MatchPulse
NWSL Women

NWSL Women — xG (Expected Goals)

USA · 2026

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 29 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Kansas City W2947.71.6438.01.315439+6.3
2San Diego Wave W2746.01.7127.11.004531-1
3Portland Thorns W2644.51.7139.11.505041+5.5
4Denver Summit W2843.91.5738.31.375342+9.1
5Angel City W2843.01.5435.11.255432+11
6Orlando Pride W2439.51.6538.21.593947-0.5
7NJ/NY Gotham FC W2739.41.4631.81.183923-0.4
8Boston Legacy W2738.41.4243.61.624153+2.6
9Houston Dash W2737.51.3946.51.723844+0.5
10Seattle Reign FC W2737.01.3734.31.2737330
11North Carolina Courage W2735.51.3228.91.075242+16.5
12Washington Spirit W2935.11.2129.11.004328+7.9
13Bay FC W2634.51.3346.51.793047-4.5
14Utah Royals W2632.41.2532.31.244439+11.6
15Racing Louisville W2528.61.1445.81.833862+9.4
16Chicago Red Stars W2723.00.8551.71.921771-6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking

LEAGUE xG STATS

16 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.41
League avg xGA/g: 1.42
Best overperformer: North Carolina Courage W (+16.5)
Biggest underperformer: Chicago Red Stars W (-6.0)

NWSL Women (USA) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The NWSL Women (USA) averages 1.41 xG per game this season. San Diego Wave W creates the most chances with 1.71 xGF per game, while Chicago Red Stars W creates the fewest with 0.85 xGF per game. North Carolina Courage W is over-performing their xG (52 goals vs 35.5 xGF) — regression likely. Chicago Red Stars W is under-performing (17 goals vs 23.0 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — USA