and Under 2.5 candidate in home fixtures. On the flip side, Creck concedes more at home (1.44/match) than away (0.90/match), suggesting their home defence struggles despite the crowd backing. High Defence Advantage combined with low scoring opponents points strongly to Under 2.5 and BTTS No outcomes.
1st Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +100% | 0.10 | 0.00 | |
| 2 | +63% | 0.89 | 0.20 | |
| 3 | +46% | 0.60 | 0.22 | |
| 4 | +43% | 0.75 | 0.30 | |
| 5 | +38% | 1.00 | 0.44 | |
| 6 | +38% | 0.50 | 0.22 | |
| 7 | +9% | 0.40 | 0.33 | |
| 8 | +5% | 0.56 | 0.50 | |
| 9 | +5% | 0.56 | 0.50 | |
| 10 | +5% | 0.33 | 0.30 | |
| 11 | -2% | 0.60 | 0.63 | |
| 12 | -5% | 0.10 | 0.11 | |
| 13 | -5% | 0.30 | 0.33 | |
| 14 | -15% | 0.44 | 0.60 | |
| 15 | -15% | 0.22 | 0.30 | |
| 16 | -25% | 0.67 | 1.10 |
Super League (Malawi) — Home Goals Scored (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, MAFCO has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Super League (Malawi), netting 0.10 goals/match at home versus 0.00 away — a Scoring Advantage of +100%. At the other end, Be Forward Wanderers shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.67/match at home against 1.10 away (-25%). First-half scoring patterns are key indicators for Half-Time result and Asian Handicap markets.
1st Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +100% | 0.00 | 0.30 | |
| 2 | +100% | 0.00 | 0.44 | |
| 3 | +100% | 0.00 | 0.30 | |
| 4 | +69% | 0.11 | 0.60 | |
| 5 | +38% | 0.40 | 0.89 | |
| 6 | +32% | 0.40 | 0.78 | |
| 7 | +29% | 0.22 | 0.40 | |
| 8 | +25% | 0.60 | 1.00 | |
| 9 | +16% | 0.40 | 0.56 | |
| 10 | +9% | 0.50 | 0.60 | |
| 11 | +5% | 0.30 | 0.33 | |
| 12 | -5% | 0.33 | 0.30 | |
| 13 | -9% | 0.40 | 0.33 | |
| 14 | -30% | 0.56 | 0.30 | |
| 15 | -33% | 1.00 | 0.50 | |
| 16 | -34% | 0.90 | 0.44 |
Super League (Malawi) — Home Defence (1st Half) Analysis
In the 1st Half, Nyasa Big Bullets has the best home defensive record in the Super League (Malawi), conceding just 0.00 goals/match at home compared to 0.30 away — a Defence Advantage of +100%. Kamuzu Barracks struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.90/match at home versus 0.44 away (-34%). Strong first-half home defence is a reliable indicator for Half-Time 0-0 and Under 0.5 HT markets.
2nd Half — Home Goals Scored
| # | Team | Scoring Advantage | Home Scored / match | Away Scored / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +76% | 1.44 | 0.20 | |
| 2 | +64% | 1.00 | 0.22 | |
| 3 | +57% | 0.80 | 0.22 | |
| 4 | +43% | 0.75 | 0.30 | |
| 5 | +38% | 0.50 | 0.22 | |
| 6 | +38% | 0.67 | 0.30 | |
| 7 | +38% | 0.67 | 0.30 | |
| 8 | +27% | 1.22 | 0.70 | |
| 9 | +25% | 1.00 | 0.60 | |
| 10 | +25% | 0.33 | 0.20 | |
| 11 | +22% | 0.70 | 0.44 | |
| 12 | +15% | 0.30 | 0.22 | |
| 13 | +6% | 0.50 | 0.44 | |
| 14 | +5% | 0.56 | 0.50 | |
| 15 | +1% | 0.80 | 0.78 | |
| 16 | -11% | 0.30 | 0.38 |
Super League (Malawi) — Home Goals Scored (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Silver Strikers has the biggest home scoring advantage in the Super League (Malawi), netting 1.44 goals/match at home versus 0.20 away — a Scoring Advantage of +76%. At the other end, Karonga United shows the weakest home output in this period, with 0.30/match at home against 0.38 away (-11%). Second-half scoring advantage is particularly valuable for live betting and Over/Under markets in the final stages.
2nd Half — Home Defence (Conceded)
| # | Team | Defence Advantage | Home Conceded / match | Away Conceded / match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +74% | 0.20 | 1.33 | |
| 2 | +69% | 0.20 | 1.11 | |
| 3 | +57% | 0.11 | 0.40 | |
| 4 | +50% | 0.33 | 1.00 | |
| 5 | +46% | 0.11 | 0.30 | |
| 6 | +43% | 0.40 | 1.00 | |
| 7 | +43% | 0.40 | 1.00 | |
| 8 | +32% | 0.40 | 0.78 | |
| 9 | +23% | 0.38 | 0.60 | |
| 10 | +19% | 0.60 | 0.89 | |
| 11 | +19% | 0.30 | 0.44 | |
| 12 | +7% | 0.78 | 0.90 | |
| 13 | +5% | 0.60 | 0.67 | |
| 14 | +4% | 0.56 | 0.60 | |
| 15 | -5% | 0.22 | 0.20 | |
| 16 | -5% | 0.44 | 0.40 |
Super League (Malawi) — Home Defence (2nd Half) Analysis
In the 2nd Half, Chitipa United has the best home defensive record in the Super League (Malawi), conceding just 0.20 goals/match at home compared to 1.33 away — a Defence Advantage of +74%. Creck struggles most in this period at home, conceding 0.44/match at home versus 0.40 away (-5%). A high second-half home defence advantage is a strong signal for Under 1.5 2H and Clean Sheet in the second period.