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Major League Soccer

Major League Soccer — xG (Expected Goals)

USA · 2026

Expected Goals (xG)

xG data available for 33 games
#TeamMPxGFxGF/gxGAxGA/gGFGADiff
1Vancouver Whitecaps3366.52.0135.81.087234+5.5
2Inter Miami3262.31.9552.81.657756+14.7
3New York Red Bulls3260.71.9061.81.934562-15.7
4Philadelphia Union3359.51.8045.21.376251+2.5
5Chicago Fire3359.31.8042.71.296150+1.7
6FC Cincinnati3255.41.7351.21.606773+11.6
7Real Salt Lake3354.21.6446.81.425151-3.2
8San Jose Earthquakes3253.51.6745.41.425648+2.5
9Nashville SC3353.41.6240.11.216925+15.6
10San Diego3352.81.6055.11.675762+4.2
11St. Louis City3352.71.6040.31.225848+5.3
12Minnesota United FC3352.31.5847.61.445357+0.7
13FC Dallas3351.11.5543.31.315950+7.9
14Orlando City SC3350.41.5368.12.066278+11.6
15Portland Timbers3350.21.5254.01.636061+9.8
16Los Angeles Galaxy3349.71.5156.11.704955-0.7
17Charlotte3349.11.4955.81.696348+13.9
18Seattle Sounders3349.11.4947.11.434245-7.1
19New England Revolution3348.61.4748.51.475546+6.4
20Los Angeles FC3348.51.4741.11.245138+2.5
21Colorado Rapids3346.41.4143.01.304647-0.4
22Atlanta United FC3245.21.4149.01.534357-2.2
23DC United3245.11.4150.51.583960-6.1
24New York City FC3344.91.3647.01.424845+3.1
25Columbus Crew3244.31.3839.61.245549+10.7
26Toronto FC3341.91.2756.11.705163+9.1
27CF Montreal3240.51.2752.81.653767-3.5
28Houston Dynamo3338.71.1746.51.414342+4.3
29Sporting Kansas City3336.71.1166.72.023981+2.3
30Austin3333.41.0166.42.014263+8.6
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
Inter MiamiHigh xGF1.95
New York Red BullsHigh xGF1.90
AustinLow xGF1.01
Houston DynamoLow xGF1.17

LEAGUE xG STATS

30 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.52
League avg xGA/g: 1.52
Best overperformer: Nashville SC (+15.6)
Biggest underperformer: New York Red Bulls (-15.7)

Major League Soccer (USA) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis

The Major League Soccer (USA) averages 1.52 xG per game this season. Vancouver Whitecaps creates the most chances with 2.01 xGF per game, while Austin creates the fewest with 1.01 xGF per game. Nashville SC is over-performing their xG (69 goals vs 53.4 xGF) — regression likely. New York Red Bulls is under-performing (45 goals vs 60.7 xGF) — improvement expected.

Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets

xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.

Expected Goals (xG) — USA