Division Profesional - Clausura — xG (Expected Goals)
Paraguay · 2026
Paraguay — Division Profesional - Clausura 2026 — Detailed Stats
Expected Goals (xG)
xG data available for 17 games| # | Team | MP | xGF | xGF/g | xGA | xGA/g | GF | GA | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Olimpia | 16 | 26.5 | 1.66 | 14.6 | 0.91 | 30 | 12 | +3.5 |
| 2 |  Cerro Porteno | 16 | 25.6 | 1.60 | 19.6 | 1.22 | 23 | 19 | -2.6 |
| 3 |  Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 24.0 | 1.41 | 17.8 | 1.05 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 4 |  Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 22.4 | 1.60 | 19.9 | 1.42 | 28 | 18 | +5.6 |
| 5 |  Sportivo Ameliano | 17 | 21.5 | 1.27 | 27.1 | 1.59 | 19 | 24 | -2.5 |
| 6 |  Sportivo Luqueno | 14 | 18.3 | 1.31 | 23.8 | 1.70 | 17 | 33 | -1.3 |
| 7 |  Rubio NU | 15 | 18.1 | 1.21 | 20.0 | 1.33 | 19 | 29 | +0.9 |
| 8 |  Nacional Asuncion | 14 | 17.6 | 1.25 | 15.1 | 1.08 | 26 | 11 | +8.5 |
| 9 |  Club Guarani | 15 | 17.5 | 1.17 | 14.0 | 0.93 | 19 | 14 | +1.5 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Recoleta | 16 | 17.1 | 1.07 | 24.3 | 1.52 | 19 | 28 | +1.9 |
| 11 |  2 de Mayo | 16 | 13.7 | 0.85 | 18.3 | 1.14 | 18 | 18 | +4.3 |
| 12 |  Club Sp. San Lorenzo | 12 | 11.9 | 1.00 | 19.7 | 1.64 | 12 | 30 | +0.1 |
xGF = xG For (created)xGA = xG Against (conceded)Diff = GF − xGF (over/under-performing)
xG Attack Ranking
LEAGUE xG STATS
12 teams with xG data
League avg xGF/g: 1.28
League avg xGA/g: 1.29
Best overperformer: Nacional Asuncion (+8.4)
Biggest underperformer: Cerro Porteno (-2.6)
Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) — Expected Goals (xG) Analysis
The Division Profesional - Clausura (Paraguay) averages 1.28 xG per game this season. Olimpia creates the most chances with 1.66 xGF per game, while 2 de Mayo creates the fewest with 0.85 xGF per game. Nacional Asuncion is over-performing their xG (26 goals vs 17.6 xGF) — regression likely. Cerro Porteno is under-performing (23 goals vs 25.6 xGF) — improvement expected.
Betting Angle — xG & Regression Markets
xG is the most powerful predictor of future performance — teams that consistently over-perform their xG (scoring more than expected) tend to regress. Look for under-performing high-xG teams as value opportunities in match result markets, especially Asian Handicap and Both Teams To Score.
Expected Goals (xG) — Paraguay
- Copa Paraguay xG— Division Pro
- Division Intermedia xG— Division Silver
- Division Profesional - Apertura xG— Division Gold
- Supercopa xG— Division Gold