NB I — xG (Expected Goals)
Hungary · 2026/27
Hungary — NB I 2026/27 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 12 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paks | 12 | 21.8 | 1.82 | 19.6 | 1.63 | 22 | 21 | +0.2 |
| 2 |  Ujpest | 10 | 21.2 | 2.12 | 14.1 | 1.41 | 20 | 17 | -1.2 |
| 3 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 10 | 20.6 | 2.06 | 11.5 | 1.15 | 20 | 10 | -0.6 |
| 4 |  Debreceni VSC | 11 | 17.8 | 1.62 | 17.3 | 1.57 | 21 | 17 | +3.2 |
| 5 |  MTK Budapest | 10 | 16.0 | 1.60 | 19.0 | 1.90 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 6 |  Zalaegerszegi TE | 11 | 15.3 | 1.39 | 15.0 | 1.37 | 16 | 22 | +0.7 |
| 7 |  Gyori ETO FC | 11 | 14.6 | 1.32 | 19.0 | 1.73 | 21 | 14 | +6.5 |
| 8 |  Puskas Academy | 11 | 14.1 | 1.28 | 18.1 | 1.65 | 17 | 15 | +2.9 |
| 9 |  Budapest Honved | 10 | 14.0 | 1.40 | 12.0 | 1.20 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 |  Vasas | 8 | 10.3 | 1.29 | 11.4 | 1.43 | 20 | 17 | +9.7 |
| 11 |  Kisvarda FC | 11 | 10.1 | 0.92 | 16.2 | 1.48 | 12 | 14 | +1.9 |
| 12 |  Nyiregyhaza | 7 | 9.7 | 1.38 | 12.1 | 1.72 | 13 | 23 | +3.3 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
12 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.52
League avg xGA/g: 1.52
Best overperformer: Vasas (+9.7)
Biggest underperformer: Ujpest (-1.2)
NB I (Hungary) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The NB I (Hungary) averages 1.52 xG per game this season. Ujpest creates the most chances with 2.12 xGF per game, while Kisvarda FC creates the fewest with 0.92 xGF per game. Vasas is over-performing their xG (20 goals vs 10.3 xGF) — regression likely. Ujpest is under-performing (20 goals vs 21.2 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Hungary
- Magyar Kupa xG— Division SemiPro
- NB II xG— Division Silver
- NB III - Northeast xG— Division Amateur
- NB III - Northwest xG— Division Amateur
- NB III - Promotion Play-offs xG— Division Amateur
- NB III - Southeast xG— Division Amateur
- NB III - Southwest xG— Division Amateur