Premier Division — xG (Expected Goals)
Ireland · 2026
Ireland — Premier Division 2026 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 35 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 35 | 60.7 | 1.73 | 35.5 | 1.01 | 55 | 31 | -5.7 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 35 | 56.3 | 1.61 | 35.7 | 1.02 | 63 | 44 | +6.7 |
| 3 |  Dundalk | 35 | 55.6 | 1.59 | 53.6 | 1.53 | 55 | 59 | -0.6 |
| 4 |  Shamrock Rovers | 35 | 54.5 | 1.56 | 40.9 | 1.17 | 59 | 38 | +4.5 |
| 5 |  Waterford | 35 | 50.3 | 1.44 | 56.4 | 1.61 | 54 | 61 | +3.8 |
| 6 |  Shelbourne | 35 | 47.5 | 1.36 | 47.6 | 1.36 | 52 | 50 | +4.5 |
| 7 |  Derry City | 35 | 45.3 | 1.29 | 41.5 | 1.19 | 50 | 47 | +4.8 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 35 | 43.3 | 1.24 | 57.4 | 1.64 | 46 | 53 | +2.8 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 35 | 37.8 | 1.08 | 55.2 | 1.58 | 44 | 57 | +6.2 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 35 | 34.9 | 1.00 | 62.3 | 1.78 | 28 | 66 | -6.9 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
10 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.39
League avg xGA/g: 1.39
Best overperformer: Bohemians (+6.7)
Biggest underperformer: Sligo Rovers (-6.9)
Premier Division (Ireland) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Premier Division (Ireland) averages 1.39 xG per game this season. St Patrick's Athl. creates the most chances with 1.73 xGF per game, while Sligo Rovers creates the fewest with 1.00 xGF per game. Bohemians is over-performing their xG (63 goals vs 56.3 xGF) — regression likely. Sligo Rovers is under-performing (28 goals vs 34.9 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Ireland
- FAI Cup xG— Division Silver
- FAI President's Cup xG— Division Underground
- First Division xG— Division Pro
- League Cup xG— Division Pro
- Women's President's Cup xG— Division Women's Pro